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花旗:中国人形机器人_我们从中国工厂参观中学到了什么
花旗· 2025-06-30 01:02
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the industry or specific companies [2]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with companies like Orbbec and Rongtai expanding their market presence and revenue projections [3][4]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for components and technologies related to humanoid robots, indicating a robust supply chain development [2][3][4][5][6][7]. Company Summaries Orbbec (688322.SS) - Orbbec's humanoid robot revenue is projected to grow from Rmb4 million in 2024 to Rmb30 million in 2025, with market share in China expected to surpass that of Intel's RealSense [3][10]. - The dollar content for 3D vision technology is anticipated to increase from Rmb4,000-5,000 to Rmb8,000 as it becomes integrated into more parts of the robot [3]. Rongtai (603119.SS) - Rongtai has a ~50% market share in micro ballscrews used in humanoid robots and is expanding its operations by building a factory in Thailand to meet US customer requirements [4][10]. - The company aims to grow its core business by 20%-30% CAGR, driven by rising penetration rates in the humanoid robot supply chain [4]. Hengli (601100.SS) - Hengli plans to reduce the production cost of planetary roller screws to ~Rmb1,000 by the end of 2025 and is considering establishing a plant in Houston, TX, to secure orders from US customers [5][10]. - The company targets a +10% YoY revenue and earnings growth, primarily driven by strong demand in the excavator component business [10]. Bozhon (688097.SS) - Bozhon's subsidiary Linkhou is expected to generate Rmb400 million-500 million in revenue in 2025 by providing components and assembly services to Zhiyuan [6][10]. - The company has sold Rmb20 million-30 million worth of humanoid robot assembly equipment to a leading US humanoid robot maker since 2024 [6]. Wolong (600580.SS) - Wolong aims to become the second electric motor supplier to Zhiyuan, targeting revenue growth from Rmb15 billion in 2024 to Rmb16 billion in 2025 [7][10]. - The company plans to pursue mergers and acquisitions to fuel long-term growth, with net profit expected to rise from Rmb793 million in 2024 to Rmb1.1 billion in 2025 [7][10].