Ken Hastings Investor Relations PACCAR Inc Today's Presenters Preston Feight Laura Bloch PACCAR Investor Conference presentations may contain statements that are forward looking. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially. A summary of risks and uncertainties is described in more detail in our periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). We undertake no duty t ...

Company Overview - PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is based in Bellevue, Washington, and specializes in designing and building light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks under brands such as Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF. The company also offers parts, financing options, and specialized engines. Its market capitalization is $64.55 billion [1]. Stock Performance - Improving market sentiments have positively impacted PCAR's stock, which has gained 17.2% over the past 52 weeks and is up 16.8% year-to-date (YTD). The stock reached a 52-week high of $128.42 on February 3 and is only slightly down from that level [2]. - Compared to the broader market, the S&P 500 index is up 15.4% over the past 52 weeks, indicating that PCAR has outperformed the market during this period. On a YTD basis, the S&P 500 is up only 1.1% [3]. Financial Results - On January 27, PCAR reported better-than-expected Q4 and fiscal 2025 results, despite a topline decline. Quarterly sales and revenues decreased by 13.7% year-over-year (YOY) to $6.82 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations of $6.66 billion [5]. - The sales decline was mainly due to challenges in the truck segment, influenced by a tough North American freight market, changing emission policies, and the Section 232 truck tariff. However, the decline was partially offset by the company's parts and financial services businesses [6]. Earnings Expectations - For the current quarter, Wall Street analysts anticipate a 20.6% YOY decline in PCAR's EPS to $1.16 on a diluted basis. However, EPS is projected to increase by 10.6% annually to $5.54 for fiscal 2026, followed by a 24.4% improvement to $6.89 in fiscal 2027 [7]. - Among the 19 Wall Street analysts covering PCAR's stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of seven "Strong Buy" ratings and 12 "Holds." This rating configuration has become more bullish compared to two months ago, with an increase in "Strong Buy" ratings from six to seven [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The Volvo Group is experiencing uncertainty in key regions, particularly in North and South America, but there are signs of stabilization and recovery in the latter part of the quarter and the beginning of the new year [3]. Group Performance - The company reported a positive volume development in Europe during the quarter, while volumes in North and South America were lower and are expected to remain weak in the first quarter of 2026 [3].

Core Viewpoint - Volvo has raised its outlook for the European and North American truck markets, indicating a positive trend in demand, but has also cautioned that uncertainties remain which could impact future demand [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The company has increased its expectations for the truck markets in Europe and North America, suggesting a more optimistic view on market conditions [1] - Despite the positive outlook, Volvo has highlighted that there are uncertainties that could affect demand moving forward, indicating a cautious approach [1]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to company or industry analysis [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - PACCAR's fourth quarter revenues were $6.8 billion, with a net income of $557 million. For the full year 2025, revenues reached $28.4 billion and adjusted net income was $2.64 billion, marking the fourth highest profit year in company history and the 87th consecutive year of profits. The adjusted after-tax return on revenue was 9.3% [3][4] - PACCAR Parts and PACCAR Financial Services achieved quarterly and annual revenue records, contributing to a structurally stronger performance [3][4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - PACCAR Parts' annual revenues increased by 3% to a record $6.9 billion, with pre-tax profits of $1.67 billion. Fourth quarter revenues rose 4% to a record $1.7 billion, with pre-tax profits of $415 million [8][9] - PACCAR Financial Services achieved record annual revenues of $2.2 billion, with annual pre-tax income growing 11% to $485 million. Fourth quarter revenues were a record $569 million, and quarterly pre-tax income grew 10% to $115 million [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S. and Canadian Class 8 truck market, retail sales were 233,000 units, with PACCAR's market share at 30%. The 2026 market is forecasted to be between 230,000-270,000 vehicles [5][6] - The European above-16-ton truck market was 298,000 units in 2025, with expectations for 280,000-320,000 registrations in 2026. DAF trucks have a competitive advantage due to their innovative design [6][7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PACCAR is positioned well for upcoming regulatory changes, with a new lineup of efficient trucks and engines. The company aims to leverage its manufacturing strategy to adapt to local market needs [4][5] - Investments in technology and innovation include next-generation clean diesel, hybrid powertrains, and advanced driver assistance systems, which are expected to enhance customer value and operational efficiency [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a dynamic year in the North American truck industry, with soft freight markets and regulatory uncertainties. However, clarity on tariffs and emissions policies is expected to improve customer demand [4][5] - The company anticipates 2026 to be a year of accelerated growth for customers, dealers, and PACCAR, with strong order intake and improved margins expected [7][10] Other Important Information - PACCAR declared dividends of $2.72 per share in 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of nearly 3%. The company has paid dividends for 84 consecutive years [8] - The company completed significant capital investments and plans to continue investing in key technology and innovation projects [9][10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through the margin improvement expected from 4Q to 1Q despite flat deliveries? - Management explained that margin improvement is expected due to the benefits of the Section 232 tariff and strong order intake, with margins projected to increase to 12.5%-13% in Q1 compared to 12% in Q4 [12][14] Question: What is the performance of the aftermarket business in January by region? - Management forecasted a 3% growth year-over-year for Q1, with a mix shift towards required maintenance driving performance [23][24] Question: How does the company view market share versus unit profitability with the Section 232 impacts? - Management expressed confidence in gaining market share and improving margins as the competitive landscape stabilizes [29][30] Question: What is the outlook for used truck values and the impact of EPA 2027? - Management indicated that used truck values are expected to increase due to regulatory changes and anticipated price increases for new trucks [67][68] Question: How is the company handling potential supply chain bottlenecks? - Management acknowledged the importance of supplier relationships and provided forecasts to help mitigate potential bottlenecks, although they remain cautious about significant ramp-ups in production [78][80] Question: What is the expected growth for PACCAR Parts in 2026? - Management anticipates a steady growth in parts sales, with a forecast of 4%-8% growth for the year [9][93]

Core Insights - Paccar reported a revenue of $6.25 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 15.1% and an EPS of $1.06, down from $1.66 a year ago, with a revenue surprise of +2.81% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.08 billion [1] Financial Performance - Truck deliveries totaled 32,900, exceeding the three-analyst average estimate of 32,526, with specific breakdowns showing 5,200 deliveries in "Other," 12,700 in Europe, and 15,000 in the U.S. and Canada [4] - Financial Services revenue was reported at $568.7 million, slightly below the $570.23 million estimate, but showing a +4.5% change year-over-year [4] - Parts revenue was $1.74 billion, matching the average estimate and representing a +4.2% year-over-year change [4] - Truck revenue was reported at $4.52 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $4.35 billion, but reflecting a significant -20.7% decline year-over-year [4] Profitability Metrics - Pretax profit for Financial Services was $114.9 million, below the estimated $129.26 million [4] - Pretax profit for Parts was $415 million, exceeding the average estimate of $391.29 million [4] - Pretax profit for Truck was $94.6 million, falling short of the estimated $146.59 million [4] Stock Performance - Paccar's shares have returned +9.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% change, with a current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3]

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Summary of Multi-Industry Heatmap: 3Q25 Industry Overview - The report covers various industries, including electrical equipment, discrete automation, mining, semiconductors, trucks, and agriculture equipment, with a focus on the performance trends in these sectors during the third quarter of 2025 [3][5]. Key Insights 1. **Earnings Performance**: Approximately 77% of the companies covered have reported, showing a largely positive trend in orders, margins, and EBITA performance [3]. 2. **Electrical Equipment Strength**: There is continuing strength in electrical equipment volumes, particularly driven by data center demand, with some positive signs in European residential construction [3]. 3. **Mixed Mining Results**: Mining results have been mixed, indicating variability in performance across different companies [3]. 4. **Semiconductor Weakness**: Despite earlier expectations of a turnaround in 2026, there has been observed weakness in the semiconductor sector [3]. 5. **Weakness in Trucks and Agriculture Equipment**: Activity in trucks and agriculture equipment is reported to be very weak, with a noted softening in Europe, which was previously expected only in the US [3]. 6. **Pricing Pressure in the US**: Companies with historically higher margins, such as Legrand, Atlas Copco, VAT, and Schneider, are facing challenges in justifying price increases due to weaker-than-expected pricing power in the US [4]. 7. **Global Heatmap Trends**: The broader global heatmap indicates improving trends in sectors such as autos, general industrial, consumer, rail, and construction in the EU and Americas, while healthcare in China/Asia is experiencing deceleration [5]. Additional Observations - **Sector-Specific Trends**: The report highlights specific sectors showing sequential improvement, including autos, general industrial, and EU healthcare, while marine and oil & gas sectors have turned negative [5]. - **Overall Stability**: The aggregated trends in the EU and US are positive, suggesting a degree of stability in the market, particularly in comparison to the previous quarters [5]. - **Future Monitoring**: The report emphasizes the need to monitor pricing strategies of higher-margin companies to understand their ability to maintain price increases amidst changing market conditions [4]. Conclusion The 3Q25 reporting season reflects a mixed but generally positive outlook across various industries, with specific challenges noted in semiconductors and trucks. The pricing dynamics in the US market warrant close attention as companies navigate inflationary pressures and changing demand patterns.

Group 1 - The company maintains its sales outlook for the year, expecting to sell between 410,000 to 440,000 units [1]