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Why Linde Stock May Be More Vulnerable Than It Appears
Benzinga· 2026-01-02 14:24
Core Insights - Linde is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, indicating potential risks are building beneath the surface [1] - The stock's recent behavior suggests rising downside pressure, making hedging increasingly important [1] Weekly Chart Analysis - Linde's stock formed a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which typically has bullish implications, but the recent setup deviated from this ideal [2][3] - The stock attempted multiple premature breakouts during the Cakra formation, weakening the integrity of the pattern [3] - Upon entering Phase 9, instead of a clean breakout, Linde experienced a breakdown, leading to a decline of over 15% since October 6 [5] Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly chart, Linde is in Phase 10, where a well-defined Cakra formed and broke out cleanly in Phase 9, resulting in a rally of over 193% [6] - The early part of Phase 10 supported bullish momentum, but recent pullbacks suggest potential structural changes [7] Structural Implications - The Himalayan Formation, which follows a Cakra breakout, consists of three legs: ascent, peak, and descent, with Phase 10 being critical for peak formation [8] - Linde marked its all-time high within Phase 10, raising the possibility of a structural peak being in place [10] Investor Outlook - With a Cakra breakdown on the weekly charts and signs of a potential peak on the monthly timeframe, Linde's risk profile has shifted [11] - Investors should consider hedging long exposure, as downside risks appear to be increasing [11] - New investors may want to wait for clearer confirmation of whether a peak has formed before initiating positions [11]
Should You Chase Citi Trends After Q3 Earnings?
Benzinga· 2025-12-02 13:40
Core Viewpoint - Citi Trends reported Q3 results with total sales of $197.1 million, a gross margin of 38.9%, and a net loss of $6.9 million, indicating a mixed performance despite higher store traffic [1] Financial Performance - Total sales for Q3 reached $197.1 million, reflecting an increase in store traffic [1] - The company experienced a gross margin of 38.9% [1] - A net loss of $6.9 million was reported for the quarter [1] Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Citi Trends is currently in Phase 10 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, characterized by volatility and early peak-formation attempts [2][5] - The stock has progressed through the ascent leg of the Himalayan Formation following a Cakra breakout [2] - The Cakra formation occurred between January 2022 and Phase 8, leading to a significant rally of approximately 174% in Phase 9 [7] Peak Formation Insights - The peak-formation window for Citi Trends is anticipated to occur between late March and early May 2026 [8] - Until this peak-formation window arrives, the bullish ascent is expected to continue, albeit with volatility [9] Investor Outlook - For existing holders, it is advised to maintain positions while monitoring the peak-formation window in 2026, where risk may increase [11] - Prospective buyers should consider the stock for short-term tactical trades rather than long-term investments, due to current market conditions [12] - The overall structural outlook for Citi Trends remains bullish, but the opportunity for a sustainable long-term entry has not yet materialized [13]
Why Nutanix's 18% Decline Shouldn't Surprise Investors
Benzinga· 2025-11-28 15:37
Core Viewpoint - Nutanix's stock fell over 18% after reporting earnings that were below analyst expectations and providing a weak forward outlook, indicating a pre-existing structural decline that was anticipated [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analysis - Nutanix completed its Cakra formation and broke out in Phase 9, leading to a significant ascent, with a peak around $83.36 before entering a descent phase [2][4]. - The stock has since declined approximately 43% from its peak, which is considered normal for a descent leg in its current cycle [2]. - The current selling pressure aligns with the structural expectation that the stock will revisit the Cakra breakout level of around $31 [6]. Group 2: Future Projections - Nutanix is currently in Phase 12, with expectations that Phases 12 and 13 will focus on completing the descent, followed by a consolidation phase [7]. - Clarity regarding future performance will emerge when Phase 14 begins, which will determine the potential for a strong rally in Phase 18, referred to as Nirvana [7]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - In July, most institutional ratings on Nutanix were bullish, but a cautious analysis highlighted structural risks and advised restraint [10]. - The descent is not complete until the stock approaches the ~$31 region, suggesting that new long positions are premature at this stage [11].
Dollar Tree: The Hidden Risk Wall Street Is Missing
Benzinga· 2025-09-05 13:21
Core Viewpoint - Dollar Tree has experienced a significant breakdown in its stock performance, contrary to typical expectations during Phase 9 of the Adhishthana cycle, indicating long-term underperformance and structural risk for the company [1][3]. Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Dollar Tree is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, which usually signifies powerful breakouts and the beginning of a rally [1]. - The stock created a Cakra formation between Phases 4 and 8, but instead of breaking upward in Phase 9, it broke down, triggering the Move of Pralay, which indicates prolonged underperformance [2][3]. - The breakdown has resulted in a decline of up to 51% for Dollar Tree, confirming the framework's warning about structural risks [3]. Group 2: Current and Future Outlook - Despite a rebound since November 2024, the stock remains in Phase 4 on the weekly chart, suggesting that short-term strength should not be interpreted as a structural turnaround [4]. - The Guna Triads, essential for assessing long-term potential, will not materialize for nearly a decade, indicating that underperformance may continue for an extended period [4]. - The formation of Dollar Tree's Cakra took over 5,300 days, making the breakdown particularly significant and pointing to deeper fundamental fragility [5]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - The outlook for Dollar Tree is dominated by downside risk, with large institutions like JP Morgan maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, but analysis suggests that any upward movements will likely face resistance [6]. - The recommendation for Dollar Tree remains underperform for the long term, advising existing investors to consider hidden risks and new investors to avoid exposure until structural improvements are evident [6].