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Allstate Trades Above 50-Day SMA: How to Play the Stock Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-05 18:36
Core Insights - Allstate Corporation is experiencing a short-term bullish trend as its shares are trading above the 50-day simple moving average, indicating potential upward momentum [1] - The company is the third-largest property-casualty insurer in the U.S. and is expected to achieve growth through increasing premiums, business streamlining, and strong cash flows [2] Price Performance - Year-to-date, Allstate's shares have increased by 8.1%, while the industry has grown by 10.6%, and the Finance sector and S&P 500 Composite have risen by 13.3% and 11.1%, respectively [3] - Allstate has a market capitalization of $54.9 billion, with an average trading volume of 1.6 million shares over the last three months [3] Valuation - Allstate's shares are currently trading at a price-to-book value of 2.5X, which is higher than the industry average of 1.58X, indicating that the shares are expensive compared to peers [4] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Allstate's 2025 earnings per share (EPS) is $21.19, with revenues projected at $69 billion. For 2026, EPS and revenues are expected to rise by 7.7% and 5.4%, respectively [10] - The long-term earnings growth rate is estimated at 11.8%, surpassing the industry average of 7% [10] Revenue Growth - Allstate's premium growth is supported by disciplined pricing and acquisitions, with an 8.1% increase in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year, and a similar 8% increase anticipated for the full year [14][15] - The company is expanding its services and reinforcing its property-liability business, creating multiple avenues for growth [16] Financial Challenges - Allstate faces challenges such as catastrophe exposure, rising costs, and high leverage, with a debt-to-capital ratio of 25.2%, significantly above the industry average of 16.1% [18][19] - Inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions have increased claims and repair costs, impacting profitability and cash flows [18] Strategic Focus - Management is concentrating on rate revisions, product upgrades, and shifting towards more profitable segments to maintain growth momentum [17] - The company is implementing further pricing actions to counter inflation-driven cost pressures, ensuring revenue expansion remains on track [17]