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T-Mobile Beats Estimates, But Customer Growth Leaves Investors Wanting More, Says Analyst
Benzingaยท 2025-04-25 18:09
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs analyst James Schneider maintains a Buy rating on T-Mobile US, Inc. with a price target increase from $280 to $285, despite expectations of lower stock trading following results that showed in-line financial metrics and postpaid phone net additions [1] Financial Performance - T-Mobile reported revenue of $20.89 billion, exceeding Schneider's estimate of $20.78 billion and the Street's estimate of $20.64 billion, driven by an increase in equipment revenue [6] - Postpaid phone net additions were +495k, slightly above Schneider's estimate of +486k but below the Street estimate of +499k [6] - High-speed internet net additions were +424k, surpassing both Schneider's estimate of +399k and the Street estimate of +396k [6] Guidance and Market Expectations - T-Mobile updated its 2025 guidance, maintaining postpaid net customer addition guidance at 5.5-6.0 million, compared to the analyst estimate of 6.03 million and the Street estimate of 5.87 million [7] - Investors had anticipated a greater upside in postpaid phone net additions and guidance, based on historical patterns and recent acquisitions [2] Industry Context - The overall industry phone net additions for major carriers, including T-Mobile, were +853k in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 203k, but a decrease from +1,056k in Q1 2024, indicating a slowing growth rate [4] - On the residential broadband side, net additions were +596k in Q1 2025, down 33k year-over-year, compared to 629k in Q1 2024, suggesting a slowdown in the industry [5] - Despite higher promotional activity and churn metrics across wireless carriers, the wireless market remains healthy due to recent plan price increases [3]