Drug Sales Growth
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FOLD Shares Hit 52-Week High: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 16:31
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) shares reached a 52-week high of $11.14 on December 15, currently trading at $10.88, with a significant 87.6% increase over the past six months compared to the industry's 21% growth [1][4][9] Company Performance - The stock's rally is driven by investor optimism regarding Amicus' marketed products, particularly Galafold (migalastat) and the combination therapy Pombiliti (cipaglucosidase alfa) + Opfolda (miglustat), which are experiencing steady sales growth [2][20] - Galafold generated sales of $371.5 million in the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase, and is a key revenue driver for the company [7][9] - Pombiliti + Opfolda sales reached $77.5 million in the same period, marking a 61.5% year-over-year growth, indicating strong market uptake [9][13] Market Position and Competition - Amicus has successfully resolved patent litigation with Teva Pharmaceuticals, ensuring Galafold's market protection until January 2037, which is expected to safeguard sales from generic competition [10][11] - Despite the success of Galafold, the company's heavy reliance on this drug for revenue poses a risk, especially with increasing competition from established players like Sanofi and Takeda in the Fabry and Pompe disease markets [14][15][16] Valuation and Financial Estimates - Amicus is currently trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 5.64, which is above the industry average of 2.46, but below its five-year mean of 8.99 [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has increased from 31 cents to 36 cents, while estimates for 2026 have decreased from 70 cents to 67 cents [18] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from strong sales of Galafold and incremental contributions from Pombiliti + Opfolda, indicating potential for growth [20] - Despite concerns regarding reliance on Galafold and competition, recent developments and improving earnings estimates suggest strong upside potential for Amicus [21][22]
Can Auvelity Drive Axsome's Growth Through the Rest of 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-09-30 14:46
Core Insights - Axsome Therapeutics' lead drug, Auvelity, has shown strong sales performance since its approval for major depressive disorder, contributing significantly to the company's revenue [1] Sales Performance - Auvelity recorded sales of $215.9 million in the first half of 2025, marking an 82.3% increase year-over-year, driven by higher unit sales volume [2][9] - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 42.7% for Auvelity sales over the next three years [2] Product Development and Expansion - Auvelity is undergoing label expansion studies for other CNS disorders, including Alzheimer's disease agitation and smoking cessation, with an sNDA expected to be filed in Q3 2025 [3] - A pivotal phase II/III study for smoking cessation is planned to commence in Q4 2025 [3] - The approval of Auvelity for additional indications is expected to further enhance sales and growth prospects [4] Additional Products - Axsome's narcolepsy drug, Sunosi, has also contributed to revenue, with sales increasing by 25.6% year-over-year in H1 2025 [5][9] - The recent launch of Symbravo for migraine treatment, approved in January 2025, is expected to strengthen Axsome's market presence [5] Competitive Landscape - Axsome faces significant competition in the CNS disorder market, particularly from Acadia Pharmaceuticals' Nuplazid, which generated $328.2 million in sales, a 14% increase year-over-year [6][7] - Sunosi may encounter competition from Jazz Pharmaceuticals' sleep disorder drugs, while Symbravo will face established migraine treatments from Pfizer and AbbVie [8]