Core Viewpoint - COSCO Shipping Holdings reported disappointing 1H25 results, with revenue and net profit growth falling short of expectations primarily due to lower realized freight rates [1] Financial Performance - In 1H25, revenue increased by 7.80% YoY to Rmb109.10 billion, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 1.94% YoY to Rmb17.54 billion, resulting in an EPS of Rmb1.05 [1] - In 2Q25, revenue decreased by 3.39% YoY and 11.77% QoQ to Rmb51.14 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 42.25% YoY and 50.05% QoQ to Rmb5.84 billion [1] Freight Volume and Rates - In 2Q25, container freight volume increased by 5.7% YoY and 4.9% QoQ to 6.8 million TEU, while freight rates declined YoY and QoQ [2] - Per-container revenue fell by 10.9% YoY and 17.3% QoQ, with trans-Pacific routes seeing a 13.8% YoY and 13.0% QoQ decline, and Asia-Europe routes experiencing a 22.8% YoY and 27.7% QoQ drop [2] Cost Analysis - Cost per container rose by 7.3% YoY in 2Q25, driven by increased container purchases and higher vessel rental costs [2] Industry Trends - The container shipping industry is expected to face significant supply-side pressure, with current backlog orders accounting for 30.74% of existing shipping capacity [3] - New shipping capacity is scheduled for delivery mainly in 2026-2028, with potential supply risks anticipated in 2027-2028 [3] Market Outlook - The US National Retail Federation forecasts a 20% YoY decline in import volume for US routes from September to December 2025, indicating potential challenges for demand [4] - Continuous monitoring of trans-Pacific cargo volumes and tariff policy developments is recommended, as stable tariff policies could support demand [4] Long-term Strategy - The company is focused on increasing shipping capacity and expanding routes in emerging markets, which is expected to enhance long-term value [5] - As of 2Q25, the company had orders for 51 vessels with a combined capacity of over 910,000 TEU, indicating ongoing expansion efforts [6] Financial Valuation - The company maintains its earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with A-shares trading at 8.7x 2025e and 11.6x 2026e P/E, while H-shares are at 7.1x 2025e and 9.3x 2026e P/E [7] - Target prices imply an upside of 6.7% for A-shares and 7.0% for H-shares, with attractive dividend yields of 5.7% and 7.1% expected in 2025 [7]