更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木纪要 Global Fund Manager Survey On AI, Gold & Crypto BofA August Global Fund Manager Survey Bottom Line: not a clear and obvious inflection point in our survey but most bullish FMS since Feb'25, with probability of hard landing lowest since Jan'25, cash as % AUM at historically low 3.9%, equity allocations on rise but not at extreme levels. On Macro & Policy: 68% predict soft landing, 22% no landing, just 5% positioned for a hard landing; expectations for global growth remain tepid n ...

Accessible version FX and Rates Sentiment Survey Summer doubts Key takeaways Qualifying the short USD thesis Even if now on par with long rates, short USD remains the highest conviction trade for the rest of the year (Exhibit 7). This could reflect survey respondents' expectation of fading US exceptionalism (Exhibit 1) and simmering concerns on Fed independence (Exhibit 16, Exhibit 17) and US fiscal policy (Exhibit 14). It is in line with them preferring to raise their FX hedge ratios (Exhibit 18) and with ...

All the major indices tracking to close the week higher. The S&P and NASDAQ pacing for their third positive week in four and the Dow on course for its second positive week in three. Let's bring in Schwab Asset Management CEO and CIO Omar Agalar.Uh Omar, thanks for being here to round out the week. Uh there's been a lot of macro news over the past two weeks. Uh how do you kind of assess the market's reaction to all of it. Do you think it's it's moving in an appropriate function.Well, the market seems to be u ...

Wall Street strategists are sounding alarms that the US economy is drifting toward stagflation as the impact of trade tariffs start to show up: Here’s your Evening Briefing https://t.co/krwCufqiz0 ...

Wall Street strategists are sounding alarms that the US economy is drifting toward stagflation as the impact of trade tariffs start to show up, potentially restricting the ability of the Fed to slash interest-rates https://t.co/l3qrVXM50s ...

Listen and subscribe to Stocks In Translation on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you find your favorite podcast. Stagflation fears are rising, but smart investors see opportunity, not panic. In this episode of Stocks in Translation, Pennington Partners & Co. president and chief investment officer Christopher Wolfe joins host Jared Blikre and Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Brooke DiPalma to break down everything you need to know about stagflation in the current market, and how investors and companies can ...

The risk of a damaging bout of stagflation means the Fed may have to stand pat on rates even in the face of weak US employment, says @edwardnh in the Everything Risk newsletter https://t.co/fjEJZMYurJ ...

CRYPTO DAYBOOK AMERICAS: Stagflation jitters have options traders hedging, and on Polymarket the odds of $BTC dipping below $100K hit 55%, @godbole17 and @shauryamalwa report.https://t.co/yXYbS6bISH ...

Garrett, unemployment up, employers pulling back on hiring. It's not a good picture for a White House right now. How's the administration responding this morning.Yeah, on a no formal statement from the White House yet, a lot of the president's allies in the Republican party have tried to point to the broader health of the overall economy as a way of downplaying these numbers. But just a short time ago, one of the president's top economic adviserss acknowledged that his these numbers are troubling, particula ...

Just hours before President Trump's trade deadline was set to take effect today, he signed an executive order announcing sweeping new tariffs for dozens of countries countries as well as formalizing the trade deal frameworks that his administration had already negotiated with a handful of nations. These new rates range from 10% to as high as 41% and they're scheduled to take effect on August 7th, next week. In an exclusive phone interview with NBC News, Trump said that it was too late for other countries to ...