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Are WBC shares worth considering in January?
Rask Media· 2026-01-08 00:38
Westpac Banking Corp share price is on watch this month as ASX investors scramble to put a rough target valuation on the company. In this update, you’ll discover how to value a bank share like Westpac Banking Corp, but remember this is just a quick version.Theshare price is on watch this month as ASX investors scramble to put a rough target valuation on the company. In this update, you’ll discover how to value a bank share like Westpac Banking Corp, but remember this is just a quick version.Australia’s big ...
Are ANZ shares worth considering in January?
Rask Media· 2026-01-03 02:02
Core Viewpoint - ANZ Banking Group's share price is under scrutiny as investors attempt to establish a valuation for the company amidst fluctuating market conditions [1][2] Valuation Methods - The PE ratio is a common method for valuing bank shares, comparing the share price to earnings per share [3] - Investors can use intuition, compare with sector averages, or apply a PE multiple to earnings to determine valuation [4] - ANZ's current share price is $36.42, with an earnings per share of $2.15, resulting in a PE ratio of 16.9x, lower than the sector average of 19x [5] Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - DDM is a traditional valuation model that uses dividends to estimate share value, factoring in a risk rate [6][7] - The formula for DDM is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate) [8] - Using a blended growth rate and risk rate between 6% and 11%, the average valuation for ANZ shares is $35.10, with an adjusted dividend leading to a valuation of $35.74 [10] Growth and Risk Analysis - Different growth and risk rate scenarios yield varying valuations, with a 2% growth rate and 6% risk rate suggesting a valuation of $42.25, while an 11% risk rate drops it to $18.78 [11] Additional Considerations - Evaluating net interest margins and regulatory responses is crucial for understanding ANZ's financial health [12] - Company culture is also a significant factor in long-term investment decisions, with ANZ's culture rated below perfect [12]
Are CBA shares worth considering in January?
Rask Media· 2026-01-01 00:33
Core Viewpoint - The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) share price is under scrutiny as investors attempt to establish a rough valuation of the company, with various valuation methods being discussed [1][2]. Valuation Methods - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is a common method for valuing bank shares, comparing the share price to earnings per share [3]. - A comparative analysis of CBA's PE ratio against peers or sector averages can provide insights into its valuation [4]. - CBA's current share price is $160.57, with an earnings per share of $5.63, resulting in a PE ratio of 28.5x, which is higher than the banking sector average of 19x [5]. Dividend Valuation - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a robust method for valuing banks, relying on past or forecasted dividends and a risk rate [6][7]. - The formula for DDM valuation is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), and it is advisable to calculate with various growth and risk assumptions [8]. - Using a blended growth rate and risk rate between 6% and 11%, the average valuation of CBA shares is estimated at $98.33, with an adjusted dividend payment leading to a valuation of $100.66 [10]. Adjusted Valuation - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $6.80 results in a share price valuation of $143.80 [11]. Growth and Risk Analysis - A table outlines various growth and risk rates, showing how they affect the share price valuation, with significant variations based on these assumptions [12]. Additional Considerations - Investors should also consider whether investing in a low-cost, dividend-paying ETF may be more beneficial than individual bank shares [12]. - Key questions include the sustainability of net interest margins and the management of regulatory challenges in pursuit of non-interest income [13]. - The assessment of the management team's culture is also crucial for long-term investment decisions [13].
NAB share price at $42: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-12-14 19:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB) shares, highlighting the importance of understanding their worth for investors, particularly those seeking dividend income. Group 1: Valuation Methods - The Price-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common tool for valuing shares, comparing a company's share price to its earnings per share, with NAB's current PE ratio at 18.6x compared to the banking sector average of 19x [4][6] - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for NAB, based on its earnings per share and the sector average PE, results in a valuation of $41.85 [6] - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is highlighted as a more effective valuation method for banks, relying on past or forecasted dividends and assuming consistent growth [7][8] Group 2: Dividend Valuation - The DDM formula used for valuation is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), with an average valuation of NAB shares calculated at $35.74 using a blended growth and risk rate [9][11] - Adjusting the dividend payment to $1.71 per share increases the valuation to $36.16, while considering gross dividends (including franking credits) raises the valuation to $51.66 [11][12] Group 3: Market Context - The Australian banking sector, including NAB, operates in an oligopoly, with large banks favored by investors for their dividend income and franking credits [2][3] - Despite attempts by international banks to enter the Australian market, their success has been limited, reinforcing the strong position of the "Big Four" banks [3]
Are CBA shares worth considering in December?
Rask Media· 2025-12-04 00:37
Core Viewpoint - The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) share price is under scrutiny as investors attempt to establish a valuation for the bank amidst fluctuating market conditions [1][2]. Valuation Methods - The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common method for valuing bank shares, comparing the share price to earnings per share [3][4]. - CBA's current share price is $151.41, with earnings per share of $5.63, resulting in a PE ratio of 26.9x, which is higher than the banking sector average of 18x [5]. - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for CBA, based on the average PE ratio, is calculated to be $100.80 [5]. Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a more robust valuation method for banks, using recent or forecasted dividends and a risk rate [6][7]. - The formula for DDM is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), and it is advisable to calculate with various growth and risk assumptions [8]. - Using a blended growth rate and risk rate between 6% and 11%, the average valuation for CBA shares is $98.33, while an adjusted dividend payment valuation is $100.66 [10]. Gross Dividend Valuation - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $6.80 results in a share price valuation of $143.80 [11]. Growth and Risk Rate Analysis - Different growth and risk rates yield varying valuations, with a 2% growth rate and a 6% risk rate resulting in a valuation of $119.00, while an 11% risk rate drops the valuation to $52.89 [12]. Additional Considerations - Investors should assess net interest margins, regulatory impacts on non-interest income, and the management team's effectiveness when analyzing CBA [13].
NAB share price at $40: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-11-30 19:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB) shares, focusing on different methods such as the Price-Earnings (PE) ratio and the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) to determine their worth in the context of Australian banking stocks. Valuation Methods - The PE ratio compares a company's share price to its earnings per share, with NAB's current PE ratio at 17.7x compared to the banking sector average of 18x, leading to a sector-adjusted PE valuation of $40.68 for NAB shares [6]. - The DDM is highlighted as a more effective valuation method for banks, relying on past or forecasted dividends and assuming consistent growth, with a calculated valuation of NAB shares ranging from $35.74 to $51.66 depending on the dividend growth and risk rates used [11][12]. Market Context - Australian bank shares, including NAB, Westpac, and ANZ, are favored by investors, particularly for dividend income, due to the oligopolistic nature of the banking sector in Australia [2][3]. - The presence of large international banks has had limited success in competing with Australia's "Big Four" banks, reinforcing the attractiveness of local bank shares [3]. Dividend Insights - NAB's dividends are fully franked, which can enhance their attractiveness to investors, with a gross dividend payment forecasted at $2.44 leading to a higher valuation of $51.66 [12]. - The article emphasizes the importance of considering various growth and risk assumptions when using the DDM to improve valuation reliability [10].
Are WBC shares worth considering in November?
Rask Media· 2025-11-27 00:37
Core Viewpoint - Westpac Banking Corp's share price is under scrutiny as ASX investors attempt to establish a target valuation for the company [1] Group 1: Market Context - Australia's major banks constitute approximately 30% of the share market by market capitalization [2] - The popularity of ASX bank shares has been notable since the early 1990s, particularly following a recession and high mortgage interest rates exceeding 15% [2] - Banks are generally considered to have implicit protection against total financial collapse, as their failure would pose significant political challenges [2] Group 2: Valuation Methods - The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a key metric for valuing shares, comparing a company's share price to its earnings per share [3] - Three methods to utilize the PE ratio include intuitive buying/selling based on PE levels, comparing with sector averages, and calculating a valuation based on expected earnings and a chosen PE multiple [4] - Westpac's current share price is $37.95, with an earnings per share of $1.92, resulting in a PE ratio of 19.8x, which is above the banking sector average of 18x [5] Group 3: Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a traditional and robust method for valuing banking companies [6][7] - DDM valuation involves using the most recent full-year dividends or forecast dividends, assuming consistent growth, and applying a risk rate for discounting future dividends [8][9] - Using a blended growth and risk rate, the average valuation for WBC shares is calculated at $35.10, while an adjusted dividend payment leads to a valuation of $34.05 [10] Group 4: Adjusted Valuation - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $2.30 results in a share price valuation of $48.64 [11] - Various growth and risk rate scenarios yield a range of valuations, with a 6% risk rate and 2% growth rate suggesting a valuation of $40.25 [12] Group 5: Additional Considerations - The analysis of bank shares like Westpac should also consider alternative investment options, such as low-cost dividend-paying ETFs [12] - Key questions for further analysis include the sustainability of net interest margins and the management of regulatory challenges in pursuit of non-interest income [13] - Company culture is an important factor in long-term investment decisions, with Westpac's culture not rated as perfect [13]
NAB share price at $41: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-11-16 19:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB) shares, highlighting the importance of understanding their true worth, especially for dividend-seeking investors. Group 1: Valuation Methods - The Price-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common tool for valuing shares, comparing a company's share price to its earnings per share, with NAB's current PE ratio at 18.4x compared to the banking sector average of 19x [4][6] - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for NAB, based on its earnings per share and the sector average PE, results in a valuation of $42.27 [6] - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is highlighted as a more effective valuation method for banks, relying on recent or forecasted dividends and a risk rate [7][8] Group 2: DDM Valuation Insights - The DDM formula calculates share price based on full-year dividends, risk rate, and dividend growth rate, with an average valuation of NAB shares at $35.74 using a blended rate for growth and risk [10][11] - Adjusting for an 'adjusted' dividend payment increases the valuation to $36.16, while considering gross dividends (including franking credits) raises the valuation to $51.66 [11][12] Group 3: Market Context - The Australian banking sector, including NAB, operates in an oligopoly, with large banks favored by investors for their dividend income and franking credits [2][3] - Despite attempts by international banks to enter the Australian market, their success has been limited, reinforcing the strong position of the 'Big Four' banks [3]
Are ANZ shares worth considering in October?
Rask Media· 2025-10-11 02:07
Core Viewpoint - ANZ Banking Group's share price is under scrutiny as investors attempt to establish a rough valuation for the company, utilizing various methods such as the PE ratio and Dividend Discount Model (DDM) [1][5][10] Valuation Methods - The PE ratio is a key metric for valuing ANZ shares, comparing the share price to earnings per share, with a current PE ratio of 16.2x against a sector average of 20x [3][5] - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for ANZ shares is calculated at $42.51 based on the average PE ratio of the banking sector [5] - The DDM is highlighted as a robust valuation method, using recent or forecasted dividends and a risk rate to estimate share price [6][7] Dividend Analysis - The DDM formula is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), with last year's dividend of $1.66 assumed to grow consistently [8] - Valuations using a blended growth rate and risk rate between 6% and 11% yield an average valuation of ANZ shares at $35.10, with an adjusted dividend payment increasing the valuation to $35.74 [10][11] Market Context - Australia's major banks constitute approximately 30% of the share market by market capitalization, reflecting their popularity since the early 1990s [2] - The political implications of a bank's failure provide an implicit protection against complete financial collapse, although shareholder returns are not guaranteed [2] Additional Considerations - Investors should assess net interest margins, regulatory challenges, and management culture when analyzing ANZ Banking Group for long-term investment [12]
Are BOQ shares worth considering in October?
Rask Media· 2025-10-04 03:07
Group 1: Company Overview - Bank of Queensland Limited's share price is currently under scrutiny as ASX investors attempt to establish a rough valuation for the company [1][2] - The company operates within a banking sector that constitutes approximately 30% of the Australian share market by market capitalization [2] Group 2: Valuation Methods - The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a key metric for valuing Bank of Queensland, with the current PE ratio calculated at 17.8x, compared to the banking sector average of 20x [5] - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for Bank of Queensland is estimated at $8.16 based on its earnings per share [5] - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is another valuation method used, which considers the most recent full-year dividends and assumes consistent or growing dividends over time [6][7] Group 3: DDM Valuation Insights - Using a DDM approach, the share price valuation of Bank of Queensland is calculated at $7.19, with an adjusted dividend payment leading to a valuation of $7.40 [10] - When factoring in fully franked dividends, the valuation increases to $10.57 based on a forecast gross dividend payment of $0.50 [11] Group 4: Growth and Risk Analysis - Various growth and risk rate scenarios yield different valuations, with a risk rate of 6% and a growth rate of 2% resulting in a valuation of $8.75, while a 3% growth rate at the same risk rate results in $11.67 [12] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of understanding net interest margins and regulatory challenges when assessing the company's financial health and growth potential [13]