October 8, 2025 04:00 AM GMT AlphaWise Global Data Center Capacity Growth to Increase 6x - The Data You Haven't Seen This follow up to our recent note Global Data Center Capacity Growth to Increase 6x' provides further colour on our AlphaWise surveys of US and European data operators and their builders and suppliers. We drill down to show country differences on past and future bottlenecks, factors driving DC expansion and ESG considerations, as well as the evolution of DC total costs (potential inflation) b ...

Key Takeaways Telin will deploy Nokia's optical solutions to enhance Singapore data center connectivity.Nokia's 1830 GX platform and pluggable optics will support low-latency, scalable networks.Growing AI workloads and data center expansion position Nokia to benefit from demand. Nokia Corporation (NOK) recently announced that Telin, a major telecommunication company in Singapore, has opted to deploy Nokia solutions to boost data center connectivity in Singapore. The city-state has become a key epicenter of ...

Um, this is fascinating. I mean, as Mackenzie had mentioned, this comes on the heels of the NVIDIA Open AAI deal. And if you want to think about the circularity of yesterday's deal, then you loop in Oracle and OpenAI and Oracle teaming up and it's sort of this big >> takes you back to that announcement back at the White House.Um, and and that was, you know, we saw those three stocks or those that could trade, excuse me, were were out there moving. And yes, there there are linkages and there's uh overlap in ...

Core Insights - Oracle's shares surged by 36% following a significant earnings report, driven by a 359% increase in remaining performance obligations, totaling $455 billion [1] - The company anticipates generating $144 billion in cloud infrastructure revenue by fiscal year 2030, which is eight times the expected $18 billion for fiscal year 2025 [1] Group 1: Oracle's Impact on Data Center Expansion - Oracle plans to build an additional 37 data centers to meet the demands of major clients like Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft [2] - The expansion of data centers is expected to lead to increased purchases of related components, creating opportunities for other companies in the sector [2] Group 2: Beneficiary Stocks - Credo Technology Group, which specializes in active electrical cables, is positioned to benefit significantly from Oracle's data center expansion, with shares rising 10% following Oracle's announcement [3][4] - Applied Optoelectronics, valued at approximately $1.7 billion, sells optical transceivers and saw its shares increase by 17% after Oracle's news, indicating potential for growth despite being a smaller player [9] - Coherent, a larger company with a market capitalization of $16 billion, also produces optical transceivers and generated nearly $950 million in revenue from data center markets, showing a more stable investment compared to smaller firms [12][13]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record revenue of $187 million for FY 2025, an increase of $42 million from the previous quarter, primarily driven by Bitcoin mining revenue of $180 million [14] - EBITDA grew tenfold year-on-year, with annualized revenue from Bitcoin mining operations exceeding $1 billion [7][32] - The company closed the financial year with approximately $565 million in cash and total assets of $2.9 billion, indicating a strong balance sheet [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Bitcoin mining capacity increased to 50 exahash, with high margin revenues driving profitability, achieving an all-in cash cost of $36,000 per Bitcoin mined against an average realized price of $99,000 [15] - AI cloud revenue reached $7 million during the quarter, with over 10,000 GPUs online or being commissioned [9][10] - The company expanded its contracted grid-connected power by over a third to nearly 3 gigawatts and tripled its operating data center capacity to 810 megawatts [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The AI cloud business is experiencing rapid scaling, with significant demand for GPU resources as enterprise adoption of AI solutions accelerates [17] - The percentage of organizations leveraging AI in multiple business functions increased from 55% to 78% in the last year, highlighting the growing market demand [17] - Power availability and GPU-ready data center capacity remain scarce, with customers prioritizing speed to deploy and scalability [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on scaling across the full AI infrastructure stack, from grid-connected transmission to digital compute, positioning itself to capture a broad and growing addressable market [10] - The construction of Horizon 1, a direct-to-chip liquid cooling AI data center, is underway, with plans for further expansion to support over 60,000 NVIDIA GPUs [12][23] - The company aims to maintain a CapEx efficient growth strategy, securing GPU financing at single-digit rates to fund expansion [21][35] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the AI cloud market, noting that demand is accelerating faster than supply, with significant infrastructure constraints [17][18] - The company is well-positioned to meet market demand due to its vertical integration and control over key bottlenecks in the supply chain [18] - Future growth is expected to be driven by the AI cloud business, with projections of billions in annualized revenue from this segment alone [11] Other Important Information - The company has transitioned to a US domestic issuer status and is now reporting under US GAAP and SEC regulations [14] - The company is advancing multiple data center projects to drive revenue growth and future expansion [11][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Efficiency at sites and backup generation - The company operates at a PUE of 1.1 in British Columbia, with expectations to maintain competitive efficiency levels across its sites [40] - Redundancy is being introduced across the GPU fleet to enhance customer service, driven by customer demand [42] Question: Contract duration for cloud business - The company has a range of contract lengths from one month to three years, with newer equipment often seeing longer-term contracts [50] Question: Strategic thinking on Horizon projects - Horizon 1 is engineered specifically for liquid-cooled GPUs, with flexibility to accommodate various GPU densities [60] - The company is exploring both cloud and colocation opportunities to maximize risk-adjusted returns [106] Question: Financing for Blackwell GPUs - The company is utilizing various leasing structures for GPU financing, allowing flexibility in equipment ownership at the end of lease terms [72] Question: Key hires and sales strategy - The company is actively hiring across various functions to support cloud and colocation businesses, focusing on expanding its go-to-market capabilities [83] - The company is leveraging its unique competitive advantages, including end-to-end infrastructure control, to attract AI clients [89]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenues of $372 million for Q2 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of $21 million or 6% compared to Q2 2024, and a quarter-over-quarter increase of $14 million or 4% compared to Q1 2025 [15][18] - Net profit for Q2 2025 was $47 million, also $7 million higher quarter-over-quarter, resulting in earnings per share of $0.42 basic and $0.41 diluted [15][18] - Gross profit and operating profit for Q2 2025 were $80 million and $40 million respectively, each higher than the prior quarter by $7 million [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The RF Infrastructure business grew significantly, contributing over $90 million in revenues, which accounted for 25% of corporate revenues, up from 14% in the same period of 2024 [6][15] - The company has seen a fivefold increase in silicon photonics products moving from preproduction to production phase compared to the same period in 2024 [7] - RF SOI revenue increased over 20% from Q1 to Q2 2025 and is expected to grow close to 30% from Q2 to Q3 2025 [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing strong demand in the optical transceiver market, particularly for silicon germanium and silicon photonics technologies [5][6] - Utilization rates in various fabs were reported, with Fab two and Fab nine operating at about 60% utilization, while Fab three was fully utilized at 85% [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is repurposing multiple factories to increase capacity for RF infrastructure, specifically silicon germanium and silicon photonics [4][5] - Continued investment in capacity and R&D is planned throughout 2025, with further growth expected in 2026 [5][19] - The company aims to achieve $2.7 billion in annual revenue at full loading of existing fabs, targeting $560 million in operating profits and $500 million in net profit [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining the number one market share position in the optical transceiver market, with strong customer qualifications and demand [5][6] - The company anticipates strong sequential growth throughout the second half of 2025, with Q3 revenues expected to be around $395 million [4][5] - Management noted that the increase in silicon germanium and silicon photonics capacity will align with customer demand forecasts [85] Other Important Information - The company has a strong balance sheet with total assets of $3.2 billion and shareholders' equity reaching a record of $2.8 billion [18] - The company is engaged in various strategic partnerships and investments, including a $500 million allocation for fab equipment in Italy [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What segments are expected to contribute to sequential growth in the second half of the year? - Management indicated that RF Infrastructure, particularly silicon germanium and silicon photonics, will be the primary contributors, with power management and RF SOI also expected to show strong growth [24][25] Question: Is the company fully booked through the end of the year? - Management confirmed that while there is room for immediate upsides, the focus remains on utilizing additional capacity for silicon germanium and silicon photonics [27][28] Question: Can you elaborate on the silicon photonics technology supporting receive functions? - Management explained that the new technology for the receive function could add approximately 20% to the served market and expects significant growth in silicon photonics shipments in Q4 2025 [38][39] Question: How is the improvement in RF mobile space characterized? - Management noted that the growth is attributed to inventory replenishment and share gains, with existing customers increasing their forecasts [42][62] Question: What is the outlook for operating expenses in 2025? - Management indicated that operating expenses are expected to trend flat to up on a year-over-year basis, maintaining a current run rate of about $40 million per quarter [78] Question: How is cash flow expected to trend with ongoing CapEx? - Management stated that cash from operations is expected to continue its positive trend, while CapEx levels are anticipated to remain stable [74][80]

Data Center Expansion - OpenAI and Oracle are undertaking a new 4.5 GW data center expansion [1] Industry Collaboration - CNBC's Kristina Partsinevelos discusses the collaboration between OpenAI and Oracle on 'Money Movers' [1]

Investment & Growth Strategy - The company secured investment from Blackstone, an infrastructure investor, to enhance growth optionality [2] - Warburg Pincus remains interested in further growth with the company after seven years [3] - The company aims to consolidate its market position through mergers and acquisitions to scale up and become a market leader in Asia [4] - Stone Peak provided a solution aligned with the company's objectives, positioning it to capture growth in Asia [4] Market Expansion & Customer Focus - The company prioritizes partners with a proven execution track record and deep capital resources, aligning with the needs of large hyperscalers [7] - The company plans to deepen its presence in existing markets like Japan and India, while also expanding into new markets such as Australia and South Korea [8] - The company aims to be a trusted partner for U S hyperscalers expanding in Asia [9] Supply Chain & Cost Management - The company has secured its supply chain for the next couple of years [10] - A significant portion of the company's supply chain manufacturing is located in Asia, providing a cost advantage [10] - The company is not currently experiencing cost pressures and sees opportunities to build large-scale data centers near sources of excess power at reasonable costs [11] Future Prospects - The company is considering an IPO or a trade sale [12] - The company aims to consolidate the market through acquisitions in the next 3 to 4 years to achieve a larger scale before potentially going public [13]

Core Industry Insights - The electronics manufacturing services (EMS) industry is highly competitive and rapidly evolving, driven by factors such as AI, data center expansion, consumer electronics growth, 5G adoption, IoT proliferation, and automotive innovation [4] - Both Celestica Inc. and Jabil Inc. are strategically positioned in this evolving EMS landscape, with domain-specific expertise in core areas [4] Jabil Inc. Highlights - Jabil is experiencing significant growth in AI-related revenues, projected to reach $8.5 billion by 2025, reflecting a 50% year-over-year growth [5] - The AI data center market is expected to grow from $15.02 billion in 2024 to $93.60 billion in 2032, with a compound annual growth rate of 26.8% [6] - Jabil plans to invest $500 million in the Southeast U.S. to expand manufacturing capabilities and workforce development for the cloud and AI data center infrastructure market [6] - The company generated $326 million in adjusted free cash flow in Q3 and anticipates over $1.2 billion in adjusted free cash flow for the full year 2025, indicating efficient working capital management [7] - Jabil faces challenges from weak demand in renewable energy and EV verticals, as well as competition from Celestica and others [8] Celestica Inc. Highlights - Celestica is witnessing growth in its Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment, driven by strong demand for 400G and 800G switches [9][10] - The company is focusing on product diversification and innovation, with strategic collaborations with industry leaders like AMD and Broadcom expected to yield long-term benefits [10] - Celestica's strong R&D capabilities allow it to produce high-volume electronic products and complex technology infrastructure products [11] - The introduction of innovative products, such as the ES1500 enterprise access switch, positions Celestica for long-term growth [12] - However, the company faces margin pressures due to intensifying competition and significant customer concentration risk [13] Financial Performance and Valuation - Jabil's 2025 sales are estimated to grow by 0.58%, with EPS growth of 10.13%, while Celestica's sales and EPS are expected to grow by 13.15% and 30.15%, respectively [14][16] - Over the past year, Celestica's stock has gained 152.6%, while Jabil's has increased by 85.2% [17] - Jabil's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 20.42, which is lower than Celestica's 28.98, making Jabil more attractive from a valuation standpoint [17] Investment Outlook - Jabil holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while Celestica has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a stronger investment outlook for Jabil [19][21] - Both companies are expected to benefit from the growing AI proliferation across industries, but Jabil's broader portfolio, robust cash flow, and strategic investments provide it with a competitive edge [21]

Company Expansion - CoreWeave is expanding a data center near Dallas [1] Energy & Infrastructure - Expansion places new demands on the US power grid [1] - Expansion raises concerns about reliability of the US power grid [1]