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Bear of the Day: Dow (DOW)
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 11:12
Core Insights - Dow Inc. is facing significant challenges due to uncertainty around tariffs and difficult industry conditions, leading to a 50% cut in its quarterly dividend [1][4][8] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Dow reported a loss of $0.42 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus by $0.31, which represents a miss of 282% [2][8] - Net sales decreased by 7% year-over-year to $10.1 billion, with declines across all operating segments, and a sequential decline of 3% [2][3] - Volumes fell by 1%, with gains in the US and Canada offset by declines in India, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe [3] - Cash from operating activities was negative $470 million, down $1.3 billion year-over-year due to lower earnings from margin compression [3] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.35 per share, a reduction of 50% in response to the prolonged industry downturn, which would yield 5.5% annually if maintained [4][5] - This marks the 456th consecutive dividend payment since 1912, showcasing a long-standing commitment to returning value to shareholders [5] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have become increasingly bearish on Dow's prospects for 2025 and 2026, with earnings estimates cut significantly [6] - The Zacks Consensus for 2025 earnings has been revised down to $0.24 from $0.38, indicating an 86% decline compared to the previous year's earnings of $1.71 [6] Stock Performance - Dow's shares have reached 1-year and 5-year lows, reflecting ongoing investor concerns amid the challenging macroeconomic environment [8][10] - The stock is not considered cheap, trading at a forward P/E of 107 and a PEG ratio of 11.3, indicating a lack of value based on traditional metrics [12]
Golub Capital: This Is Why We Are Likely To Talk About Dividend Cut Soon
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-26 14:19
Roberts Berzins has over a decade of experience in the financial management helping top-tier corporates shape their financial strategies and execute large-scale financings. He has also made significant efforts to institutionalize REIT framework in Latvia to boost the liquidity of pan-Baltic capital markets. Other policy-level work includes the development of national SOE financing guidelines and framework for channeling private capital into affordable housing stock. Roberts is a CFA Charterholder, ESG inves ...
Dow: Expected 50% Dividend Cut, Now What?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-26 11:00
The current macroenvironment, although quite resilient has proven tough for certain sectors. And with implemented tariffs and uncertainty surrounding those in the future, companies like Dow Inc. (NYSE: DOW ), a chemical company with more than a centuryContributing analyst to the iREIT+Hoya Capital investment group. The Dividend Collectuh is not a registered investment professional nor financial advisor and these articles should not be taken as financial advice. This is for educational purposes only and I en ...
Here's Why UPS Should Cut Its Dividend
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-24 08:33
Core Viewpoint - There is a strong case for UPS to consider cutting its dividend to better support cash flow generation and capitalize on growth opportunities [1][4][15] Financial Considerations - UPS's management previously projected $5.7 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2025, while the dividend payment is estimated at $5.5 billion, alongside $1 billion planned for share buybacks [2] - The potential inability to cover the dividend with FCF raises concerns, especially if management resorts to debt financing for dividends, which may not be financially prudent [3][12] Strategic Growth Initiatives - UPS is focusing on repurposing its network to handle higher-margin deliveries, which involves sacrificing some revenue for increased profitability [8][10] - The company is making strategic acquisitions in the healthcare sector, including a $1.6 billion deal for Andlauer Healthcare, to enhance its logistics capabilities [10][11] Return on Equity and Investment - By cutting the dividend, UPS could redirect resources towards investments that improve return on equity (RoE) and overall productivity [12][15] - Management aims to double healthcare revenue from $10 billion in 2023 to $20 billion by 2026, partly through acquisitions [13] Market Perception - A decision to cut the dividend could positively influence market expectations regarding UPS's long-term growth prospects, alleviating concerns over dividend sustainability [16]
Easterly Government Properties: Bear Thesis Is Running Dry
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-09 20:51
As I am submitting this article, Easterly Government Properties (NYSE:DEA) is trading at just over $20 (intraday 5/9/25). I intend to demonstrate this price to be ridiculously low relative to the stream of cash flows ahead. At this price, DEA has the following yields: 13.6% CAD yield (Cash available for distribution) 14.5% core FFO yield (Core Funds from Operations) 8.9% dividend yield 4.7% retained cash flow yield The Buy Thesis DEA’s market price has collapsed beyond reason from a non-fundamental reacti ...