It's possible we could see a correction, you know, 5 to 10% on the stock market in the next several weeks and months. I still think by the end of the year, the market, the S&P and the Dow could be higher uh above 7,000 on the S&P. However, I will change my mind on one thing.In order for the S&P and the Dow to increase the probability that we're topping and falling into a bare market, the Dow needs to fall below 45,450 at a minimum. And then the S&P has to fall below the October lows of about 6,500. ...

The bounce from the lows of February on Bitcoin have been very unimpressive, a very choppy overlapping structure. There's no evidence that a new uptrend has started or that a bottom has been established. At the moment, the probability is still higher for another drop below February, below 60K.That 21 EMA, the blue line, is about 59K uh or just above 58K. The pink line, the 34 EMA at the moment as I'm make as we're making this recording [music] is about 46,500. We need to watch those levels carefully because ...

In this interview, Alessio Rastani shares his latest Bitcoin outlook, explaining why he believes BTC could still make new lows below $60K before a major bounce. He breaks down key support levels, discusses whether the Bitcoin bottom is still ahead, and explains why he remains cautious on the four-year halving cycle. Alessio also shares his view on stocks, oil, and the broader macro picture heading into the rest of 2026. 00:00 – Intro: Is Bitcoin Bottom In Yet? 00:23 – Was Rastani Wrong About His Previous Bi ...

years ago, this is something that we wouldn't have dreamed as being a possibility, but now we have uh the CFTC, the SEC working together to bring crypto into the mainstream. We just have to build products that people want to use. I think the biggest issue that we've seen today and also this been a bottleneck that we've had to deal with securitizing in any RWA platform is giving individuals the incentive to move their capital on chain.So, right now we're working with some of the largest big biggest asset [mu ...

things in Congress never move as quickly as one would hope, but there's been a lot of progress um bipartisan support in the House and the Senate. There's negotiations taking place right now about a specific part of market structure legislation. Given how comprehensive it is and that there's only really one component that is being debated, I think that's a good sign for its overall eventual progress.Um in terms of what it would do for Grayscale, you know, we were a firm that thrives on regulatory clarity. We ...

I did not expect that we'd have the first ever closure straight on Hormuse, but that's happened. We're hearing about some supply constraints and bottlenecks of supply from the Middle East and the strait, but that's 20%. The the vast majority of the incremental increasing supply versus demand is in North America, most notably US.This is going to increase that widening disparity um and ultimately make prices go back down. But that's a key thing to remember about crude oil. It's one of the most world's most au ...

This year is turning out to be similar to 2008. We had so much wealth creation, we're just starting to reverse that and crypto is a great leading. I fully expect things like Bitcoin to probably head towards its enduring mean around 10,000.There is really no underlying fundamental value of things like Dogecoin. And as we tokenize and things come on chain, we realize the value of this technology to track the dollar via stable coins, which is awesome. Um, we're going to realize all these other tokens attract n ...

Gold typically trades at a lower volatility of the S&P 500. Right now 180day volatility and gold is almost 2.5% times that of the S&P 500. So it's no longer store value.Now it's a spective risk asset. I'm worried about this all this volatility and crude oil and energy natural gas and precious metals trickling up to the stock market. It's shaping up like 2008 where um risats will go down.I'm saying just another 50% correction. This will be the third since 2000. ...

Volatility on gold is almost 2.5% times that of the S&P 500, so it's no longer a store value. Unprecedented volatility is shaking global markets as the war in Iraq drags on. Concerns are growing that 20% of the world's oil supply flowing through the Strait of Hormuz could be blocked for a prolonged period.Don't underestimate the tenacity of Mr. . Trump as we approach an election and the US military to, um, clean up things. It might be the kind of year we're supposed to sell the opening and buy the clothes.T ...

We're seeing Trump promising things that have massive financial implications and the only way to pay for those is to print more dollars. Let's assume that there's now the USA state of moves insurance and your ship unfortunately gets bombed by an Iranian or Hoochi drone and now you're out hundreds of millions of dollars. Well, okay, the US government is going to write you a check.Where's that money going to come from. They're going to have to print the money. They're going to have to issue bonds.If it's a ch ...