HNB新业务

Search documents
思摩尔国际(6969.HK):雾化主业驱动营收+18% HNB反馈积极
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-17 18:59
Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a revenue of 6.013 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing an 18% year-over-year increase, while net profit is expected to decline by 21% to 35% year-over-year, primarily due to increased non-cash share payments and rising operational costs associated with brand expansion and legal services [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The company’s revenue growth in H1 2025 is attributed to strengthened enforcement and regulatory policies in the U.S. and parts of Europe, leading to good growth in both its proprietary brand and ToB businesses [1] - The adjusted net profit for H1 2025 is projected to be between 688 million and 787 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year change of -9% to +4% [1] Group 2: Regulatory Environment - The U.S. FDA and state governments have intensified enforcement against non-compliant electronic vapor products, which has positively impacted the sales of compliant products [2] - In Europe, regulations on disposable e-cigarettes have tightened, with bans in the UK and New Zealand taking effect, which is expected to shift consumer demand towards compliant products [2] Group 3: New Business Development - The Glo Hilo product, launched in Japan, has shown improved performance compared to its Serbian counterpart, with enhanced heating efficiency and a wider variety of flavor options [3] - The product is set to be rolled out nationwide in Japan, which is anticipated to benefit the company as a product innovator and supply chain partner [3] Group 4: Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 1.323 billion, 2.140 billion, and 2.762 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.21, 0.35, and 0.45 yuan [3] - A target price of 25.00 HKD is set, reflecting a valuation premium due to high competitive barriers in the HNB new business and the steady recovery of the vapor main business [3]