Core Insights - Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) is expected to announce earnings on September 3, 2025, with historical data indicating a 53% likelihood of a negative one-day return post-earnings, averaging a drop of -5.5% [2][8] - Consensus estimates predict earnings of $2.78 per share on revenue of $10.14 billion, an increase from $2.56 per share and $9.32 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - Salesforce has a market capitalization of $240 billion, with $39 billion in revenue, $7.9 billion in operating profit, and $6.2 billion in net income over the last twelve months [4] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, Salesforce has recorded 19 earnings data points, with 9 positive and 10 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 47% occurrence of positive returns [8] - The median of positive returns is 5.4%, while the median of negative returns is -5.5% [8] - The likelihood of positive returns drops to 45% when considering data from the last three years [8] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize historical probabilities to inform pre-earnings positions or wait for the earnings report to assess immediate and medium-term returns for post-earnings trading decisions [7] - A strategy involving the correlation between short-term (1D) and medium-term (5D) returns can be beneficial, particularly if a strong correlation exists [9] Peer Performance - The performance of peers can influence Salesforce's stock reaction post-earnings, with historical insights indicating that peer stock performance may impact pricing prior to the earnings announcement [10]

Core Viewpoint - 3M is scheduled to release its earnings report on July 18, 2025, which is significant for traders employing event-driven strategies [2]. Earnings Performance - Over the past five years, 3M's stock has shown a balanced response to earnings releases, with 50% of cases resulting in a positive one-day return (median of 4.8%) and 50% in a negative return (median of -2.8%) [3][11]. - For the upcoming second quarter of 2025, consensus forecasts predict earnings of $2.01 per share on revenue of $6.05 billion, reflecting a 4.2% increase in earnings per share compared to $1.93 per share from the same quarter last year, despite a decrease in sales from $6.25 billion [4]. Market Position and Financials - 3M currently has a market capitalization of approximately $85 billion, with $25 billion in revenue generated over the past twelve months, operating profits of $4.9 billion, and a net income of $4.4 billion [5]. Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities, anticipating price movements, or post-earnings positioning to analyze immediate market responses before making trades [7]. - Understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can guide trading decisions, particularly if a strong correlation exists between 1D and 5D returns [9].