Workflow
COVID crisis
icon
Search documents
Former NEC Director Gary Cohn on state of the economy, Pres. Trump's tariffs agenda and impact of AI
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-09-12 13:31
Tariffs and Supply Chain - Tariffs serve an important purpose in addressing fragile supply chains exposed during COVID-19, particularly for essential goods [4] - The US has made progress in bringing key parts of the supply chain back, incentivizing domestic manufacturing of critical components like chips [5][6] - Government intervention, such as providing capital to stimulate economic growth, should ensure sovereign protection and secure supply chains [9][10] Corporate Response to Tariffs - Companies are facing a conundrum with rising input costs due to tariffs and limited ability to raise prices for consumers [12] - Corporations are adapting to tariffs by becoming more efficient and reducing human capital [14] - Revenue for companies in Q2 increased by just over 6%, while earnings per share (EPS) increased by 118% [16] Labor Market Dynamics - The job market is weak despite a good economy and strong earnings, as companies are downsizing to offset increased input costs [17][18] - Companies are leveraging AI and natural attrition (80,000+ people turning 65 weekly) to reduce headcount [19][21] - Downsizing explains the conundrum of a weak jobs market despite efforts to bring jobs back to the US [26] Future Economic Outlook - A rebirth in jobs and manufacturing is hoped for, contingent on lower interest rates and a restart in housing [27] - Capital expenditure (capex) will be spent over several years (2026-2030), primarily on equipment rather than labor [28][29]