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The market could be somewhere between 6,700 and 6,900 by year-end, says UBS' Alan Rechtschaffen
Youtube· 2025-10-22 15:37
Market Outlook - The market level at 6,700 is seen as a result of aligned productivity and policy, with expectations for this trend to continue [2] - Interest rates are anticipated to decrease, supported by the Federal Reserve's pivot and improvements in government spending, which could positively impact the market [3][4] - The Treasury Secretary noted a decrease in 10-year yields due to deficit improvements, indicating a shift in government spending patterns [4] Economic Factors - The administration is addressing the $38 trillion deficit, which is expected to positively influence market sentiment and economic conditions [7][9] - The combination of lower interest rates, productivity gains from artificial intelligence, and significant capital in money market funds ($7 trillion) suggests a favorable environment for market growth [12][16] Investment Strategy - UBS forecasts the market could reach between 6,700 and 6,900 by year-end, with a potential bull case scenario of 8,000 by mid-next year [15] - There is a belief that taking risks in equity markets could be beneficial, especially during market pullbacks [14] - The rise in gold prices may indicate investors seeking risk insurance amid global fiscal concerns [16]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-15 15:40
Market Risk - Wall Street strategists are warning of potential risks if the Treasury relies more on bill issuance to finance the government deficit [1]