Cost - Cutting Initiative
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Citigroup Set to Report Q3 Earnings: How to Approach the Stock Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-09 16:31
Core Insights - Citigroup Inc. is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 14, 2025, with anticipated increases in both net interest income and non-interest revenues [1][6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter sales is $21.01 billion, reflecting a 3.4% year-over-year increase, while earnings are projected at $1.91, indicating a 23.8% rise from the previous year [2][6] Financial Performance - The company has shown a solid increase in Investment Banking revenues, with expectations of mid-single-digit growth in IB fees for the third quarter [8][9] - Net interest income is projected to reach $14.6 billion, a 9.4% year-over-year rise, supported by stable funding and loan growth [5][6] - The average interest-earning assets are estimated at $2.4 trillion, indicating a 5.3% increase from the prior year [7] Market Conditions - Global M&A activity rebounded in the third quarter, positively impacting Citigroup's investment banking revenues [8] - Market volatility and client activity were strong, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and changes in Federal Reserve policy, likely boosting market-making revenues [10][11] Expense Management - Citigroup is focused on reducing expenses through organizational simplification, but increased investments in technology and business transformation may keep expenses elevated [13] - The company is expected to have set aside significant provisions for potential delinquent loans due to anticipated higher interest rates and inflation impacts from tariffs [14] Stock Performance and Valuation - Citigroup shares gained 17.7% in the third quarter of 2025, outperforming the industry average of 10.1% [18] - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E of 10.45X, below the industry average of 14.75X, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [20][22] Strategic Initiatives - The company is undergoing a significant transformation, including exiting consumer banking in nine countries and implementing a cost-cutting initiative aimed at saving $2-$2.5 billion annually by 2026 [23][26] - Citigroup has increased its dividend by 7.1% and approved a $20 billion stock repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its long-term strategy [27]