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Why Nvidia Is Getting 'Butt-Kicked' By Gold Miners: Larry McDonald
Benzinga· 2025-09-10 15:29
Core Insights - A significant shift is occurring in the investment landscape, with gold miners outperforming tech stocks like Nvidia, indicating a migration of capital from overvalued financial assets to undervalued commodities [1][4][6] Group 1: Performance Comparison - Gold miners, tracked by the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), have surged by 93%, while silver miners, tracked by the Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL), increased by 90% [3] - In contrast, Nvidia's stock, part of the Magnificent Seven, only rose by 14%, highlighting a stark divergence in performance [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The current market environment is characterized by sticky inflation, potential Federal Reserve rate cuts favoring hard assets, and geopolitical tensions driving gold prices towards $4,000 per ounce [4] - The market cap of Nvidia, at $4.34 trillion, significantly overshadows the combined market cap of all copper, gold, and silver producers, suggesting a potential for a painful correction in Nvidia's valuation [4] Group 3: Energy and Future Outlook - Nvidia's growth is hindered by an energy infrastructure that is "50 times smaller" than what is required for mega data centers, raising concerns about its sustainability [5] - Uranium and nuclear stocks, currently undervalued, are positioned as potential future leaders in energy supply, contrasting with Nvidia's high market cap [5] Group 4: Investor Sentiment - Despite gold reaching all-time highs, massive ETF outflows indicate that retail investors have not yet fully engaged, suggesting further upside potential for gold [6] - The prevailing sentiment among savvy traders is to pivot from Nvidia hype towards investing in hard assets like gold, as the market signals potential stagflation and debt crises [6]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-30 13:20
Active vs Passive Fund Performance - Actively-managed investment funds have historically struggled to consistently outperform their passive counterparts [1] - The outperformance of US markets in previous years has further intensified this challenge [1] - In 2025, active investment strategies are showing potential signs of resurgence amidst the "Great Rotation" [1]