Four-year cycle
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Bitcoin: Simulation Confirmed
Benjamin Cowen· 2026-03-09 04:22
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin simulation confirmed. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. For the last month or so, ever since Bitcoin got that capitulation into February, what we said was that Bitcoin would likely find a low in February and then it would likely stay weak through February and then get ...
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2026-03-02 18:24
RT RC Markets (@_rcmarkets_)Mayne breaks down the $BTC v altcoin cycle difference every trader needs to know."Bitcoin operates on this four-year cycle. It goes up for three years and then goes down for a year, and then goes up for three years and then goes down for a year. Altcoins operate on a four-year cycle as well. They go up for one year, and then they go down for three years. It's like the inverse."@Tradermayne ...
Is Bitcoin Repricing Alongside the Tech Sector?
Youtube· 2026-02-18 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The recent sell-off in the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin, may indicate a potential repricing or a shift in market regime, influenced by both cyclical patterns and structural changes within the crypto space [2][4][6]. Market Cycles and Trends - The concept of a four-year cycle in Bitcoin's price movements is being discussed, with Bitcoin experiencing a significant drawdown of approximately 50% after reaching an all-time high [2][3]. - Bitcoin's price decline may be correlated with the tech sector's performance, as it is considered a higher beta asset that often precedes movements in traditional equities [6][7]. Market Structure and Liquidity - A notable event referred to as the "1010 deleveraging" on October 10 has led to massive liquidations in the futures markets, contributing to the ongoing market softness [8][9]. - Concerns regarding market structure and liquidity have been raised, suggesting that lower liquidity may have exacerbated the price declines in the crypto market [4][10]. Institutional Behavior - Institutional interest in crypto remains strong, particularly in Bitcoin and Ethereum, although the pace of investment has slowed since October [16][17]. - Institutions are primarily focusing on Bitcoin and Ethereum through ETF wrappers, showing a preference for these assets over altcoins [16][17]. Indicators for Stabilization - Key indicators for potential stabilization in Bitcoin's price include reaching the 200-day moving average around $58,000 and the realized price of approximately $55,000 [11][12]. - Increased liquidity, evidenced by macro factors such as a declining dollar and rising institutional inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, is essential for a market turnaround [13][14].
Is Bitcoin In A Bear Market?
Anthony Pompliano· 2026-02-02 22:01
One of the most important questions in Bitcoin right now is Bitcoin in a bare market. The reason why a lot of people are asking that is because they're trying to figure out what happened. We went up to $126,000, set a brand new all-time high, and then we came crashing down. We recently hit $75,000 in Bitcoin's price. That's a 40% decline. Obviously, that's got a lot of people shook. Now, if you've been around, you know that Bitcoin is likely to be very volatile. We have seen things like a 30% draw down four ...
⚠️ BITCOIN 2026 BULL & BEAR CASE PREDICTION
Altcoin Daily· 2026-01-19 20:38
I actually think Bitcoin makes a new all-time high in 2026 and the four-year cycle will be officially invalidated. However, three things before we can move forward. Number one, Fed shakeup and that creates a lot of uncertainty.Although the person they put in afterwards will be bullish for an easing cycle for the markets. Number two, government shutdown. Unfortunately, the government's only open again until I think January 31st in which they will have to talk about reopening the government again.Also, Suprem ...
Tom Lee Dusts Off Failed 2025 Bitcoin Prediction, Sees BTC Hitting $250K In 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-08 13:01
Group 1 - Fundstrat's Tom Lee predicts Bitcoin could reach between $200,000 and $250,000 this year, revisiting his previous prediction from last year [1] - Lee expresses optimism for Bitcoin following the October 10 crash, which he believes eliminated excess leverage, potentially allowing for a healthy rally [2] - Bitcoin is expected to benefit from the previous year's rallies in gold and silver, as historical trends suggest that gold rallies often lead to Bitcoin rallies [3] Group 2 - The four-year cycle, which has historically seen Bitcoin surge and crash every four years, is associated with the "halvening" event that reduces new Bitcoin supply [4] - Analysts, including Lee, suggest that the four-year cycle may be over due to changes in Bitcoin's market structure, such as the introduction of spot exchange-traded funds [5] - Lee anticipates a 15% to 20% correction in the S&P 500 in the second half of the year, despite predicting the index could surge to 7,700 [7]
🚨 WORST CASE FOR BITCOIN BEAR MARKET 2026
Altcoin Daily· 2025-12-23 13:01
Market Trend Analysis - Bull case scenario suggests a potential bounce to $110K, while the original January bull case was $150K [1] - Bear case anticipates a drop to $65K, which represents the last cycle's all-time high, acting as strong support [1] - If the four-year cycle persists, a bounce from $65K to around $95K-$100K is expected, followed by a final capitulation at $56K [3] Cycle Analysis - The analysis highlights the potential impact of the four-year cycle on market movements [2][3] - The year 2026 is projected to be negative, with capitulation potentially occurring in 2027, while 2028 might be more bullish [3]
X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2025-12-18 04:30
🔥 BULLISH: Bitwise predicts $BTC will break the four-year cycle and reach new all-time highs in 2026, with $ETH and $SOL also hitting ATHs if the CLARITY Act passes. https://t.co/M4da2nckrO ...
X @Joe Consorti
Joe Consorti ⚡️· 2025-12-11 15:05
RT Horizon (@JoinHorizon)"The four-year cycle is still alive because humans are going to human." – @MarkYusko– Why innovation is the most important asset class– How the Fed engineered the K-shaped economy– Bitcoin’s four-year cycle & its path to $1MWatch the latest episode of Over The Horizon ↓ https://t.co/0JOz9QF2I6 ...
WARNING: Federal Reserve Is About To Set The Stage | XRP Holders Please Listen
NCashOfficial - Daily Crypto & Finance News· 2025-12-10 05:01
Don't quote me on this, but I think that force will be quite strong. So that force may be strong enough to offset the fouryear cycle. Who knows.Uh >> so you're saying next year bull market. >> We may be seeing a super super cycle. So we'll see.Yeah. Uh I'm not sure. >> We'll see.>> Yeah. Um, so, >> and there you guys have, of course, CZ, the founder of Binance, speculating on the fact that the four-year cycle is essentially dead and that we are in a super cycle for crypto. Now, if you guys did watch my prev ...