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【笔记20250804— 资本相对论:债券加税,利好权益】
债券笔记· 2025-08-04 14:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the market dynamics between bonds and equities, highlighting the impact of tax regulations on investment strategies and market sentiment [3][5][6]. Group 1: Market Overview - The stock market opened lower but rebounded, demonstrating a clear "see-saw" effect between stocks and bonds, with the bond market reacting to new tax regulations [5][6]. - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 544.8 billion yuan, with a net injection of 49 billion yuan, indicating a balanced and slightly loose liquidity environment [3][4]. Group 2: Bond Market Insights - The yield on long-term bonds has seen a slight increase, with the 10-year government bond yield fluctuating between 1.68% and 1.7125% during the trading session [5][6]. - There is a consensus among market participants that older bonds are performing better than new issues of the same maturity, reflecting a divergence in the performance of government bond futures [6]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - Recent U.S. non-farm payroll data fell short of expectations, leading to a decline in risk assets globally, which influenced the sentiment in the domestic market [5][6]. - The article notes that the market is reacting to international events, including potential visits by political figures, which may affect investor sentiment and market movements [5][6].