Group 1 - Prediction markets are gaining popularity among both professional investors and everyday individuals, similar to the rise of cryptocurrency [1][3] - Investors are using official "event contracts" to make predictions on various economic indicators, which has attracted the attention of major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and the Federal Reserve [2][12] - The emergence of prediction markets is being compared to the initial acceptance of cryptocurrency as a new asset class, with investors beginning to allocate portions of their portfolios to these markets [3][12] Group 2 - There is a concern that prediction markets may simply be a new form of speculative gambling, particularly in the context of sports betting [4][6] - The current downturn in the cryptocurrency market has made prediction markets appealing to crypto investors, offering opportunities to profit from price declines [7] - Investment firms are developing new prediction market exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to provide everyday investors with exposure to this emerging market [9][10] Group 3 - Companies like Robinhood Markets are positioned to benefit from the prediction market boom, as they have already integrated these markets into their platforms [11][12] - The regulatory landscape for prediction markets is still uncertain, which could significantly impact which companies succeed in this space [12][13]

THE RUNDOWNMACRO › Q4 GDP came in at 1.4%, well below the 2.8% estimate. The government shutdown gets most of the blame. Full-year 2025 GDP grew 2.2%, down from 2.4% the year before. Core PCE inflation held at 3%, which keeps the Fed stuck. Kashkari said Thursday that rates are “pretty close to neutral,” but also called crypto “utterly useless,” which was a fun bonus.GEOPOLITICAL › The U.S. has assembled its largest air power presence in the Middle East since the 2003 Iraq invasion, per the WSJ. Iran nuclea ...

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People who give you the narrative, they don't have your best interest in mind. Some people have their crypto hedge fund and then they tell you that it's going to go up. Of course, they want inflow.They cannot be bearish crypto. Or maybe they have a treasury company. There is a certain certain person that has been pumping ETH a lot with a treasury company and said that it's going to go to mega highs.Of course, it's not in your not is in his interest that to have a bullish narrative. Not in your interest. Kat ...

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Group 1: Market Reactions to Tariff Announcements - The announcement of a $550 billion investment package from Japan, which includes a 15% baseline tariff on Japanese imports, has significantly impacted the energy and infrastructure sectors, particularly benefiting companies like XOM (+2.4%) and LNG (+3.1%) [2][3] - The introduction of a 100% tariff on foreign-produced films led to a sharp decline in media stocks, with NFLX dropping 4.2% and DIS down 2.1%, raising concerns about the sustainability of the streaming model [4][5] - The S&P 500 index remains volatile, currently at 6,120, as market participants react to unpredictable policy changes and social media announcements [11] Group 2: Sector-Specific Developments - The energy sector is experiencing a surge due to new projects, including a major natural gas plant in Portsmouth, Ohio, which has positively influenced local utility and construction stocks [3] - The entertainment industry is facing challenges due to proposed tariffs, which could fundamentally disrupt the streaming business model, as highlighted by analysts at JPMorgan [5] - The logistics sector is under pressure as trade tensions create uncertainty in supply chains, with companies like FDX and UPS experiencing increased volatility [10] Group 3: Broader Economic Implications - The recent trade deal with India, promising reciprocal tariff rate decreases, has provided a modest boost to emerging market ETFs, although the S&P 500 showed little reaction [9] - The presence of major financial institutions at a crypto forum hosted by the Trump family indicates a shift in Wall Street's approach to decentralized finance, with COIN seeing a 5.7% increase [6][8] - The overall market sentiment reflects a need for diversification into sectors favored by the administration, such as oil, gas, and crypto, while reducing exposure to sectors impacted by tariffs [12]

FLIGHTIVE. AND BOBBY JOINS US NOW FROM CRYPTO STORAGE. I WONDER IF YOU'RE ABLE TO EXPLAIN OR RUN BACK THE RECENT PRICE ACTION WE'VE SEEN IN BITCOIN.BOBBY: YES, BITCOIN PRICE IS VERY VOLATILE AND A LOT OF IT IS DUE TO TRADING, NOT INVESTMENT BUT SOME ARE TRADING ON THE SPOT EXCHANGES, DERIVATIVES, FUTURES, AND YOU SAID THE OPTIONS MARKET AND FUTURES MARKET. SO WITH A LOT OF LONGS AND SHORT POSITION, IT BECOMES A VERY VOLATILE ASSET ESPECIALLY NOW WE SEE THE BULL MARKET IS OVER AND WE'RE IN FAIR MARKET TERRIT ...

Understand why the Chinese gift red packets during Chinese New Year in 1 min.> fairly accurate> 100% based on myth & generational word-of-mouth> 压岁钱 = Suppress Year (Suì) Money> "岁" or Sui, a mythical spirit believed to harm children when the new lunar year begins> no direct relation to @SuiNetwork> wrap currency in red paper (luck) to ward off Sui (protek kids)> evolved to red packets & digital cash (channel gud energies)> giving crypto counts too (esp on Bitget Wallet)Bitget钱包中文频道 🩵 (@BitgetWalletCN):有些事， ...