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2 Monster Stocks in the Making
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-10 09:45
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the potential of investing in smaller, lesser-known biotech companies alongside established market leaders, highlighting Viking Therapeutics and Axsome Therapeutics as promising candidates for growth in the biotech sector [1][2]. Viking Therapeutics - The weight loss market is projected to grow from $15 billion last year to $150 billion by 2035, driven by breakthroughs and increasing demand for obesity-related treatments [3]. - Viking Therapeutics is developing VK2735, a dual GLP-1/GIP agonist, currently in phase 3 trials for subcutaneous use, with promising efficacy observed in mid-stage trials for an oral formulation [4]. - The company is also working on another weight-loss candidate in preclinical studies and plans to initiate human clinical trials next year, alongside VK2809, which has completed phase 2 studies for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis [7]. Axsome Therapeutics - Axsome Therapeutics has achieved significant clinical and regulatory advancements, with third-quarter revenue reaching $171 million, a 63% year-over-year increase, primarily due to its depression medication, Auvelity [9]. - Auvelity, launched in 2022, is expected to achieve blockbuster status in treating depression and is awaiting approval for use in Alzheimer's disease agitation, with potential peak sales estimated between $1.5 billion to $3 billion [10][11]. - The company has a robust pipeline with other approved products and ongoing late-stage trials, including AXS-12 for narcolepsy and AXS-14 for fibromyalgia, which are expected to enhance financial performance [12][13].
AXSM Q3 Loss Wider Than Expected, Revenues Surge Y/Y on Auvelity Sales
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 16:30
Core Insights - Axsome Therapeutics reported a loss of $0.94 per share in Q3 2025, which was wider than the expected loss of $0.82, but an improvement from the loss of $1.34 per share in the same quarter last year [1][6] - Total revenues increased by 63% year over year to $171 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $164 million, driven by strong sales of Auvelity [2][6] Financial Performance - Product revenues reached $169.8 million in Q3, reflecting a 63.7% year-over-year increase, while royalty revenues were $1.2 million [4] - Auvelity sales amounted to $136.1 million, up 69% year over year, with approximately 209,000 prescriptions recorded, marking a 46% increase from the previous year [5][6] - Sunosi generated net product sales of $32.8 million, a 35% increase from the prior year, with total prescriptions growing 12% year over year [7] Expenses and Cash Position - Research and development expenses were $40.2 million, down 11.5% from the previous year, while selling, general, and administrative expenses rose 57.1% to $150.2 million [9] - As of September 30, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $325.3 million, up from $303 million as of June 30, 2025 [10] Pipeline Developments - Axsome is conducting label expansion studies for Auvelity and has filed a supplemental new drug application for AXS-05 for Alzheimer's agitation [11] - The company plans to initiate pivotal studies for AXS-05 in smoking cessation and has multiple candidates in development for various CNS disorders, including AXS-12 and AXS-14 [12][13] - Solriamfetol is being evaluated in phase III studies for ADHD and MDD, with top-line data expected in 2026 for binge eating disorder and shift work disorder [14][15] Market Performance - Year to date, Axsome's shares have increased by 60.5%, significantly outperforming the industry average rise of 12.1% [2]
Axsome Therapeutics(AXSM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-03 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q3 2025 reached $171 million, representing a 63% increase year over year [4][11] - Net product sales for Auvelity were $136.1 million, up 69% compared to the previous year [11] - Sunosi net product revenues were $32.8 million, reflecting a 35% increase year over year [11] - The net loss for the quarter was $47.2 million, or $0.94 per share, an improvement from a net loss of $64.6 million, or $1.34 per share, in the same period last year [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Auvelity showed strong prescription growth with approximately 209,000 prescriptions written, a 46% year-over-year increase [15] - Sunosi had approximately 53,000 prescriptions, representing a 12% year-over-year growth [18] - Sembravo generated $2.1 million in net sales during its first full quarter on the market [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial coverage for Auvelity increased from 73% to 75%, bringing total coverage to 85% of all lives across channels [15] - Payer coverage for Sunosi remains at approximately 83% of lives covered across channels [18] - Sembravo's overall payer coverage was approximately 52% of all lives as of October 1st [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to broaden patient access and drive awareness with clinicians for its products [5] - Axsome is advancing a robust pipeline with late-stage programs targeting Alzheimer's disease agitation, narcolepsy, and ADHD [5][10] - The company plans to initiate a phase 2/3 trial for AXS-05 in smoking cessation and target NDA submission for AXS-12 for cataplexy in narcolepsy [7][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the continued growth potential of Axsome, highlighting strong performance across its commercial portfolio [19] - The company anticipates meaningful activity across its late-stage programs in the coming months [5] - Management noted that the fundamentals of the business have never been stronger, positioning Axsome for substantial near and long-term value [10] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 2025 with $325.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, an increase from $315.4 million at the end of 2024 [14] - Gross-to-net discounts for Auvelity and Sunosi were in the high 40% range, expected to increase to the low 50% range in Q4 [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on Sembravo's launch and prescribing depth - Management noted early positive responses from healthcare providers and patients, with a targeted approach focusing on top headache centers [22][23] Question: Growth driver for Auvelity in primary care - Management emphasized the importance of primary care as a growth driver, supported by sales force expansion and direct-to-consumer campaigns [26][27] Question: Expectations for AXS-05 adoption in Alzheimer's agitation - Management is optimistic about AXS-05's impact, planning to cover various specialties and settings of care [31][32] Question: Sales force expansion and cash flow positivity - Management confirmed plans for sales force expansion if AXS-05 is approved, with costs already included in cash flow positivity guidance [35][76] Question: Impact of DTC campaign on Auvelity prescriptions - Management indicated that significant impacts from the DTC campaign may be observed in 8-12 weeks, with early positive trends noted [77] Question: Regulatory interactions for AXS-05 - Management stated that interactions are ordinary course and that they are prepared for standard review by the FDA [87]
Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on Axsome (AXSM), Sees Growth in AD-Agitation
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-02 20:55
Core Insights - Axsome Therapeutics Inc. is recognized as one of the top biotech stocks to consider for investment, with Piper Sandler maintaining an Overweight rating and a price target of $148 for its shares [1][2] - The company is focused on commercial support for its product Auvelity, particularly in the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD) and potential expansion into agitation associated with Alzheimer's disease [1][2] Financial Outlook - Management is preparing for a supplemental New Drug Application submission this quarter, which is expected to lead to increased sales and marketing expenditures, including workforce expansion related to the anticipated label expansion for AD-agitation [2] - Despite the rising costs, Piper Sandler anticipates strong operating leverage over time due to significant market opportunities in both MDD and AD-agitation, along with favorable payer access for Auvelity in the MDD market [2] Company Profile - Axsome Therapeutics Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing novel therapies for central nervous system disorders [3]
This Haiti-Born Doctor Built A $6 Billion Business Developing Drugs For Depression And Alzheimer’s
Forbes· 2025-10-01 10:30
Core Insights - Axsome Therapeutics focuses on developing treatments for brain disorders, with three drugs currently on the market and five in the pipeline, potentially addressing the needs of 150 million Americans suffering from such conditions [1][3][4] - The company reported a revenue of $495 million for the 12 months ending in June, marking a 70% increase from the previous year, although it remains unprofitable with a net loss of $247 million [3][4] - Axsome's market capitalization stands at $6.1 billion, and the company aims for peak sales of $16.5 billion from its current drug portfolio, contingent on successfully navigating FDA approvals for five new drugs by 2028 [4][13] Company Overview - Founded in 2012 by Herriot Tabuteau, Axsome Therapeutics was established with a unique approach to drug development, focusing on brain disorders and self-funding rather than relying on venture capital [1][2][5] - The company has evolved from humble beginnings in a small office to a significant player in the biotech sector, with a notable drug portfolio and innovative strategies for clinical trials [3][7] Financial Performance - Axsome's revenue growth of 70% year-over-year highlights its increasing market presence, although the company has yet to achieve profitability [3][4] - The stock price has increased by 35% over the past year, outperforming the Nasdaq Biotech Index, which only rose by 1% during the same period [12] Drug Development and Pipeline - The approval of Auvelity for major depressive disorder in August 2022 significantly boosted Axsome's market valuation, with shares rising 65% in a week [9] - Auvelity is projected to generate $500 million in sales this year and is expected to become a blockbuster drug, with potential annual revenues exceeding $1 billion [10][13] - Axsome is also working on a drug for Alzheimer's agitation, which could provide a safer alternative to current antipsychotic treatments, despite mixed results in Phase III trials [12][13] Strategic Acquisitions - In 2022, Axsome acquired Sunosi for $53 million, which treats excessive daytime sleepiness, and later sold its rights for $66 million, demonstrating effective financial management [11]
Can Auvelity Drive Axsome's Growth Through the Rest of 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-09-30 14:46
Core Insights - Axsome Therapeutics' lead drug, Auvelity, has shown strong sales performance since its approval for major depressive disorder, contributing significantly to the company's revenue [1] Sales Performance - Auvelity recorded sales of $215.9 million in the first half of 2025, marking an 82.3% increase year-over-year, driven by higher unit sales volume [2][9] - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 42.7% for Auvelity sales over the next three years [2] Product Development and Expansion - Auvelity is undergoing label expansion studies for other CNS disorders, including Alzheimer's disease agitation and smoking cessation, with an sNDA expected to be filed in Q3 2025 [3] - A pivotal phase II/III study for smoking cessation is planned to commence in Q4 2025 [3] - The approval of Auvelity for additional indications is expected to further enhance sales and growth prospects [4] Additional Products - Axsome's narcolepsy drug, Sunosi, has also contributed to revenue, with sales increasing by 25.6% year-over-year in H1 2025 [5][9] - The recent launch of Symbravo for migraine treatment, approved in January 2025, is expected to strengthen Axsome's market presence [5] Competitive Landscape - Axsome faces significant competition in the CNS disorder market, particularly from Acadia Pharmaceuticals' Nuplazid, which generated $328.2 million in sales, a 14% increase year-over-year [6][7] - Sunosi may encounter competition from Jazz Pharmaceuticals' sleep disorder drugs, while Symbravo will face established migraine treatments from Pfizer and AbbVie [8]
Prediction: These 2 Under-the-Radar Stocks Could Beat the Market in the Next 5 Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-30 08:10
Group 1: Axsome Therapeutics - Axsome Therapeutics is a mid-cap biotech company with three products on the market: Auvelity, Symbravo, and Sunosi, driving strong revenue growth, with a 72% year-over-year increase to $150 million in Q2 [3][4] - The launch of Symbravo in June presents a significant growth opportunity, targeting a market of 39 million migraine patients in the U.S., where over 70% have inadequate responses to current treatments [4][5] - Auvelity shows promise in treating agitation associated with Alzheimer's disease, with a potential market of 7 million patients, and is on track to achieve blockbuster status [5][6] - The company is advancing its pipeline with AXS-12 for narcolepsy and other late-stage trials, positioning itself for continued revenue growth and market outperformance [6] Group 2: Exelixis - Exelixis specializes in oncology, known for its drug Cabometyx, which treats liver and kidney cancers and continues to drive revenue growth despite a reported 11% drop in total revenue to $568.3 million due to lower collaboration revenue [7][8] - Net product revenue for Exelixis increased by 19% year-over-year to $520 million, with Cabometyx expected to maintain strong sales through early 2030, fending off generic competition [8][9] - The company is focused on developing cancer therapies for high unmet needs, with its candidate zanzalintinib showing promise in metastatic colorectal cancer, which could address a significant treatment gap [9][10] - Exelixis has additional candidates in its pipeline, and strong clinical progress alongside Cabometyx's revenue growth is expected to yield strong returns through the end of the decade [10]
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (AXSM) Presents at TD Cowen's 5th Annual Novel Mechanisms in Neuropsychiatry & Epilepsy Summit Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-18 05:53
Group 1 - The event is the Fifth Annual TD Cowen Novel Mechanisms in Neuropsychiatry and Epilepsy Summit, featuring Axsome Therapeutics [1] - Axsome Therapeutics has made significant progress in both commercial and development aspects over the past year [2] - The company is expected to provide insights into future expectations for investors, particularly looking towards the end of 2025 and early 2026 [2] Group 2 - In Q2, Axsome Therapeutics reported net sales of $150 million, with Auvelity contributing $120 million and Sunosi $30 million [4] - The recent launch of SYMBRAVO generated approximately $400,000 in its first 2.5 weeks [4]
Axsome Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:AXSM) FY Conference Transcript
2025-09-17 13:42
Axsome Therapeutics FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Axsome Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:AXSM) - **Event**: Fifth Annual TD Cowen Novel Mechanisms in Neuropsychiatry and Epilepsy Summit - **Date**: September 17, 2025 Key Points Commercial Performance - **Q2 Net Sales**: $150 million, with Auvelity contributing $120 million and Sanofi $30 million [3][4] - **Symbravo Launch**: Generated approximately $400,000 in revenue within two and a half weeks of launch [3] - **MBRXs Growth**: Increased from 2,000 to 2,500 per week due to the expansion of the sales force [4][15] - **Coverage Expansion**: Added 28 million additional lives covered, enhancing patient access and maintaining net pricing [4][21] - **Direct-to-Consumer Campaign**: Launched a national TV advertising campaign for Auvelity, expected to boost awareness and prescriptions [5][19] Product Utilization - **Auvelity Utilization**: Approximately 50% of prescriptions are for first-line or first-switch patients, indicating strong market penetration [11] - **Monotherapy Use**: Over 50% of Auvelity prescriptions are for monotherapy, suggesting a reduction in polypharmacy [12] Research and Development - **AXS-05 for Alzheimer's**: sNDA filing expected in Q3 2025, with ongoing trials and a focus on agitation in Alzheimer's patients [7][24] - **Upcoming NDA Submission**: AXS-12 for narcolepsy planned for Q4 2025 [8] - **Clinical Trials**: Multiple ongoing trials for various conditions, including ADHD, major depressive disorder, and fibromyalgia [9] Market Potential - **Alzheimer's Market Size**: Estimated at 7 million patients, with around 5 million experiencing agitation, presenting a significant market opportunity [32] - **Peak Sales Estimates**: Projected peak sales for AXS-05 in the range of $1.5 to $3 billion [32] Strategic Outlook - **Sales Force Expansion**: Plans to increase the sales force significantly in 2026, focusing on primary care and long-term care centers [15][16] - **Market Dynamics**: Anticipated growth in prescriptions post-Labor Day as patient compliance improves [20] - **Business Development**: While monitoring market opportunities, the company is currently satisfied with its existing pipeline and acquisitions [39] Additional Insights - **KOL Feedback**: Positive feedback from Key Opinion Leaders regarding the safety and tolerability profile of AXS-05, especially in elderly patients [29] - **Regulatory Engagement**: Consistent dialogue with the FDA regarding trial requirements and product development strategies [24][25] Conclusion Axsome Therapeutics is positioned for growth with strong commercial performance, a robust pipeline, and strategic plans for market expansion. The company is optimistic about its future prospects, particularly in the Alzheimer's market and ongoing product launches.
Axsome Therapeutics Highlights Data Across Its Leading Neuroscience Pipeline at Psych Congress 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-09-17 11:00
Core Insights - Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. is showcasing six presentations at Psych Congress 2025, focusing on innovative neuroscience products for CNS disorders [1][6] Group 1: Major Depressive Disorder - Presentation on Auvelity (dextromethorphan 45 mg-bupropion 105 mg) in patients with Major Depressive Disorder, led by Dr. Anita H. Clayton [2] Group 2: Alzheimer's Disease Agitation - Presentation on the efficacy and safety of AXS-05 in Alzheimer's Disease Agitation from the ACCORD-2 Phase 3 study, led by Dr. Jeffrey Cummings [3] Group 3: Narcolepsy - Multiple presentations on AXS-12, including its impact on symptom severity and functional impairment in narcolepsy from the Phase 3 SYMPHONY Trial, led by Dr. Michael Thorpy [5] - ENCORE study results on AXS-12 in narcolepsy, led by Dr. Richard Bogan [5] - Analysis of residual symptom burden in narcolepsy patients satisfied with treatment from the CRESCENDO Survey, led by Dr. Michael Thorpy [5] Group 4: Obstructive Sleep Apnea - Presentation on the effects of Solriamfetol on neuropsychological outcomes in patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea from the real-world SURWEY study [4] Company Overview - Axsome Therapeutics is focused on developing differentiated products for CNS conditions, with FDA-approved treatments for major depressive disorder, narcolepsy, and obstructive sleep apnea, addressing serious neurological and psychiatric conditions impacting over 150 million people in the U.S. [6]