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Nebius: Consolidation Is Ending, And The Market Still Looks Asleep
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-07 22:00
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Meta: My $111B CapEx Estimate For 2026, And Why Overbuild Fears Are Overstated
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-07 06:08
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines and trend lines are used in technical analysis to identify patterns and potential price movements [1]
Chevron: My Model Says Venezuela Barely Moves The Needle -- But Stock Can Still Run
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-06 14:25
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
ServiceNow: The Seat Collapse Story Isn’t Showing Up (NYSE:NOW)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-05 09:40
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
This Is The Wrong Year To Play Defense: The AI Trade Isn't Over
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-02 19:46
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Group 2: Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A key criterion for stock selection is insider buying at the new lower price, which may indicate confidence in the company's future [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines are used for visualizing support and resistance, along with trend lines to identify potential price movements [1]
As Copper Prices Soar, Hudbay Minerals Has The Look Of A Winner (NYSE:HBM)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-25 16:18
Back in April, I initiated coverage on Hudbay Minerals ( HBM ) as a buy, citing the company’s potential for growth and its effort to pay down debt. The stock far exceeded my expectations, as you can see here.I’m Jason Ditz and I have 20 years of experience in foreign policy research. My work has appeared in Forbes, Toronto Star, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Providence Journal, Washington Times and the Detroit Free Press, as well as American Conservative Magazine and the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecr ...
After Another Enormous Earnings Miss, Limoneira Tries To Spin Transition Away From Lemons
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-24 12:45
Group 1 - The article discusses the initiation of coverage on Limoneira Company (LMNR) following a disappointing Q2 EPS miss, with a hold rating based on long-term growth potential despite being years away from realizing those efforts [1] - Q3 results were also mentioned, indicating continued challenges for the company [1] Group 2 - The author has extensive experience in investment analysis, focusing on deep-discount value plays and underappreciated companies [1]
Could Lululemon Be a Multimillionaire-Maker Stock?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-24 07:08
Core Viewpoint - Lululemon's stock has significantly declined from its peak, presenting a potential opportunity for contrarian investors despite recent poor performance [1][6]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal third quarter ending November 2, Lululemon's U.S. revenues decreased by 3% year over year, continuing a trend of weak sales metrics [4]. - The company's operating margin fell from 20.5% in the previous year to 17% in fiscal Q3 2025, impacted by tariffs and a misalignment with consumer demand [4]. Market Position and Competition - Lululemon faces competition from lower-end brands like Gymshark and Fabletics, as well as higher-end brands such as Alo Yoga and Vuori [5]. - Despite challenges, Lululemon maintains a strong brand reputation, pricing power, and a focus on high-quality products in the premium market segment [6]. Growth Potential - Overall revenue for Lululemon is still growing, with significant opportunities for expansion in the Chinese market [6]. - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.6, one of its lowest levels in 15 years, indicating low expectations from investors [7]. Investment Considerations - Long-term investors may find the current setup favorable, although improvements in margins and U.S. revenues may take time [8]. - A bullish scenario suggests that a fivefold increase in stock value over ten years could yield an annualized gain of 17.5%, requiring a substantial initial investment [9].
Micron: 200% YTD Return, Trading At Just 12x Forward Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-20 10:15
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]
Alibaba: Investors Are Selling The AI Leader Because Of A Retail Distraction
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-19 14:47
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]