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SANDSCHINA LTD.(01928.HK):MACAUGAMING25JUL2025 FINANCIAL REPORTS DISCLOSURE
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-26 03:38
Company Performance - Sands China reported 2Q25 net revenue of US$1.8 billion, reflecting a 3% year-over-year increase and a 5% quarter-over-quarter increase, with luck-adjusted property EBITDA of $559 million, down 1% year-over-year but up 3% quarter-over-quarter, recovering to 73% of 2019 levels, which was lower than expectations due to the underperformance of Parisian [1] - The company has lowered its 2025E EPS forecast from US$0.20 to US$0.13, 2026E forecast from US$0.22 to US$0.16, and 2027E forecast from US$0.23 to US$0.19, while also reducing the target price from HK$25 to HK$22.6, maintaining a Buy rating with a 21% upside potential [1][3] Industry Insights - Macau's gross gaming revenue (GGR) grew 8% year-over-year in Q2, recovering to 83% of 2019 levels, with VIP GGR rising 23% year-over-year, reaching 47% of 2019 levels, and mass GGR increasing 4% year-over-year, up 16% compared to 2019, contributing 73% of total revenue [1] - The resilient gaming revenue in Q2 is attributed to constrained supply, a busy events calendar, and strong demand from VIP and premium mass segments [1] Operational Details - Sands China's mass GGR grew 1% year-over-year, with premium mass GGR flat year-over-year (49% of mass revenue, up 6% compared to 2019) and base mass up 2% year-over-year (93% of 2019 levels), while VIP rolling chip volume declined 22% year-over-year [1] - Hotel occupancy stood at 96%, with an average daily rate (ADR) of US$226 [1] Renovation Impact - The company implemented aggressive customer reinvestment programs since late April, which supported improved performance in May and June, with all 2,405 renovated rooms and suites at the Londoner opened by late April [2] - The Londoner's annualized EBITDA target is US$1.0 billion, with 2Q25 annualized EBITDA reaching $626 million [2]