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MP vs. UUUU: Which Rare Earth Stock is the Smarter Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-09-26 17:26
Core Insights - MP Materials and Energy Fuels are positioned to be key players in the U.S. rare earth and critical minerals supply chain [1] Company Overview - MP Materials, based in Las Vegas, NV, is the largest producer of rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere, with a market capitalization of $13.7 billion [2] - Energy Fuels, located in Lakewood, CO, has a market capitalization of $3.99 billion and is a leading producer of natural uranium concentrates [3] Financial Performance - MP Materials reported a revenue increase of 84% year-over-year to $57.4 million in Q2 2025, with NdPr production up 119% and REO production up 45% [5][11] - Energy Fuels experienced a revenue decline of 52% year-over-year to $4.2 million in Q2 due to lower uranium sales volumes [10][11] Strategic Developments - MP Materials secured a long-term agreement with Apple to supply rare earth magnets made from recycled materials and partnered with the U.S. Department of Defense to develop a domestic rare earth magnet supply chain [8][9] - Energy Fuels is diversifying into rare earths by producing high-purity separated rare earth oxide NdPr at its White Mesa mill [3][13] Production and Capacity - MP Materials is ramping up production and expects to construct a second domestic magnet manufacturing facility, increasing U.S. rare earth magnet manufacturing capacity to 10,000 metric tons [9] - Energy Fuels is developing significant rare earth element capabilities, with projects in Australia, Madagascar, and Brazil that could supply REE oxides to U.S. and European manufacturers [15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MP Materials' fiscal 2025 earnings is a loss of 34 cents per share, with an expected profit of 91 cents per share in fiscal 2026 [16] - Energy Fuels' fiscal 2025 earnings estimate is a loss of 33 cents per share, with a projected profit of one cent per share in fiscal 2026 [16] Stock Performance - MP Materials stock has surged 394.5% year-to-date, outperforming Energy Fuels' 236.5% gain [19] - MP Materials is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 26.82X, while Energy Fuels is at 38.11X [20] Investment Outlook - MP Materials is seen as a more compelling choice for long-term growth in critical minerals due to its production gains, partnerships, and strategic importance [21][22] - Energy Fuels offers exposure to both uranium and rare earths, but MP Materials has an edge in price performance and earnings momentum [22]
MP Vs IDR: Which Rare Earth Stock Deserves a Spot in Your Portfolio?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 16:21
Core Viewpoint - MP Materials and Idaho Strategic Resources are pivotal in enhancing U.S. critical mineral independence and national security through domestic resource development [1][2][3] Group 1: Company Overview - MP Materials is the only fully integrated rare earth producer in the U.S., with a market capitalization of $3.22 billion [1] - Idaho Strategic Resources is a gold producer with a market capitalization of around $190 million and holds the largest rare earth elements land package in the U.S. [2] Group 2: Market Context - Rare earth elements (REEs) are essential for clean-tech applications, including electric vehicles and defense, with the market currently dominated by China [3] - There is a growing emphasis on developing domestic REE capabilities in the U.S. to reduce reliance on foreign sources [3] Group 3: MP Materials Performance - MP Materials reported a 25% year-over-year revenue increase to $60.8 million in Q1 2025, with NdPr production soaring 330% to 563 metric tons [6] - The company experienced a 33% decline in sales volumes of rare earth concentrate, leading to a $10 million revenue drop in that segment [7] - MP Materials halted rare earth concentrate shipments to China due to tariffs, which previously accounted for approximately 50% of its revenues in Q1 2025 [9] Group 4: Idaho Strategic Resources Performance - Idaho Strategic Resources achieved a 23% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.3 million in Q1 2025, driven by a 44.7% rise in average realized gold prices [16] - The company reported earnings of 12 cents per share, a 29% decline year-over-year, attributed to increased exploration costs [16][17] - IDR plans to execute its largest exploration program at the Golden Chest Mine and other properties in 2025 [19] Group 5: Future Outlook - MP Materials expects to ramp up production of separated rare earth products, which will lead to higher costs in 2025 [10] - Idaho Strategic Resources is focusing on thorium mining and has signed a MoU with Clean Core Thorium Energy to advance a domestic supply chain [18] Group 6: Valuation and Investment Considerations - MP Materials has a forward price-to-sales ratio of 9.85X, while Idaho Strategic Resources has a lower ratio of 6.55X [25] - Despite near-term earnings pressure, MP Materials is viewed as a strong investment due to its integrated supply chain capabilities [27]