Ellington Credit Company (NYSE:EARN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 20, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsAlaael-Deen Shilleh - Associate General CounselGreg Borenstein - Portfolio ManagerLarry Penn - CEOChris Smernoff - CFOConference Call ParticipantsEric Hagen - Specialty Finance AnalystDoug Harter - Equity Research AnalystCrispin Love - AnalystOperatorGood morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Ellington Credit Company's second fiscal quarter-ended, September 30th, 20 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported GAAP net income of $0.11 per share and net investment income of $0.23 per share, with a weighted average GAAP yield of 15.5% on the CLO portfolio [9][11][12] - The NAV as of September 30 was $5.99 per share, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $20.1 million, and a NAV-based total return for the quarter of 9.6% annualized [12][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The CLO portfolio increased by 20% to $380 million, with new purchases totaling $116 million, of which 62% was in CLO debt and 38% in CLO equity [11][12] - CLO equity represented 51% of total CLO holdings, down from 53% at the beginning of the quarter [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The credit markets rallied in Q3, supported by a dovish shift from the Federal Reserve, leading to tightened corporate credit and CLO spreads [4][5] - In the US leveraged loan market, lower quality CCC-rated loans fell amid default concerns, while single B-rated loans advanced due to sustained CLO demand [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on increasing its allocation to mezzanine debt due to attractive yields and downside protection, while reducing exposure to new issue equity [6][7] - The strategy emphasizes active trading to capitalize on mispricings and manage risk effectively, with a preference for secondary market acquisitions [6][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that volatility and credit dispersion are defining features of the corporate credit markets, with concerns about idiosyncratic credit issues impacting performance [20][21] - The company expects elevated repricing activity and ongoing credit dispersion to create opportunities for outperformance through active portfolio management [25] Other Important Information - The company has increased its credit hedging portfolio to approximately $90 million, equating to about 40% of NAV, to provide downside protection [21][22] - Following the quarter end, the synthetic short position in credit hedges reached over $150 million as of October 31 [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drove the increase in credit hedges from the end of September to the end of October? - The increase was primarily due to the growth in portfolio size and leverage, ensuring liquidity during market downturns [28][29] Question: Is there a more cautious view on credits reflected in the decrease of the CLO portfolio? - The decrease was attributed to quarterly payment distributions and markdowns in CLO equity prices, not necessarily a more cautious view [35][36] Question: Can you discuss the appetite for leverage and potential unsecured debt issuance? - The company is close to being fully invested and could increase leverage to around $400 million, constrained by regulatory restrictions [39][40] Question: What are the predictions for CLO supply next year? - Predictions are uncertain, but there may be more reset and refinancing activities rather than new issues, depending on market conditions [42][43] Question: How does AI impact the CLO market and credit flow? - AI may create winners and losers in the loan market, affecting CLO equity returns and increasing concerns about credit dispersion [45][46]

Important Notice Forward-Looking Statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are not historical in nature and can be identified by words such as "anticipate," "estimate," "will," "should," "may," "expect," "project," "believe," "intend," "seek," "plan" and similar expressions or their negative forms, or by references to strategy, plans, or intentions. F ...

Earnings Conference Call Q3 2025 Q3 2025 EARNINGS November 6, 2025 Important Notice Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ from our beliefs, expectations, estimates, and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predi ...

Financial Performance - Net income was $42.9 million, or $0.45 per share[11] - Economic return was 3.3% for the quarter (non-annualized)[11] - Adjusted Distributable Earnings were $45.0 million, or $0.47 per share[11] - The company declared total dividends of $0.39 for the quarter, resulting in a book value per common share of $13.49[11] Portfolio Composition and Strategy - The adjusted long credit portfolio increased by 1% to $3.32 billion as of June 30, 2025, compared to $3.30 billion as of March 31, 2025[11, 18] - The long Agency portfolio increased by 5% to $268.5 million, driven by net purchases[11, 26] - The Longbridge portfolio decreased by 1% to $545.6 million, as a securitization slightly exceeded new originations[11, 29] - 87% of deployed capital was allocated to credit, 2% to agency, and 11% to Longbridge[12] Leverage and Capital Structure - Recourse debt-to-equity ratio was 1.7:1[11] - Total debt-to-equity ratio was 8.7:1, including non-recourse borrowings[11] - Total stockholders' equity was $1.67 billion, including $1.33 billion of common equity and $332 million of preferred equity[11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income of $0.35 per share and adjusted distributable earnings (ADE) of $0.39 per share, which continue to cover dividends [5][13] - The recourse debt to equity ratio decreased to 1.7:1 from 1.8:1 quarter over quarter, indicating improved leverage [10][18] - Book value per common share stood at $13.44, with a total economic return for the first quarter of 9.5% annualized [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The adjusted long credit portfolio decreased by 4% to $3.3 billion due to securitizations and a smaller residential transitional loan portfolio [17] - The Longbridge portfolio increased by 31% sequentially to $549 million, driven by proprietary reverse mortgage loan originations [17] - The agency RMBS portfolio declined by 14% to $256 million as the company rotated capital into higher yielding opportunities [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The weighted average borrowing rate on recourse borrowings decreased by 12 basis points to 6.09% [18] - The net interest margin (NIM) on the credit portfolio decreased by 12 basis points, while the NIM on agency increased by 24 basis points [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on establishing joint ventures to secure consistent access to high-quality loans at attractive pricing [10] - The management emphasized the importance of dynamic hedging strategies and a diversified portfolio to protect book value during market volatility [30][32] - The company is tightening underwriting guidelines to focus on higher FICO borrowers and loans with more extensive underwriting [23] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's positioning to take advantage of heightened market volatility and recharged opportunities [34] - The company noted that the current environment is well-suited to its core strengths, with short-duration loan portfolios steadily returning principal [30] - Management highlighted the ongoing positive contributions from the mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio, despite not expecting the same mark-to-market gains as in the previous quarter [20][22] Other Important Information - The company completed five new securitization deals in the first quarter, taking advantage of tight spreads [7] - The company sold a variety of credit-sensitive securities to lock in gains and enhance liquidity [9] - The company is actively developing proprietary tools to support loan origination [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Have you been able to deploy a material amount of capital in attractive trading opportunities? - Management indicated that while there was not material growth in April, the portfolio has grown net relative to March 31, with growth in non-QM and opportunistic securities [38][39] Question: Can you provide more detail on the resolutions of commercial bridge loans? - Management explained that one was a discounted payoff, another an REO sale, and one is in active CapEx and lease-up, freeing up $20 million to $25 million for reinvestment [44][46] Question: Does the high level of spread volatility impact your near-term appetite for loan acquisitions? - Management noted that heightened volatility allows for opportunities to buy securities and loans, with a balanced market of buyers and sellers [56][58] Question: Can you share timing and size on potential joint ventures with originators? - Management stated that the investments would be under $5 million in total, aimed at diversifying sourcing channels [68][70] Question: Is the increased value on consumer relationships a reflection of the current lock-in effect? - Management believes it reflects a broader trend in the mortgage space, emphasizing the importance of maintaining customer relationships over time [75][80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income of $0.35 per share and adjusted distributable earnings (ADE) of $0.39 per share, which continue to cover dividends [5][13] - The recourse debt to equity ratio decreased to 1.7:1 from 1.8:1 quarter over quarter, indicating improved leverage management [10][18] - Book value per common share stood at $13.44, with a total economic return for the first quarter of 9.5% annualized [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The adjusted long credit portfolio decreased by 4% to $3.3 billion due to securitizations and a smaller residential transitional loan portfolio [17] - The Longbridge portfolio increased by 31% sequentially to $549 million, driven by proprietary reverse mortgage loan originations [17] - The agency RMBS portfolio declined by 14% to $256 million as the company rotated capital into higher yielding opportunities [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The weighted average borrowing rate on recourse borrowings decreased by 12 basis points to 6.09% [18] - The net interest margin (NIM) on the credit portfolio decreased by 12 basis points, while the NIM on agency increased by 24 basis points [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on establishing joint ventures to secure consistent access to high-quality loans at attractive pricing [10] - The company is tightening underwriting guidelines to focus on higher FICO borrowers and loans with more extensive underwriting [23] - The company is actively developing proprietary tools to support loan origination and enhance operational efficiency [29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's positioning to take advantage of heightened market volatility and recharged opportunity sets [30][34] - The company anticipates ongoing meaningful contributions to ADE from its mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio [21] - Management noted that the current high levels of volatility are creating compelling trading opportunities [30] Other Important Information - The company completed five new securitization deals in the first quarter, taking advantage of tight spreads [7] - The company sold a variety of credit-sensitive securities to lock in gains and enhance liquidity [9] - The company expects to resolve remaining significant workout assets by the end of the second quarter [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Have you been able to deploy a material amount of capital in attractive trading opportunities? - Management indicated that while there was not material growth in April, the portfolio has grown net relative to March 31, with growth in non-QM and non-agency MBS [38][39] Question: Can you provide more detail on the resolutions of commercial bridge loans? - Management clarified that one was a discounted payoff and another was an REO sale, freeing up $20 million to $25 million for reinvestment [44][46] Question: Does the high level of spread volatility impact your near-term appetite for loan acquisitions? - Management noted that they have been diligent about hedging spread widening risk and have found opportunities to buy loans as spreads tightened [56][58] Question: Can you share timing and size on potential joint ventures with originators? - Management stated that the investments would be under $5 million in total and are expected to close in the next quarter or two [69][74] Question: Is the $0.9 earnings run rate for the Longbridge segment still achievable? - Management confirmed that the $0.9 run rate is still achievable, with seasonal trends affecting volumes [86][89] Question: Can you discuss current performance and dynamics in the CLO market? - Management indicated that CLOs represent a small part of the portfolio and recent negative performance was due to spread widening rather than underlying credit issues [91][92]