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南亚人口转型与教育支出:机遇与挑战
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2026-02-06 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the education sector in South Asia. Core Insights - The demographic transition in South Asia presents both challenges and opportunities for the education sector, with a projected decline of about 10% in the under-17 population by 2050, from 634 million in 2020 to 572 million [10] - The potential for reinvesting educational resources is significant, with an average of 0.6 percentage points of GDP available for basic education by 2050, even after achieving universal basic education [4] - The report emphasizes that a shrinking student population does not automatically lead to more efficient spending due to structural and political challenges [4] Summary by Sections Introduction - The demographic transition in South Asia is characterized by a decline in the school-age population, which varies across countries, with some experiencing growth while others face significant declines [10] Education Landscape - South Asia has seen improvements in access to education, with primary school attendance rates exceeding 90% in most countries, but quality remains a challenge, with high rates of learning poverty [11][12] - The region spends an average of only 3.5% of GDP on education, below the recommended 4% to 6% by UNESCO [12] Investment Efficiency - Inefficient allocation of education funds, primarily towards infrastructure and salaries, limits investments in areas that could enhance learning outcomes [14] - Strategic investments are needed to improve educational quality, including targeted campaigns and improved teaching practices [14] Demographic Opportunities - The demographic shift offers a chance to create fiscal space for improving education access and quality, but requires proactive policy choices to realize efficiency gains [15][16] - School consolidation is suggested as a method to manage costs while maintaining quality, though it faces political resistance [20][21] Projections and Scenarios - The report projects public education expenditure as a percentage of GDP from 2020 to 2050 across eight South Asian countries, considering various scenarios related to demographic changes and education system efficiency [23][24] - Four scenarios are analyzed: demographic changes only, universal enrollment by 2050, high-income country expenditure levels, and variable GDP growth rates [28][29] - Under the conservative GDP growth scenario, public expenditure on primary and secondary education could be reinvested to the equivalent of 1.7 percentage points of GDP by 2050 [29]
CREDIT AGRICOLE SA: Crédit Agricole Santé & Territoires completes the acquisition of Petits-fils, the leading provider of at-home services for seniors in France
Globenewswire· 2025-07-29 15:45
Group 1 - Crédit Agricole Santé & Territoires has completed the acquisition of Petits-fils, the leading provider of at-home services for seniors in France, for an equity value of approximately 243 million euros [4] - The acquisition enhances Crédit Agricole's service offerings aimed at supporting the aging population and promoting aging-in-place solutions across France [3][5] - Petits-fils operates a nationwide franchise network with over 290 branches and employs more than 11,000 care workers, providing services to nearly 39,000 individuals in 2024 [5] Group 2 - The acquisition aligns with Crédit Agricole's strategy to address the demographic transition and the growing needs related to the aging population in France [3] - Crédit Agricole Santé & Territoires aims to improve access to healthcare and support the aging population through both at-home services and non-medical housing solutions [7]