Financial disintermediation

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瑞银:中国银行_专家电话会议要点_稳定币兴起的影响
瑞银· 2025-07-01 00:40
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within it [5]. Core Insights - Stablecoins have gained significant traction, with a market cap exceeding USD 250 billion, primarily backed by USD, and are seen as a stable store of value and a tool for low-cost global transactions [2][3] - Recent regulatory developments in jurisdictions like Hong Kong and the US aim to establish frameworks for stablecoin issuance, focusing on licensing, reserve backing, and preventing interest payments to holders [3][4] - Hong Kong is positioning itself as a testing ground for stablecoins, particularly in the context of RMB internationalization, with initiatives to pilot RMB-backed stablecoins in offshore markets [4] Summary by Sections Stablecoin Market Dynamics - The stablecoin market has grown rapidly since the introduction of USDT in 2014, with over 95% of stablecoins being USD-backed, facilitating continuous and low-cost transactions [2] - The potential for stablecoins to disrupt cross-border payments is significant, with estimates suggesting costs could be reduced by 90% and transactions completed within 10 seconds [7] Regulatory Landscape - The Hong Kong Stablecoins Ordinance, effective August 1, 2025, mandates licensing for issuers and requires a 1:1 reserve backing with liquid assets [3] - The US Senate's GENIUS Act emphasizes similar principles, aiming to balance innovation with security in the stablecoin space [3] Implications for Traditional Finance - Stablecoins pose a potential threat to traditional financial systems, particularly in cross-border payments and deposit flows, although the immediate impact is limited given the current market size [7][8] - Major banks are proactively exploring stablecoin issuance to maintain competitiveness, with examples including Societe Generale and Standard Chartered planning to launch their own stablecoins [8]