Strategy bitcoin The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons. Happy Friday! Bitcoin BTC briefly plunged to $60,000 before bouncing this morning, but with support levels breaking and liquidations piling up, analysts say traders are sitting on their hands rather than trying to catch a falling knife. In today's newsletter, Strategy CEO Phong Le said the company's balance sheet is safe unless bitcoin falls to $8K, Charles Hoskinson says he' ...

Robinhood shares slid sharply, down about 40% from their 52-week high, as a steep selloff pushed the stock into oversold territory despite weak momentum. ARK Invest bought roughly $32.7 million worth of shares, betting on a potential long-term boost from proposed "Trump Accounts" and a technical rebound.ARKK , ARKF and ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (BATS: ARKW ) funds collectively bought 89,677 shares of Robinhood, valued at around $7.8 million.Shares of Coinbase and other crypto-related companies traded ...

Binance announced it will convert its $1 billion SAFU fund from stablecoins to Bitcoin reserves within 30 days, responding to mounting community criticism that intensified after prominent Wall Street investor Cathie Wood publicly attributed recent market weakness to a Binance-related deleveraging event. The exchange pledged to maintain the fund’s value at $1 billion through regular rebalancing, replenishing it with additional Bitcoin if price fluctuations push the fund below $800 million. The move comes ...

Amid broad traditional market declines, crypto once again was the standout underperformer on Thursday. Modest overnight declines in crypto turned into a major rout in the U.S. morning as the Nasdaq shed more than 2% and gold tumbled nearly 10% from an overnight record. But while both of those markets managed sizable afternoon bounces — the Nasdaq closing with a decline of just 0.7% and gold reclaiming the $5,400 per ounce level — bitcoin and the rest of crypto held not far from session lows. Bitcoin was t ...

Core Viewpoint - XRP experienced a significant price rally to $3.65 in July 2025, driven by optimism surrounding the SEC lawsuit and renewed retail interest, but has since fallen to around $1.90, approximately 50% below its peak [1][6]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Standard Chartered set a target of $8 for XRP, with Ripple's CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, noting a "massive sea change" in Wall Street's interest that has not yet been reflected in crypto markets [2]. - Garlinghouse emphasized that regulatory progress, particularly with the GENIUS Act and the upcoming CLARITY Act, is crucial for Ripple's long-term outlook, rather than short-term price fluctuations [3]. - Despite Garlinghouse's bullish outlook for the broader crypto market to reach all-time highs in 2026, XRP's price has not followed suit due to various market dynamics [4][7]. Group 2: Factors Affecting XRP Price - Post-lawsuit profit-taking has led to increased selling pressure, as many early investors sold their holdings after the SEC settlement, contributing to a supply overhang [11][8]. - Capital rotation towards Bitcoin and Ethereum has left payment tokens like XRP behind, as speculative interest has shifted to other narratives such as DeFi and AI [13]. - ETF inflows for XRP have been below expectations, with only $1.3 billion attracted since November 2025, which is significantly lower compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum products [14][15]. - Macro conditions, including high interest rates, have suppressed risk appetite, leading investors to favor yield-bearing assets over payment-focused tokens like XRP [16]. Group 3: Price Outlook Scenarios - The bullish case for XRP suggests a potential rally to $3.50-$5.00 if ETF inflows exceed $3 billion and the CLARITY Act is passed, alongside increased institutional adoption [22]. - The base case predicts stabilization between $2.50 and $3.50 with moderate ETF inflows and gradual regulatory improvements [23]. - The bearish case indicates a potential decline to $1.50-$2.00 if ETF outflows continue and macroeconomic headwinds persist, with weak network activity further suppressing momentum [25]. Group 4: Current Market Dynamics - XRP remains approximately 50% below its July 2025 cycle high due to profit-taking, capital rotation, and unmet ETF demand, despite Wall Street's optimistic target of $8 by year-end [26]. - For XRP to recover, it requires significant ETF inflows, the passing of the CLARITY Act, and improved macro conditions, otherwise, it is likely to consolidate between $1.50 and $2.50 [27].

Most institutional investors remain bullish on Bitcoin despite brutal fourth-quarter volatility that erased nearly a third of the asset’s value from recent peaks. A new Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode survey found 70% of institutions view BTC as undervalued, even after the token dropped from above $125,000 in early October 2025 to trade around $90,000 by year-end, while 60% of non-institutional investors share that conviction. Source: Coinbase Institutional The findings come from a quarterly poll ...

Core Insights - The crypto market experienced a significant bear market starting in December 2024, with total market capitalization excluding Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins dropping approximately 44% from its late-2024 peak through the end of 2025 [1] - The sentiment and leverage in the market reached levels historically associated with capitulation, indicating a panic-driven sell-off where holders liquidated positions to prevent further losses [2] Market Performance - Bitcoin ended 2025 down roughly 6%, while Ethereum fell about 11% and Solana declined 34%. The broader token universe, excluding BTC, ETH, and SOL, dropped close to 60%, with the median token down approximately 79% [3] - The market was characterized by extreme dispersion, with only a small fraction of tokens generating positive returns [3] Market Dynamics - Price action was dominated by macro shocks, positioning, flows, and market structure rather than fundamentals. The year saw repeated volatility linked to policy developments and risk appetite shifts, culminating in a major liquidation cascade in October that wiped out over $20 billion in notional positions [4] - Structural issues, such as unclear legal claims to cash flows for governance tokens, contributed to the pressure on the market, leading to digital asset equities outperforming tokens [5] Future Outlook - The duration of the current drawdown mirrors prior crypto bear markets, potentially setting up a more favorable backdrop for 2026 if fundamentals stabilize and market breadth returns beyond Bitcoin [6] - The firm anticipates 2026 will be characterized by institutional adoption, focusing on real-world asset tokenization, AI-driven on-chain security, bank-backed stablecoins, and a surge in crypto IPOs rather than a broad return to speculative token rallies [7]

Core Insights - RIVER token experienced a significant price increase of 156% over seven days, rising from $17.52 to an intraday high of $54.12, following an $8 million strategic investment by TRON founder Justin Sun, which also pushed its market capitalization above $1 billion [1][3] Trading Volume and Market Position - The 24-hour trading volume for RIVER reached $38.4 million, reflecting a 46% decrease from the previous day, and it currently ranks 96th among all cryptocurrencies with only 19.6 million tokens available for trading out of a total supply of 100 million [2] Investment and Integration - The investment announced by River on January 21 aims to support the integration of its satUSD stablecoin into the TRON ecosystem, allowing users to exchange existing stablecoins like USDT for satUSD at equal value [3] Derivatives Market Dynamics - Heavy short positioning was noted among traders betting against RIVER, with funding rates on major exchanges such as Bybit and Gate at -16%, Binance at -9.8%, and OKX at -12%, indicating extreme costs to maintain these positions [4] - Coinglass reported that trading in derivatives contracts for RIVER exceeded actual token purchases by more than 80 times, suggesting that price movements were driven by borrowed money rather than genuine buying interest, which could lead to sudden price reversals [5] Liquidation Events - Ethereum and Bitcoin led the 24-hour liquidations with $200.54 million and $200.34 million respectively, and RIVER was among the actively liquidated tokens during this period [6] Price Discrepancies Across Exchanges - RIVER exhibited wide price spreads across different exchanges, with Kraken listing it at $54.37 and Toobit at $52.88, creating a nearly 3% gap. Buy and sell orders were thin across most venues, with Bitget showing limited pending orders, indicating that large trades could significantly impact the price [7] Broader Market Context - The overall cryptocurrency market declined by 1.82% during the same period, with a total market capitalization of $3.08 trillion. The Fear & Greed Index indicated extreme fear among investors at a level of 24, while Bitcoin dominance stood at 57.5% with BTC trading near $88,500 [8]

The Russell 2000 index reached a new all-time high in January. This breakout not only reflects the strength of US small-cap stocks but also carries important implications for the cryptocurrency market, especially altcoins. Meanwhile, other data points indicate improving sentiment among altcoin investors. Market participants are increasingly expecting a recovery during this quarter. Strong Correlation Between The Russell 2000 And The Crypto Market The Russell 2000 tracks around 2,000 small-cap US compani ...

Core Insights - The report by Binance Research indicates that the total cryptocurrency market capitalization surpassed $4 trillion for the first time in 2025, with Bitcoin reaching an all-time high, although the market ultimately declined by approximately 7.9% due to macroeconomic uncertainties [1] - Bitcoin exhibited characteristics of strong asset properties but weak on-chain activity, with net inflows into U.S. spot ETFs exceeding $21 billion, while the number of active addresses decreased by 16% year-over-year [1] - The report forecasts that global monetary easing and deregulation in 2026 will drive a "risk reset" in the market, with the establishment of a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve potentially serving as a key catalyst [1]