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RIGL vs. FOLD: Which Biotech Stock Offers Better Growth Potential?
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 16:31
Core Insights - Rigel Pharmaceuticals (RIGL) and Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) are focused on developing treatments for rare medical conditions, aiming to establish leadership in their respective fields [1][2] Rigel Pharmaceuticals (RIGL) - Rigel's lead drug, Tavalisse, is an oral spleen tyrosine kinase inhibitor approved for chronic immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), generating $68.5 million in sales in the first half of 2025, a 44% increase year over year [3][6] - The company is also progressing with Rezlidhia, approved for relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia (AML), with sales increasing 31% year over year in the first half of 2025 [4] - Rigel added Gavreto to its portfolio in 2024, contributing to revenue growth in the first half of 2025 [5] - The company raised its total revenue guidance for 2025 to $270-$280 million, up from a previous estimate of $200-$210 million, due to strong sales performance [6] - Rigel has a pipeline product, R289, in early-stage studies for myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and is exploring Rezlidhia's use in other cancers [7] Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) - Amicus' lead product, Galafold, generated $233.1 million in sales in the first half of 2025, an 11% year-over-year increase, with patent protection extending to 2038 [8][9] - The company’s two-component therapy, Pombiliti + Opfolda, approved for late-onset Pompe disease, generated $46.8 million in sales in the first half of 2025, a 74% increase year over year [10] - Amicus is experiencing a shift of patients from Sanofi's Pompe disease drugs to Pombiliti and Opfolda, with expectations for increased patient starts in new markets in the second half of 2025 [11] - Despite the growth of Galafold and Pombiliti + Opfolda, FOLD remains heavily reliant on Galafold for revenue, posing a risk to the company's overall growth [12] Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigel's 2025 sales and EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of approximately 57% and 415%, respectively [13] - In contrast, Amicus' 2025 sales and EPS estimates imply a year-over-year increase of around 18% and 29%, respectively, with EPS estimates for 2025 trending downward [17] - Year-to-date, RIGL shares have increased by 80.1%, while FOLD shares have decreased by 11.3%, compared to an industry return of 11.7% [19] - Amicus is valued higher than Rigel based on the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, with FOLD trading at 4.51 times trailing sales compared to RIGL's 2.05 [20] Comparative Analysis - Rigel holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a more favorable investment outlook compared to Amicus, which has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [24] - Rigel's strong performance and optimistic guidance for 2025, driven by Tavalisse and other products, suggest significant upside potential [25] - Amicus' reliance on Galafold and competition from established players like Sanofi present challenges for sustained growth [26] - Rigel's expanding portfolio, improving earnings estimates, and lower valuation position it as a more attractive investment compared to Amicus [27]
Strength Seen in Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD): Can Its 6.4% Jump Turn into More Strength?
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 14:36
Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) shares soared 6.4% in the last trading session to close at $8.48. The move was backed by solid volume with far more shares changing hands than in a normal session. This compares to the stock's 7.7% gain over the past four weeks.The price rise can be attributed to growing investor optimism related to the strong uptake of the company’s lead product, Galafold and the combination drug, Pombiliti + Opfolda. In the first six months of 2025, Galafold generated sales worth $233.1 million, ...
Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-03 15:22
Summary of Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) Conference Call Company Overview - Amicus Therapeutics focuses on developing therapies for rare diseases, currently offering two commercial products: Galafold and Pombility AppFolda for Pompe disease [3][4] Financial Performance - Galafold generated over $128 million in global sales in Q2, maintaining a growth rate of 10% to 15% [4] - Pombility AppFolda achieved $26 million in global sales in Q2, aligning with a growth guidance of 50% to 65% [5] - The company is on track to achieve GAAP profitability in the second half of the year [6] Market Dynamics - The Fabry disease market has seen a significant increase in diagnosed patients, with the treated market doubling from 10,000 to 12,000 patients [10][11] - There are now 6,000 diagnosed but untreated patients, leading to a total diagnosed market of 18,000 patients [11] - The potential for Galafold is growing as more patients are identified, with estimates suggesting that 25,000 diagnosed patients could exist in the future [15] Product Insights - Galafold is established as the standard of care for patients with amenable mutations, capturing approximately 70% of the global market share for treated amenable patients [21] - The company has a large registry to support real-world evidence of Galafold's impact on patient outcomes [21] - The demand is shifting towards naive patients, with 80% of demand now coming from newly diagnosed patients [22] Pipeline Development - Amicus has licensed DMX-200 from Dimerix, targeting focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), a rare kidney disease with no approved treatments [5][31] - There are an estimated 40,000 to 80,000 patients with FSGS in the U.S., presenting a significant market opportunity [53] - The company aims to combine DMX-200 with standard treatments to improve patient outcomes [41] Future Projections - The company anticipates that Galafold could contribute approximately 60% of projected billion-dollar sales in the coming years [24] - The Pompe disease market is expected to grow from $1.5 billion to $2 billion, with Amicus aiming for a 50% market share [57] - The company is optimistic about the potential for DMX-200 to become a billion-dollar product, especially as it explores additional indications [55] Challenges and Opportunities - The complexity of diseases like FSGS presents challenges in targeting effective treatments [35] - There is a need for improved diagnostic capabilities, particularly for underrepresented patient populations [19] - The company is focused on building its pipeline and leveraging its financial strength to support growth [62] Conclusion - Amicus Therapeutics is positioned for growth with its existing products and new pipeline developments, particularly in the rare disease space, while maintaining a strong financial outlook and commitment to patient care [61][62]
Amicus (FOLD) Q2 Revenue Jumps 22%
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-01 22:01
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics reported strong quarterly results for Q2 2025, exceeding expectations in both GAAP revenue and non-GAAP earnings, with GAAP revenue of $154.7 million, a 22.1% increase year-over-year, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.01, significantly better than the estimated –$0.12 [1][2] Financial Performance - GAAP revenue reached $154.7 million, up from $126.7 million a year earlier, surpassing the analyst target of $146.7 million [1][2] - Non-GAAP EPS was $0.01, compared to an estimate of –$0.12 and a previous year EPS of $0.06, reflecting an 83.3% decline year-over-year [2] - Galafold revenue was $128.9 million, a 16.3% increase from $110.8 million in Q2 2024 [2][5] - Pombiliti + Opfolda revenue increased by 62.8% to $25.8 million, up from $15.9 million a year earlier [2][6] - Non-GAAP operating expenses rose to $127.8 million, a 55.7% increase from $82.1 million in the previous year [2][8] Business Focus and Strategy - Amicus Therapeutics specializes in treatments for rare diseases, particularly genetic disorders, with key products being Galafold for Fabry disease and Pombiliti + Opfolda for Pompe disease [3] - The company is focused on broadening patient access, securing regulatory approvals, and expanding into related rare disease therapies [4] - The majority of sales are driven by Galafold, which is now approved in over 40 countries, with high global patient demand [5] Recent Developments - The company licensed U.S. rights for DMX-200, a late-stage drug for focal segmental glomerulosclerosis, paying a $30 million upfront fee [7] - Operating expenses increased due to the licensing payment and ongoing investments in research and development [8] Financial Outlook - Amicus reaffirmed its 2025 revenue growth outlook of 15–22% at constant exchange rates, with Galafold projected to grow 10–15% and Pombiliti + Opfolda expected to increase 50–65% [9] - The company anticipates gross margin to normalize in the mid-80% range for 2025 and aims for positive GAAP net income in the second half of 2025 [9] Key Monitoring Points - Investors should watch for progress in new country launches for Pombiliti + Opfolda, patient onboarding, and any changes in operating expenses or regulatory landscapes that could impact growth [10]
Amicus Therapeutics(FOLD) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-31 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 2025 reached $154.7 million, a 22% increase compared to Q2 2024, with an 18% growth at constant exchange rates [24] - Galafold revenue was $128.9 million, up 12% at constant exchange rates and 16% in reported terms [10] - Non-GAAP net income for Q2 2025 was $1.9 million, compared to $18.5 million in Q2 2024 [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Galafold saw a 13% year-over-year patient growth, with over 69% global market share for treated Fabry patients with amenable mutations [6][10] - Pombility and Upholda revenue reached $25.8 million, up 58% at constant exchange rates, with the U.S. contributing approximately 42% of revenue [14][15] - The company expects Pombility and Upholda to achieve a combined revenue growth of 50% to 65% for 2025 at constant exchange rates [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market remains a significant driver, with over 1,000 patient starts for Galafold since launch [11] - The company launched Pombility and Upholda in six new countries in Q2 2025, expanding its market presence [18] - The untreated population for Fabry disease is estimated to be significantly larger than previously believed, indicating substantial market opportunity [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to achieve GAAP profitability in the second half of 2025, maintaining financial discipline while expanding its product portfolio [9] - Strategic partnerships, such as with Dimerix for DMX200, are key to addressing unmet needs in rare diseases [7][21] - The company is focused on expanding into new markets and increasing patient access, with plans for further geographic expansion in 2026 [85] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth trajectory for the remainder of 2025, citing strong demand for Galafold and the potential of Pombility and Upholda [5][6] - The company highlighted the importance of real-world evidence in driving physician and patient adoption of its therapies [33] - Management remains optimistic about the long-term potential of its products, particularly in underdiagnosed populations [13] Other Important Information - The company reiterated its full-year financial guidance for 2025, expecting total revenue growth of 15% to 22% [27] - Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $231 million as of June 30, 2025, down from $250 million at the end of 2024 [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: What clinical assessments resonate with physicians and KOLs for switching from Nexviazyme to Pombility? - Management indicated that physicians look for stability or improvement in patient outcomes, including biomarkers and quality of life measures [32][34] Question: Update on the additional manufacturing facility in Ireland? - The company expects the Irish facility to come online in the latter half of 2025, which will help meet global demand [38][40] Question: Confidence in IP position and potential for settlement? - Management remains confident in the strength of its IP and the potential for favorable settlements, reinforced by previous agreements [46][48] Question: Timelines for the new U.S. manufacturing process and impacts on COGS? - The U.S. drug product manufacturing facility is progressing, with timelines not yet specified, but the company is optimistic about its overall manufacturing strategy [52][54] Question: Insights on patient starts in ex-U.S. markets? - The company reported strong market share growth in the UK and Germany, with ongoing launches in new countries [62][64] Question: Drivers for patient switches at the two-year mark? - Management noted that switches are influenced by patient outcomes and physician assessments, with a focus on proactive treatment strategies [68][70] Question: Regulatory alignment with the FDA on proteinuria for DMX200? - The FDA has indicated that proteinuria can serve as a primary endpoint, which is a positive development for the program [74][80]
Amicus Therapeutics Announces Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Corporate Updates
Globenewswire· 2025-07-31 11:00
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics reported strong second quarter growth of 18% in total revenue, marking the seventeenth consecutive quarter of double-digit gains at constant exchange rates (CER) [3][4] - The company anticipates reaching GAAP profitability in the second half of 2025 and projects total revenue to exceed $1 billion by 2028 [3][4] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $154.7 million, up 18% at CER, with a currency tailwind contributing an additional $5 million or 4% [4] - Galafold generated revenue of $128.9 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 16% or 12% at CER [5][12] - Pombiliti + Opfolda revenue reached $25.8 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 63% or 58% at CER [5][12] - Total GAAP operating expenses for Q2 2025 were $148.9 million, an increase of 48% compared to $100.4 million in Q2 2024 [5][12] Product Insights - Galafold is an oral pharmacological chaperone for the treatment of Fabry disease, approved in over 40 countries [13] - Pombiliti + Opfolda is a two-component therapy for late-onset Pompe disease, recently granted regulatory approval in Japan for adult patients [16][12] Future Guidance - The company reiterates its 2025 financial guidance, expecting total revenue growth of 15% to 22%, with Galafold revenue growth projected at 10% to 15% and Pombiliti + Opfolda revenue growth at 50% to 65% [7] - Gross margin is expected to be in the mid-80% range, with non-GAAP operating expenses projected between $380 million and $400 million [7] Corporate Developments - The ACTION3 study of DMX-200 is on track for full enrollment by year-end, with the company having entered a licensing agreement with Dimerix for U.S. commercialization [12][3] - Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $231.0 million as of June 30, 2025, reflecting a decrease from $249.9 million at the end of 2024 [12]
Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-04 10:41
Financial Performance & Growth - Total revenue for Q1 2025 reached $125 million, representing a 15% growth [6] - Galafold revenue in Q1 2025 was $1042 million, with a 14% patient demand growth [23] - Pombiliti + Opfolda revenue in Q1 2025 was $21 million, showing a 92% growth at CER [50] - The company expects to surpass $1 billion in total revenue in FY 2028 [6] Strategic Priorities & Guidance - The company aims for a total revenue growth of 15-22% at CER in FY 2025 [7, 77] - Galafold revenue is projected to grow by 10-15% at CER in FY 2025 [6, 7] - Pombiliti + Opfolda revenue is expected to increase by 50-65% at CER in FY 2025 [6, 7, 53, 77] - The company anticipates positive GAAP net income during H2 2025 [7, 77] Product & Market Overview - The global Fabry market is projected to reach approximately $3 billion by 2029 [14, 15] - The global Pompe market was approximately $15 billion in 2024 and is expected to exceed $2 billion by 2029 [42, 43] - DMX-200, a Phase 3 program for FSGS, addresses a market affecting over 40000 people in the US [67]
Relay Therapeutics (RLAY) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-11 19:42
Summary of the Conference Call Company Overview - The conference call features Relay Therapeutics, focusing on their Dynamo platform and pipeline strategy, particularly in the biotechnology sector [1][2]. Key Points on the Dynamo Platform and Pipeline - The Dynamo platform integrates computational and experimental techniques for drug discovery, leading to several programs entering clinical trials [2]. - Relay has streamlined its research portfolio to focus on generating clinical data and value for stakeholders due to current capital market conditions [2]. - The company has cash reserves projected to last until 2029, providing a strong runway for upcoming clinical catalysts [4]. Pipeline Developments - The FGFR2 program has been out-licensed to Elavar, which is expected to file an NDA soon [3][40]. - The PI3K alpha mutant selective program (ROI 2,608) is set to begin a pivotal Phase III trial, targeting a large patient population [3]. - Other pipeline assets include a vascular malformations program and two assets nearing IND status: an NRAS selective program and a fibrous program [3]. Clinical Data and Competitive Landscape - The PI3K alpha inhibitor targets a large patient population with a 40% mutation rate in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer [5]. - Current therapies have shown a progression-free survival (PFS) of 5-7 months, while Relay's data indicates a PFS of over 10 months in heavily pretreated patients [11][15]. - The company aims to differentiate itself from competitors like AstraZeneca's capivasertib, which has a PFS benchmark of 5.5 months [14][15]. Safety and Efficacy - Relay's PI3K alpha inhibitor has demonstrated a clean safety profile with low rates of common toxicities associated with non-selective inhibitors [12]. - The confirmed objective response rate across all PI3K alpha mutations is 39%, with a 67% response rate in a subset of kinase domain mutations [11]. Future Trials and Strategy - The Phase III trial will focus on patients pretreated with CDK4/6 inhibitors, with plans to explore triplet combinations for earlier lines of therapy [16][24]. - The company is also considering expanding into other tumor types beyond breast cancer, such as colon and lung cancers, but will maintain focus on the current pivotal trials [31]. Vascular Malformations Program - Relay is targeting vascular malformations, a condition affecting approximately 300,000 patients in the US, with a focus on two phenotypes: PI3K-related overgrowth spectrum and lymphatic malformations [33][34]. - The company acknowledges the need for education and identification of patients due to the broad manifestations of the condition [38][39]. Manufacturing and Commercialization - Manufacturing for the small molecules is outsourced, allowing flexibility in scaling up production as needed [48]. - The company is preparing for potential commercial supply for ROI 2608, anticipating a launch later this decade [48]. Research and Development Focus - Relay is committed to generating proof of concept data and engaging with the FDA regarding accelerated approval pathways for their programs [36][46]. - The company emphasizes the importance of tangible clinical data and successful execution of pivotal trials as key to their strategy [55]. Conclusion - Relay Therapeutics is positioned strongly within the biotechnology sector, focusing on innovative drug discovery and development, with a clear strategy for clinical trials and commercialization. The company is optimistic about its pipeline and the potential for significant advancements in treating various cancers and vascular malformations [55].
Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-10 19:00
Summary of Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) FY Conference Call - June 10, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Amicus Therapeutics - **Core Business**: Development of therapies for rare diseases, primarily focusing on Galafold for Fabry disease and Pombility for Pompe disease - **Sales Projections**: Expected to surpass $500 million in sales for Galafold and $100 million for Pombility in 2025 [3][4] Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance and Growth - **Galafold**: - Projected to achieve $1 billion in peak sales with a growth rate of 10% to 15% in 2025 [4] - Currently in a $2 billion global market, expected to grow to $3 billion over the next decade [8][9] - **Pompe Disease Therapies**: - Pombility and Upholda projected to achieve $100 million in sales with a growth rate of 50% to 65% [4] - Anticipated to reach $1 billion in sales in the future [4] - **New Asset - DMX200**: - Licensed from Dimerix for FSGS, a rare kidney disease, with potential blockbuster status [5] - Expected to contribute to significant revenue growth by 2028 [5] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - **Macro Environment**: - Company believes it is well-positioned to navigate macroeconomic challenges affecting the sector [7][8] - Emphasizes the undervaluation of Galafold and the potential for increased diagnoses in the Fabry disease space [8][9] - **Launch Dynamics**: - Initial launch delays due to COVID-19 impacted market entry for Pompe therapies [37] - Positive trends observed in the U.S. market with increasing patient switches from competitors [39][41] Regulatory and Operational Considerations - **Impact of Tariffs and Regulations**: - Minimal impact from tariffs due to low cost of goods for Galafold, which is manufactured in Switzerland [16][18] - Company is adapting to regulatory changes and believes it is insulated from potential negative impacts [20][22] - **FDA Dynamics**: - New leadership at the FDA is expected to support rare disease regulatory reforms, potentially benefiting Amicus [23][24] Guidance and Future Outlook - **Profitability Expectations**: - Guidance for GAAP profitability in the second half of 2025, with revenue growth projected at 15% to 22% [25][26] - Operating expenses expected to remain flat or increase slightly, allowing for positive free cash flow [27][29] - **Long-term Strategy**: - Focus on maintaining financial discipline while expanding the product portfolio [6][12] - Plans to leverage cash flow for new development opportunities in rare diseases [80] Additional Important Insights - **Market Dynamics**: - The company is seeing strong uptake in initial launch countries, with market shares reaching 20-30% in key markets [47] - New countries like the Netherlands are expected to significantly contribute to revenue through patient switches [50][52] - **Patient Diagnosis Trends**: - Increased diagnosis rates for Fabry disease due to lower costs of genetic testing and newborn screenings [64][66] - Potential for significant patient population growth as awareness and testing improve [67][70] Conclusion Amicus Therapeutics is positioned for strong growth in the rare disease market, with a focus on financial discipline and strategic expansion. The company anticipates achieving profitability in the near term while navigating macroeconomic challenges and regulatory changes. The potential for increased patient diagnoses and successful product launches underpins a positive outlook for future revenue growth.
Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-06-04 16:42
Summary of Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Amicus Therapeutics - **Event**: Jefferies Healthcare Conference - **Date**: June 04, 2025 Key Points Business Performance and Growth - Amicus has focused on growing the Galafold and Fabry franchise, achieving mid-teen growth rates in patient numbers for Galafold, indicating sustainable growth driven by volume [3][4] - The company reported $458 million in sales last year, with a growth forecast of 15% to 22% [8] - Amicus aims to achieve GAAP profitability in the second half of 2025, having already reached non-GAAP profitability in 2024 [5] Product Updates - Galafold continues to show strong patient growth, with a guidance of 10% to 15% growth for the year [11][31] - The launch of Pombility generated $70 million in revenue last year, with strong growth in prescriptions noted in recent months [4][34] - The company is optimistic about the potential of the recently acquired Dimerix asset for FSGS, which could have blockbuster potential in the U.S. [6][47] Market Dynamics - There is a significant number of undiagnosed Fabry patients, presenting a large market opportunity for Galafold [14][16] - The company is investing in AI initiatives to identify undiagnosed patients, enhancing diagnostic capabilities [27][29] - The settlement with Teva provides Galafold with intellectual property protection for the next twelve years, reinforcing its market position [10] Competitive Landscape - Amicus is aware of the competitive dynamics with Nexviazyme, noting that switching from Lumizyme to Nexviazyme typically occurs after two years of treatment [36][38] - The company believes that positive patient feedback and outcomes will drive future market share growth for Pombility [38] Future Outlook - Amicus is exploring additional business development opportunities that align with its existing infrastructure, focusing on rare diseases [51][52] - The company is cautious about overextending its balance sheet while pursuing growth opportunities [52] Financial Considerations - The Dimerix deal involved a $30 million upfront payment, with additional milestones totaling approximately $75 million, plus royalties on sales [54][55] - The company is committed to maintaining a strong cash flow while pursuing strategic acquisitions [5][6] Additional Insights - The company is seeing a shift in treatment patterns, with more patients being diagnosed and treated earlier, particularly among females [17] - There is a growing understanding among physicians regarding Fabry disease, which is expected to drive further patient diagnosis and treatment [15][20] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic direction of Amicus Therapeutics as discussed during the conference call, highlighting the company's growth trajectory, product developments, and market opportunities.