Core Insights - Qifu Technology (QFIN) and Sezzle (SEZL) are significant players in the credit tech sector, with QFIN focusing on AI-powered credit solutions in China and SEZL providing buy-now-pay-later services in the U.S. [2][8] Qifu Technology (QFIN) - QFIN operates a capital-light model that reduces credit risk and enhances growth, utilizing the Intelligence Credit Engine (ICE) to connect borrowers with financial partners [4][6] - The company reported a 15.8% year-over-year growth in total facilitation and origination loan volume, with operating income increasing by 44.8% year-over-year [5] - QFIN's AI-Plus credit strategy, launched in early 2025, aims to improve credit processes and has already led to increased loan volumes and stable delinquency rates at 0.6% [6] - The Chinese digital lending platform market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 27.3% from 2024 to 2030, indicating a favorable market environment for QFIN [7] Sezzle (SEZL) - SEZL targets the underbanked population in the U.S. fintech market, capitalizing on the growing digital payment sector expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.8% from 2023 to 2028 [8] - The company experienced a remarkable 123.3% increase in revenues year-over-year in Q1 2025, driven by a 64.1% rise in gross merchandise volume [9] - SEZL's customer purchase frequency increased to 6.5 times annually, reflecting higher transaction volumes and revenue growth [11] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for QFIN's 2025 sales is $2.6 billion, suggesting a 7.6% year-over-year growth, with earnings expected to rise by 25.3% [12] - For SEZL, the 2025 sales estimate is $441.8 million, indicating a 62.9% year-over-year growth, with earnings projected to grow by 77.2% [15] Valuation Comparison - QFIN is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 5.97X, while SEZL is at 43.86X, indicating that QFIN is relatively cheaper compared to SEZL [17] - Despite SEZL's strong growth and high Zacks Rank, QFIN presents a more attractive risk-reward profile for value-conscious investors [19][20]

更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木Alpha Global Credit Strategy Fixed Income H2 outlook – Not buying it Global Reality check We are not chasing this rally. Momentum-style strategies do not usually work in credit. This is less about a large probability of spread widening, but rather the asymmetric payoffs that become increasingly skewed against investors' favour as spreads tighten. For every dollar of outperformance US credit offers, investors leave themselves exposed to USD1.5 of potential losses, and up to USD3 in ...