Consumer Divide
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McDonald's is losing its lowest-income customers—and it's not hard to see why
Fastcompany· 2025-11-06 14:21
Core Insights - McDonald's latest earnings report highlights a significant trend in consumer spending, indicating a growing divide among U.S. consumers, where the wealthiest continue to increase their spending and dining frequency [1] Company Performance - The earnings report reveals that McDonald's has experienced a positive impact from the spending habits of affluent consumers, which has contributed to its overall financial performance [1] Industry Trends - The report sheds light on broader industry traffic trends, suggesting that the disparity in consumer spending is becoming more pronounced, with higher-income groups driving growth in the fast-food sector [1]
Costco and Ross: 2 Ways to Play the Consumer Divide
MarketBeat· 2025-08-24 15:08
Core Insights - The earnings season for retail stocks highlights the disparity in consumer spending between low/middle-income and high-income households due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes [1][2] - Companies like Walmart are experiencing a trade-down effect, where higher-income consumers are opting for value-oriented retailers [2][3] Group 1: Costco Wholesale - Costco has shown strong performance with a total return of over 220% in the last five years, indicating robust stock appreciation and dividend reinvestment [4] - The company's business model relies on an annual membership fee, which provides stable revenue, and it recently raised this fee for the first time in seven years while maintaining a retention rate above 90% [5] - Costco's commitment to expanding its global footprint is expected to drive future revenue and earnings growth, justifying its premium valuation at over 54 times forward earnings [6] Group 2: Ross Stores - Ross Stores caters to budget-conscious consumers seeking value, especially during economic uncertainty, and has a strong performance with a total return of over 72% in the last five years [7][9] - The company anticipates some earnings pressure due to tariffs, as approximately 50% of its inventory is sourced from China, but it maintains solid fundamentals with strong traffic and comparable store sales growth [8] - Analysts have a consensus price target of $159.40 for Ross Stores, indicating that the stock may be fairly priced despite tariff challenges [9] Group 3: Investment Considerations - Both Costco and Ross Stores can coexist in a diversified investment portfolio due to their distinct business models and target consumers [10] - Costco is viewed as a growth stock with defensive characteristics, benefiting from higher-income households' spending [10][11] - Ross Stores represents a cyclical play in retail, appealing to value-oriented shoppers, which is expected to sustain strong traffic and comparable sales [12]