Contrarian bets

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Everest Group: Repositioning Requires Patience, But Upside Exists
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-20 14:45
Group 1 - Everest Group's shares have declined by 12% over the past year, indicating poor performance [1] - The company has faced challenges including disappointing underwriting results, management upheaval, and difficulties stemming from California wildfires [1] Group 2 - The article reflects a contrarian investment approach based on macro views and stock-specific turnaround stories [1]
Murphy USA: Pullback Creates Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-14 13:17
Group 1 - Murphy USA's shares have declined by 15% over the past year due to concerns regarding consumer spending at its convenience stores [1] - The company has been a disappointing performer in the market, reflecting broader economic challenges [1] Group 2 - The analysis indicates a contrarian investment approach based on macroeconomic views and stock-specific turnaround stories [1]
Targa Resources: Underappreciated Resilience Supports Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-05 05:00
Core Insights - Targa Resources (NYSE: TRGP) has seen a significant share price increase of 40% recently, but has underperformed in the last two months, remaining flat while the broader market has recovered from early April losses [1] Company Performance - Targa Resources' shares have not followed the upward trend of the pipeline sector, indicating a potential divergence in performance compared to its peers [1] Market Context - The broader market has regained its losses from early April, contrasting with Targa's stagnant performance over the past two months, suggesting specific challenges or market perceptions affecting the company [1]
Even With Challenges, SiriusXM Is Too Cheap (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-04 12:22
Group 1 - SiriusXM shares have underperformed over the past year, losing nearly 25% of their value due to ongoing subscriber monetization pressure [1] - The company needs to focus on reducing its debt following a corporate simplification transaction last year [1]
F&G Annuities & Life: Extremely Cheap Despite Damaged Credibility
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-29 10:18
Group 1 - F&G Annuities & Life shares have declined over 20% in value over the past year [1] - The decline began in March when the company unexpectedly issued equity, leading to a drop in share prices [1] - A weaker than expected Q1 performance further exacerbated the situation [1]
Zions Bancorporation: Attractive Even As Capital Limits Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-28 21:01
Group 1 - Zions Bancorporation's shares have increased by 9% over the past year, aligning with market performance, but have significantly declined from their peak levels [1] - Regional banks were among the biggest beneficiaries following President Trump's policies [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of macro views and stock-specific turnaround stories for achieving outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile [1]
Marathon Petroleum: Extremely Compelling With Q2 Momentum
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-22 05:59
Core Viewpoint - Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) shares have underperformed over the past year due to a weakening refining cycle, but have recently rebounded strongly as crack spreads have improved [1] Company Performance - The shares of Marathon Petroleum have shown a significant recovery from their lows, indicating a potential turnaround in performance [1] Market Conditions - The refining cycle has been weak, impacting the overall performance of companies in this sector, including Marathon Petroleum [1]
Toll Brothers Has Upside After A Strong Q2
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-21 15:34
Shares of Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL ) have sold off considerably over the past five months, leaving them down about 20% over the past year. Elevated mortgage rates have weighed on housing market activity, reducing expectations for the homebuilders. However, as I have writtenOver fifteen years of experience making contrarian bets based on my macro view and stock-specific turnaround stories to garner outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile. If you want me to cover a specific stock or have a quest ...
Radian: Greater Capital Returns Create Further Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-20 15:45
Shares of Radian Group (NYSE: RDN ) have been a solid performer over the past year, gaining about 12%. After briefly falling in early April alongside much of the market, shares are now above “Liberation Day” levels, thanks to Radian’s lack of tariff exposureOver fifteen years of experience making contrarian bets based on my macro view and stock-specific turnaround stories to garner outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile. If you want me to cover a specific stock or have a question for an artic ...
Lamar Advertising: Solid Growth And A Strong Balance Sheet Make Shares Attractive
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-15 15:00
Shares of Lamar Advertising (NASDAQ: LAMR ) have been a mediocre performer over the past year, essentially treading water. While its core business has done well, pressures on national advertising and higher-for-longer interest rates have been headwinds for valuation. Still, theOver fifteen years of experience making contrarian bets based on my macro view and stock-specific turnaround stories to garner outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile. If you want me to cover a specific stock or have a q ...