Workflow
Federal interest rate cut
icon
Search documents
4 ETFs To Buy For A Strong Q4 - And 1 To Avoid
Benzingaยท 2025-09-19 14:54
Market Trends - A significant market shift is anticipated, particularly as stocks and bonds rally simultaneously, which is unusual and noteworthy [1][6]. - Historically, summer rallies are fragile, but when they persist into September, they often lead to a strong fourth quarter [4]. ETFs Performance - Four specific ETFs are showing bullish patterns, indicating a positive outlook for the end of the year [2]. - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has seen a rise from just under 600 in late May to around 660 by mid-September, marking a 10% increase [4]. - The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has also rallied, moving from the mid-80s to above 90 [5]. Interest Rates and Economic Indicators - The market is reacting to signs of a potential federal interest rate cut, with recent labor data showing weakness and economic reports being revised downward [6]. - The Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter point for the first time since December 2024, which could create investment opportunities [6]. Energy Sector Insights - The United States Oil Fund (USO) is being closely monitored, particularly the $72 level, which could trigger a significant price drop if breached [8]. - Seasonal trends indicate that oil prices typically weaken after July, and a breakdown could negatively impact related stocks [9]. Gold Market Analysis - The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has increased over 10% since summer, reaching inflation-adjusted all-time highs without significant retail enthusiasm [10]. - The lack of hype around gold is seen as a bullish indicator, suggesting that institutional investors are moving into gold as a safe haven [10][11]. Technology Sector Developments - Tesla's stock surged following a $1 billion insider buy from Elon Musk, while Alphabet became the fourth company to surpass a $3 trillion market cap [12]. - The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS), which tracks major tech companies, has risen 20% since June, indicating strong performance in the tech sector [12][13].