Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

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Waters (WAT) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 15:01
The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. Zacks Consensus Estimate This maker of product ...
Garrett Motion (GTX) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 15:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Garrett Motion (GTX) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.37 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +32.1%, while revenues are projected to be $918 million, up 3.2% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 6.06% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Garrett Motion exceeded the expected earnings of $0.29 per share by delivering $0.30, resulting in a surprise of +3.45%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Investment Considerations - While Garrett Motion does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].