Core Insights - Affirm Holdings has reported positive GAAP net income for the first time since fiscal 2019, which may mislead investors regarding its financial health [9][5] - Despite top-line growth, the company continues to experience negative Core Earnings and significant cash burn, indicating underlying financial instability [4][11] - The stock valuation implies unrealistic growth expectations, suggesting a potential decline in stock price [7][31] Financial Performance - In fiscal 4Q25, Affirm's revenue and gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 33% and 43% year-over-year, respectively [8] - For the full fiscal year 2025, revenue and GMV increased by 39% and 38% year-over-year [8] - Affirm reported an operating loss of -$87 million in fiscal 2025, while generating $149 million in non-operating income, leading to positive GAAP net income [12][11] Profitability Analysis - Affirm has not achieved positive operating profit or Core Earnings since fiscal 2019, raising questions about the sustainability of its reported GAAP profits [11][13] - Total operating expenses in fiscal 2025 were 103% of revenue, contributing to negative operating income [15] - The company has burned through a cumulative $5.1 billion in free cash flow (FCF) from fiscal 2020 to fiscal 2025 [17] Market Position and Competition - Affirm's stock price suggests it would need to grow GMV to nearly two-thirds of Amazon's fiscal 2024 GMV to justify its current valuation [28] - Compared to competitors like PayPal, Affirm lacks scale and competitive advantages, which impacts its profitability [21][25] - The buy now pay later (BNPL) market is highly competitive, with Affirm and Klarna struggling to generate profits compared to larger financial institutions [22][24] Valuation Concerns - Current stock price implies that Affirm's revenue would need to reach $42.8 billion by fiscal 2035, which is 13.3 times higher than fiscal 2025 revenue [27] - Alternative scenarios suggest significant downside risk, with potential stock values ranging from $28 to $45 per share based on different growth assumptions [31][33] - Affirm's economic book value is estimated at -$2 per share, indicating that equity investors may not see positive economic earnings under normal operations [36]

Core Insights - Dominion Energy reported a third-quarter 2025 net income of $1.0 billion ($1.16 per share), an increase from $934 million ($1.09 per share) in the same period of 2024 [1][9] - Operating earnings for the same period were $921 million ($1.06 per share), up from $836 million ($0.98 per share) in 2024 [2][9] - The company narrowed its 2025 operating earnings guidance to a range of $3.33 to $3.48 per share, maintaining the midpoint at $3.40 per share [4][9] Financial Performance - The operating revenue for Q3 2025 was $4.527 billion, compared to $3.941 billion in Q3 2024, reflecting a significant increase [13] - Total operating expenses rose to $3.188 billion in Q3 2025 from $2.723 billion in Q3 2024, leading to an income from operations of $1.339 billion, up from $1.218 billion [13] - The net income attributable to Dominion Energy for Q3 2025 was $1.006 billion, compared to $934 million in Q3 2024 [13][24] Guidance and Future Outlook - The company expects to meet or exceed the midpoint of its operating earnings guidance range, assuming normal weather conditions for the remainder of the year [4] - Dominion Energy reaffirmed its long-term operating earnings per share growth guidance of 5% to 7% through 2029, based on the 2025 operating earnings per share midpoint of $3.30 [4] Earnings Call Information - Dominion Energy will host its third-quarter 2025 earnings call on October 31, 2025, at 11 a.m. ET, where management will discuss financial results and other matters of interest [5][6]