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‘This is staggering’: Joe on stunning new midterm poll giving Dems wide advantage
MSNBC· 2025-11-20 11:45
the Epstein files. >> I heard there's no files. I heard it's a a hoax and then all of a sudden he's going to release the files. Well, I thought there was no files, >> man. >> He wants an investigation now. >> Listen, >> like what is going on? >> Okay. Joe Rogan isn't buying the president's shifting positions on the Epstein files. We'll have the latest on the new investigation that could stall the release of those documents. We'll also bring you expert analysis on two major legal cases, starting with the stu ...
Steve Kornacki shares his biggest takeaway from election night
NBC News· 2025-11-05 07:38
Election Analysis & Midterm Outlook - NBC News poll shows Democrats leading by eight points in the generic ballot for the 2026 midterm elections [2] - The generic ballot was tight in the fall of this year, which initially gave Republicans hope for the 2026 midterms [2] - Trump's low marks on the economy and blame for the government shutdown contributed to the Democrats' advantage [3] - Results in Virginia and New Jersey are consistent with the Democrats' eight-point lead in the generic ballot [3] Key Factors & Potential Implications - Trump's numbers have fallen, indicating a potential shift in voter sentiment [3] - The Democratic lead in the generic ballot suggests a potentially accurate finding [5] - The results in politically competitive parts of Virginia and New Jersey could be indicative of trends in swing districts next year [4]
Kornacki: Democrats may be facing headwinds going into 2026 midterms
NBC News· 2025-10-07 22:00
Midterm Elections Outlook - Democrats are aiming to regain control of Congress in the upcoming midterms, but face significant political challenges [1] - Republicans currently hold 220 seats, while Democrats have 215, meaning Democrats need a net gain of only three seats to take the House [2] - Republican efforts to redraw maps in several states could create a larger advantage for them [2] Historical Comparison - In Trump's first midterm, Democrats gained 40 seats, a "blue wave," but the signs were visible far in advance [3] - In October 2017, Democrats led the generic ballot by nearly eight points, a level maintained throughout 2018 [4] - Currently, Democrats lead the generic ballot by only three points, indicating less certainty compared to 2018 [5] Party Favorability - In October 2017, Republicans had a 27% average favorable score, while Democrats had 39% [6] - Currently, Republicans have a 41% favorable score, while Democrats have 35% [7] - Democrats are currently less popular than Republicans, which could impact their ability to capitalize on anti-White House sentiment in the midterms [8]