Corporate breakup

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Google Stock May Pop 325% As Breakup Cuts $67 Billion From Synergies
Forbes· 2025-08-14 14:10
Core Viewpoint - Google's stock could potentially rise 325% by 2035 if the company is broken up into five parts, but this breakup could result in a loss of $67 billion in revenue lift and cost savings due to the loss of operational synergies [2][6]. Group 1: Antitrust and Breakup Analysis - A judge is expected to order Google to take action following a guilty verdict in an antitrust trial, with potential divestiture of the Chrome browser being considered [3]. - Analysts estimate that if Alphabet is split into five independent businesses, its total value could reach $3.7 trillion, with specific valuations for each business unit [6]. - The breakup analysis does not account for the value derived from the companies being under the same corporate parent, which could lead to significant losses in customer benefits [8]. Group 2: Valuations of Business Units - The search and advertising unit is valued at $2.4 trillion based on a revenue multiple of 9.7x applied to its $250 billion annual revenue [7]. - Google Cloud is estimated to be worth $575 billion, with varying estimates ranging from $549 billion to $682 billion [12]. - YouTube's valuation is pegged at $513 billion, while Waymo is estimated at $180 billion, with a wide range of estimates from $60 billion to $300 billion [12]. Group 3: Ecosystem Benefits and Strategic Recommendations - The ecosystem benefits of keeping the various units together are estimated to be worth $67 billion, highlighting the importance of network effects and cost efficiencies [10][9]. - A strategic middle path could optimize benefits for shareholders and customers, potentially doubling Alphabet's market capitalization to about $6.9 billion by 2035 [10]. - Recommendations include spinning off Waymo, separating Google Cloud, and maintaining an integrated consumer ecosystem to preserve user experience benefits [13].
Kraft Heinz considers breakup amid sluggish sales, changing consumer preferences: report
New York Post· 2025-07-11 20:03
Core Viewpoint - Kraft Heinz is considering a spinoff of a significant portion of its grocery business due to changing consumer preferences towards healthier, less processed foods, which could create a new entity valued at up to $20 billion [1][7]. Company Strategy - The remaining Kraft Heinz entity would focus on sauces and condiments, including well-known brands like Heinz ketchup and Grey Poupon [2]. - Executives believe that separating the two units could enhance overall market value, potentially exceeding the current $31 billion market cap [3]. Financial Performance - Kraft Heinz has struggled to meet expectations since its 2015 merger, with little sales growth and declining profits, resulting in a stock price drop of over 60%, equating to a loss of approximately $57 billion in market value [11][16]. - The company reported around $28 billion in annual revenue at the time of the merger, but by 2019, it faced rising costs and a $15 billion write-down related to its Kraft and Oscar Mayer brands [8][9]. Market Response - Following news of the potential spinoff, Kraft Heinz shares surged nearly 4%, trading around $27 [2]. - The stock has experienced significant volatility, peaking near $96 in early 2017 and recently opening at $26.90, just above its 52-week low [12]. Strategic Considerations - Kraft Heinz is evaluating various strategic transactions to unlock shareholder value, with discussions ongoing but no final decisions made yet [4][14]. - The company has also been exploring the sale of underperforming brands, including Oscar Mayer and Maxwell House, but these efforts have not yet succeeded [13].