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These 2 ETFs Could Outperform as Jerome Powell Lowers Rates
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-20 13:17
Key Points The Federal Open Market Committee also updated its dot plot, indicating that most FOMC members think another three interest rates are coming in the near term. Interest rates have significant influence in the stock market. Real estate and small-cap stocks could get a boost. 10 stocks we like better than Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF › The last interest rate cut was in December 2024. Nine months later, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) deci ...
Apartment CMBS delinquencies hit 9-year high, distress sales still slow
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 14:58
Group 1 - The overall commercial real estate Trepp CMBS Special Servicing rate decreased by 19 basis points to 10.29% in August, marking the second consecutive monthly decline after reaching an all-time high in June [3] - The most significant reductions in servicing rates were observed in lodging, which fell by 91 basis points to 9.10%, and mixed-use properties, which decreased by 157 basis points to 10.64% [3] - The Trepp CMBS Delinquency Rate rose for the sixth consecutive month in August 2025, increasing by 6 basis points to 7.29%, with multifamily and office rates surging to all-time highs [4] Group 2 - The delinquency rate for apartment commercial mortgage-backed securities reached a nine-year high in August, jumping 71 basis points month over month to 6.86% [8] - The multifamily delinquency rate was 3.3% a year ago and 4.46% six months ago, indicating a significant increase [8] - Servicing rates for apartment CMBS loans rose by 24 basis points month over month to 8.61% in August, compared to 5.71% a year ago and 8.51% six months ago [8] Group 3 - REIT executives noted that low-priced deals have not yet emerged despite rising delinquency rates, with some indicating a lack of distress in the market [5][6] - Cap rates for apartments have fallen from Q1, suggesting that prices are increasing, although the number of transactions remains low [6] - As more properties become delinquent, potential buying opportunities may arise, but currently, there is no significant distress in the market [6]
3 Triple Net REITs Positioned For Average 10% Returns
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-22 18:15
Core Insights - The triple net REIT sector is experiencing significant changes due to rising cap rates, the reintroduction of rent escalators, and improved valuations, creating new investment opportunities [2][8][40] Group 1: Factors Reviving the Triple Net Sector - Cap rates have risen considerably, now ranging from 7% to 9.5% for high-quality triple net assets, which is conducive to healthy acquisition pipelines [4][8] - Escalators have returned, with many transactions now featuring escalators of 2% to 3.5%, enhancing long-term growth potential [6][12] - Valuations are cheaper, with triple net REITs trading at an average price to AFFO of 12.9X compared to the average REIT at 16.1X, indicating a favorable investment environment [19][21] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - W.P. Carey (WPC) has a significant acquisition pipeline with $1.1 billion in new investments at mid-9% cap rates, supported by a low cost of capital [26][30] - Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) is capitalizing on a massive build-to-suit pipeline, which is projected to enhance long-term growth due to the development of new properties at high cap rates [32][35] - Gladstone Commercial (GOOD) is leveraging in-house credit underwriting capabilities to secure high cap rate acquisitions, resulting in a current dividend yield of 9% and potential for double-digit total returns [37][39] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The demand for triple net REITs has decreased in a higher interest rate environment, but the growth potential from escalators is expected to attract investors back to the sector [40][41] - Current market valuations do not fully account for the growth potential alongside dividend yields, suggesting that multiples may re-rate higher as companies demonstrate consistent growth [41]
Gladstone mercial (GOOD) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-07 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Funds from Operations (FFO) per share for Q2 2025 was $0.33, down from $0.36 in Q2 2024, while Core FFO per share was $0.35 compared to $0.36 in the same period [13][14] - Total operating revenues increased to $39.5 million in Q2 2025 from $37.1 million in Q2 2024, while operating expenses decreased to $25.1 million from $26 million [14] - Net assets rose from $1.16 billion to $1.2 billion due to acquisitions made during the quarter [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company acquired two industrial facilities totaling 519,093 square feet for approximately $79 million, increasing the industrial concentration in the portfolio to 67% of annualized straight-line rents [9][10] - Portfolio occupancy remained high at 98.7% as of June 30, 2025 [9][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The industrial real estate sector showed steady performance with net absorption of 29.6 million square feet in 2025, while the vacancy rate rose slightly to 7.1% [7][8] - New construction completions declined to the lowest level since 2019, indicating a slowdown in the development pipeline [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to acquire high-quality industrial assets that are mission-critical to tenants while selectively disposing of non-core assets [12] - The focus remains on maintaining a disciplined underwriting approach, emphasizing credit quality, location, and long-term value [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted continued uncertainty in the economic environment but expressed confidence in the industrial real estate sector's resilience [6][9] - The company anticipates upward pressure on industrial rental rates due to a slowdown in new construction and increasing competition for space [9] Other Important Information - The company maintained a common stock dividend of $0.30 per share per quarter [18] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had $94.4 million in revolver borrowings outstanding and approximately $6 million in cash [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the acquisition pipeline? - The company currently has six Letters of Intent (LOIs) out and is reviewing around 20 transactions, expecting to finalize a $50 million transaction soon [25][27] Question: Can you provide details on the industrial property sold? - The sold property was located in Georgia, where the tenant exercised a purchase option within the lease [29] Question: How is the incentive fee waiver determined? - The waiver is discussed quarterly with management, considering the alignment with shareholder interests and employee retention [30] Question: What are the plans regarding the revolver borrowings? - The company is considering options such as sales under the ATM program and refinancing discussions with lenders [57] Question: Are you seeing any changes in cap rates? - Management does not expect cap rates to reach the 9% range, with average cap rates projected to be around 8.5% [47][48] Question: How is the company managing tenant quality amid macro uncertainties? - The company has not seen significant impacts on tenant quality and maintains its underwriting criteria [49]
Four ners Property Trust(FCPT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported AFFO per share of $0.44, which is up 2.8% from Q2 last year [23] - Rental income for Q2 was $64.5 million, representing growth of over 11% compared to the previous year [23] - Cash G&A expense, excluding stock-based compensation, was $4.4 million, representing 6.9% of cash rental income for the quarter, down from 7.4% in the same quarter last year [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2, the company acquired 24 properties for $84 million at a blended cap rate of 6.7% [14] - The automotive sector accounted for 68% of total acquisition volume, indicating a strong focus on this area [14] - The company has diversified its portfolio, with 34% of rent now coming from sectors outside casual dining [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a rent coverage ratio of five times for the majority of its portfolio, one of the strongest in the net lease industry [8] - The average age of passenger vehicles in the U.S. is now at a record 14 years, which is expected to drive demand for automotive services [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a defensive portfolio focused on central retail and services, which are seen as tariff resistant [11] - The strategy includes modulating acquisitions based on cost of capital, with a focus on high-quality assets [6][7] - The company is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDAre ratio of 4.5 times [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the portfolio's resilience, highlighting a strong track record with low bad debt expense [65] - The company is well-positioned to execute its strategy regardless of near-term market conditions, with significant liquidity available for acquisitions [65] Other Important Information - The company has raised nearly $505 million in equity over the last twelve months, providing significant capacity for acquisitions [20] - The portfolio occupancy remains strong at 99.4%, with 99.8% of base rent collected for Q2 [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Inquiry about acquisition team capacity - Management indicated that the team is appropriately staffed and has the capacity to do more acquisitions if favorable pricing is available [29] Question: Impact of cap rate changes on acquisition opportunities - A 25 basis point decrease in cap rates could potentially increase acquisition volume by $100 million to $200 million [31] Question: Darden exposure and acquisition strategy - Management confirmed that while they have diversified Darden exposure, they will still acquire Darden-related assets if the pricing is favorable [33] Question: Deal flow and competitive landscape - Management noted that deal flow has been consistent, but pricing remains a key factor in determining acquisition activity [48] Question: Outlook for veterinary retail property acquisitions - Management expressed interest in the veterinary retail space, indicating potential for more deals in the future [61]