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‘Dr. Doom’ Nouriel Roubini breaks with the crowd on the AI bubble, saying the U.S. is headed for a ‘growth recession’ and not a market crash
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-25 20:24
Core Viewpoint - Nouriel Roubini, known as "Dr. Doom," challenges the prevailing pessimism regarding the U.S. economy, suggesting that fears of a significant downturn are misplaced [1][2]. Economic Outlook - Roubini argues that the conventional belief that U.S. tariffs will lead to stagflation and a market crash is incorrect, predicting instead a brief period of cooling growth followed by a strong rebound driven by technology and capital spending [2][4]. - He describes the near-term economic situation as a "growth recession," indicating slower GDP growth below potential, rather than a severe downturn or bubble burst [3]. Tariff Impact - Roubini contends that extreme fears surrounding tariffs and policy errors have not materialized, attributing this to the current administration's responsiveness to market conditions [4]. - The administration's quick adjustment to soften policies after initial market reactions demonstrates a willingness to engage in more conventional trade negotiations [4]. Future Growth Projections - By next year, Roubini anticipates a reacceleration of growth, supported by monetary easing from the Federal Reserve, ongoing fiscal stimulus, and a surge in AI-related capital expenditures [5]. - His views align with those of notable Wall Street analysts, who also foresee a potential economic reacceleration in the coming years [6].