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What To Expect From Thursday's Report On CPI Inflation
Investopedia· 2025-12-17 01:01
Inflation Overview - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to rise by 3.1% year-over-year in November, marking the highest annual inflation since May 2024, up from 3% in September [1][9] - Core inflation is anticipated to remain at 3% year-over-year, consistent with September's figures [1] Impact of Tariffs - Inflation has been steadily increasing since April, primarily due to steep import taxes imposed by the government on nearly all U.S. trading partners, which have led businesses to pass on tariff costs to consumers [2] - Despite some cooling in price increases for categories like rent, overall inflation remains high due to these tariffs [2][9] Federal Reserve's Dilemma - Accelerating inflation complicates the Federal Reserve's goal of maintaining a 2% annual inflation rate, which has not been achieved since 2021 [3] - Some Federal Reserve policy committee members advocate for maintaining high interest rates to curb spending and inflation, but the majority favor rate cuts to support the struggling job market [4] Future Inflation Expectations - Many forecasters predict that inflation will begin to cool later in the year as the effects of tariff price hikes dissipate [7] - Wells Fargo Securities anticipates that while goods inflation may rise temporarily due to tariffs, overall inflation will stabilize around 3% through the first half of 2026, with a gradual decline towards 2% as tariff pressures ease and productivity gains are realized [8]
Best money market account rates today, December 16, 2025 (Earn up to 4.26% APY)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-16 11:00
Core Insights - Money market accounts (MMAs) offer higher interest rates compared to traditional savings accounts, providing liquidity and flexibility for long-term savings [1][3] - The national average interest rate for MMAs is currently 0.58%, while the best rates exceed 4% APY, with some accounts offering rates above 5% APY [3][7][13] - Historical fluctuations in MMA rates are closely tied to changes in the Federal Reserve's target interest rate, with significant drops during economic crises and subsequent recoveries leading to higher yields [4][5][6][7] Interest Rate Trends - Following the 2008 financial crisis, MMA rates fell to between 0.10% and 0.50% due to the Fed's near-zero federal funds rate [5] - The COVID-19 pandemic prompted another reduction in rates, but aggressive interest rate hikes began in 2022 to combat inflation, resulting in historically high MMA rates by late 2023 [6][7] - As of late 2024, MMA rates have started to decline following recent Fed rate cuts, although they remain high compared to historical standards [8] Choosing a Money Market Account - When selecting an MMA, factors beyond interest rates, such as minimum balance requirements, fees, and withdrawal limits, are crucial for maximizing account value [9][10] - Some MMAs require a minimum balance of $5,000 or more to earn the highest rates, while others may charge monthly fees that can reduce interest earnings [10][16] - It is essential to ensure that the chosen account is insured by the FDIC or NCUA, which protects deposits up to $250,000 per institution [11]
Average long-term US mortgage rate dips to 6.17%, its lowest level in more than a year
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-30 16:02
Core Insights - The average rate on a 30-year U.S. mortgage has decreased for the fourth consecutive week, reaching its lowest level in over a year, which enhances homebuyers' purchasing power and benefits homeowners looking to refinance [1] - The average long-term mortgage rate fell to 6.17% from 6.19% last week, down from 6.72% a year ago, with the last lower rate recorded on October 3, 2024, at 6.12% [1] - The average rate on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages also declined to 5.41% from 5.44% last week, compared to 5.99% a year ago [2] Influencing Factors - Mortgage rates are affected by various factors, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and bond market investors' expectations regarding the economy and inflation [3] - These rates typically align with the trajectory of the 10-year Treasury yield, which serves as a benchmark for lenders in pricing home loans [3]
Average rate on a 30-year mortgage edges higher after declining four weeks in a row
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 16:04
Core Points - The average rate on a 30-year U.S. mortgage increased to 6.3% from 6.26%, ending a four-week decline that had brought borrowing costs to their lowest level in nearly a year [1] - The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose to 5.49% from 5.41%, compared to 5.16% a year ago [2] - Mortgage rates are influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies, bond market expectations, and the 10-year Treasury yield, which was at 4.19% [3] Market Trends - Mortgage rates had been declining since late July, leading up to the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut amid concerns over the U.S. job market [4] - The housing market has been struggling since 2022, with sales of previously occupied homes reaching their lowest level in nearly 30 years, and current sales running below 2024 levels [5] - The recent rise in mortgage rates may indicate a pattern similar to last year, where rates fell after a Fed rate cut but subsequently increased again, reaching above 7% in mid-January [6][7]