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JPM Stock Trading at a Premium to Peers: Buy Now or Avoid?
ZACKS· 2025-11-28 14:20
Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan (JPM) stock is trading at a premium compared to the industry and its peers, with a price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 3.09X, above the industry average of 2.97X, indicating a stretched valuation [1][10] Valuation Comparison - JPMorgan is more expensive than its closest peers, Bank of America (BAC) with a P/TB of 1.93X and Citigroup (C) at 1.11X [2] Recent Performance - JPMorgan shares have underperformed recently, losing 2.5% quarter-to-date, while Bank of America and Citigroup gained 2.7% and 0.9%, respectively [4] Business Model Strength - JPMorgan operates a diversified business model across multiple segments, including consumer banking, commercial banking, investment banking, and wealth management, which provides multiple revenue streams and resilience during economic cycles [8][10] Profitability and Growth Expectations - The company forecasts net interest income (NII) of $92.2 billion for 2025, supported by a favorable balance sheet mix despite expected rate pressures [10][15] - JPMorgan's non-interest income, which constitutes nearly 45% of total net revenues, enhances stability and reduces reliance on interest-rate dynamics [12] Expansion Plans - JPMorgan is expanding its branch network, opening nearly 150 branches in 2024 and planning to add 500 more by 2027 to strengthen its competitive edge [13] Financial Health - As of September 30, 2025, JPMorgan had total debt of $496.6 billion and cash and deposits of $303.4 billion, maintaining strong liquidity and a fortress balance sheet [18] Shareholder Returns - The company has increased its quarterly dividend by 7% to $1.50 per share and authorized a new share repurchase program worth $50 billion, reflecting its commitment to rewarding shareholders [19][20] Analyst Outlook - Analysts have revised upward the Zacks Consensus Estimate for JPMorgan's earnings to $20.24 for 2025 and $21.19 for 2026, indicating positive growth expectations [26]