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Deepwater's Gene Munster on his takeaways from Meta's investor call
CNBC Television· 2025-10-29 22:24
Revenue and Expense Growth - Meta's revenue growth is expected to be around 18% next year, higher than the street's expectation of 16% [3][4][13] - Meta's expense growth is projected to be north of 30% [4] - In the September quarter, Meta's revenue growth was 23%, while expense growth was 32% [3] - In 2024, Meta's revenue growth was about 23%, and expense growth was about 8% [2] - In the first two quarters of this year, Meta's revenue growth was 22%, and expense growth was 12% [2] Capital Expenditure (Capex) and AI Investment - Meta is aggressively increasing expenses related to third-party capex spend [3] - Meta's CEO is setting the company up to be the most optimistic regarding AI, evidenced by the increase in capex [7] - Meta is building its AI infrastructure for the most optimistic case [9] - Google is guiding up their capex to be up like 25% next year, similar to Microsoft and Amazon [8] User Engagement - 43% of the world uses Meta's products on a daily basis, and the rate of usage is accelerating [4] Market Expectations and Stock Performance - The street is looking for 40% growth for Meta in 2026, but it's probably going to be up more than 60% [8] - Investors are recalibrating Meta's stock due to the shift in expense growth [7] - Meta needs to show improvement in the December quarter, with revenue growth higher and expenses lower than expected [12] - Meta needs to continue demonstrating that AI is driving revenue growth [13]