Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the **China Heavy-Duty Truck Sector**, particularly the growth of electric trucks (e-trucks) and their export potential to Europe and other markets [2][3][8]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **E-Truck Sales Performance**: In H125, China sold **80,000 e-trucks**, achieving a **27% penetration** in the domestic market. The export market is identified as the next growth driver, potentially contributing **20% to 30%** of incremental revenue and profit by **2030E** [2][8]. 2. **European Market Potential**: The EU aims for a **45% reduction** in truck emissions by **2030**, with an estimated **30% penetration** of e-trucks. The European truck market, while smaller than China's, offers higher average selling prices (ASP) and gross margins [3][10][28]. 3. **Sinotruk's Position**: Sinotruk is highlighted as a leading e-truck manufacturer in China, holding a **40% market share** in truck exports. The company is expected to benefit significantly from the e-truck export trend, with a forecasted **20% EPS CAGR** from **2025 to 2027**, which is **10% above consensus** [4][8][75]. 4. **Weichai Power's Outlook**: Weichai is viewed as having a balanced risk-reward profile. While its big bore engine business is growing, the increasing penetration of e-trucks may limit growth in its traditional engine business. A **9% earnings CAGR** is forecasted for Weichai from **2024 to 2027** [107][108]. Financial Projections - **Sinotruk's Financials**: - **2026E PE**: 6.6x, below the historical average of 9x. - Expected to generate **2% of revenue** and **30% of EBIT** from e-truck exports by **2030** [8][85][94]. - **Weichai's Financials**: - Projected to maintain **350,000 engine shipments** with a **39% market share** in **2024**, but facing pressure on profit margins due to increased competition [107][108]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Export Strategy**: Sinotruk is expanding its export strategy, with plans to begin selling e-trucks overseas by **2027**. The company has established a significant global presence with **80 representative offices** in over **110 countries** [76][77]. 2. **Market Dynamics**: The e-truck market is still in its early stages, and current pricing is influenced more by market dynamics than costs. E-trucks are expected to have an ASP **3-4 times** higher than domestically sold trucks [75][85]. 3. **Parts and Services Growth**: There is potential for growth in parts and services revenue, which currently accounts for less than **10%** of Sinotruk's revenue, compared to **20-25%** for global peers [100][101]. Conclusion - The China heavy-duty truck sector, particularly the e-truck segment, is poised for significant growth, especially in export markets like Europe. Sinotruk is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, while Weichai faces challenges in adapting to the changing market dynamics. The overall outlook for e-trucks is optimistic, with substantial potential for revenue and profit growth in the coming years [2][3][8][10].