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Shift4 Payments: What Lies Ahead After Breakout Rejection
Benzinga· 2026-01-05 12:43
Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments is currently experiencing prolonged stock weakness, having struggled for over 300 days, and is in Phase 7 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle [1] Group 1: Cakra Formation Analysis - According to Adhishthana Principles, stocks typically form a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which usually indicates bullish implications [2] - Shift4 Payments began forming its Cakra in July 2023 but experienced a premature breakout above the upper arc during late Phase 5 and early Phase 6, which is structurally unfavorable [3] - The market rejected this premature breakout, leading to a sharp reversal and a subsequent fall back into the Cakra arc, coinciding with its February 2025 quarterly results and the acquisition of Global Blue [4] Group 2: Move of Pralaya - After breaking below the lower arc of the Cakra, Shift4 Payments triggered a bearish move known as the Move of Pralaya, which is characterized by strong selling pressure [7] - Following the Cakra breakdown, the stock has declined by approximately 30% [7] Group 3: Future Outlook - Shift4 Payments is expected to experience bearishness, sluggish price action, and multiple false rallies from Phase 7 through Phase 13, with meaningful clarity on potential reversal only emerging in Phases 14, 15, and 16 [8] - The broader outlook remains weak, and the stock is likely to remain under pressure [8] Group 4: Investor Sentiment - Investors are advised to avoid fresh exposure to Shift4 Payments due to the confirmed Cakra breakdown and the anticipated prolonged weak stretch ahead in the cycle [9] - The monthly chart indicates the stock is in the early part of Phase 2, which is associated with consolidation and corrective behavior, suggesting that current weakness may persist for some time [10]
Why Linde Stock May Be More Vulnerable Than It Appears
Benzinga· 2026-01-02 14:24
Core Insights - Linde is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, indicating potential risks are building beneath the surface [1] - The stock's recent behavior suggests rising downside pressure, making hedging increasingly important [1] Weekly Chart Analysis - Linde's stock formed a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which typically has bullish implications, but the recent setup deviated from this ideal [2][3] - The stock attempted multiple premature breakouts during the Cakra formation, weakening the integrity of the pattern [3] - Upon entering Phase 9, instead of a clean breakout, Linde experienced a breakdown, leading to a decline of over 15% since October 6 [5] Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly chart, Linde is in Phase 10, where a well-defined Cakra formed and broke out cleanly in Phase 9, resulting in a rally of over 193% [6] - The early part of Phase 10 supported bullish momentum, but recent pullbacks suggest potential structural changes [7] Structural Implications - The Himalayan Formation, which follows a Cakra breakout, consists of three legs: ascent, peak, and descent, with Phase 10 being critical for peak formation [8] - Linde marked its all-time high within Phase 10, raising the possibility of a structural peak being in place [10] Investor Outlook - With a Cakra breakdown on the weekly charts and signs of a potential peak on the monthly timeframe, Linde's risk profile has shifted [11] - Investors should consider hedging long exposure, as downside risks appear to be increasing [11] - New investors may want to wait for clearer confirmation of whether a peak has formed before initiating positions [11]
Warner Bros Shareholders Are Getting More Than Just Acquisition Drama
Benzinga· 2025-12-10 13:06
Core Viewpoint - Warner Bros is currently experiencing significant acquisition interest from Netflix and Paramount, leading to a competitive environment that is positively impacting its stock performance [2][10]. Acquisition Interest - Netflix announced plans to acquire Warner Bros for $72 million in equity value, which has attracted attention from the Justice Department regarding potential intervention [2]. - Paramount has made a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros valued at $108 million, intensifying the competitive landscape [2]. Stock Performance Analysis - Despite the uncertainty surrounding the acquisitions, Warner Bros' stock has rallied approximately 115% since entering Phase 9 of its Adhishthana cycle, indicating a strong bullish trend [7]. - The stock's bullish momentum began prior to the recent acquisition headlines, showcasing the effectiveness of the Adhishthana framework in identifying structural shifts early [7]. Future Projections - The current Phase 9 is expected to conclude around mid-January 2026, with a potential peak formation window anticipated between May and June of the following year [8]. - Investors are advised to hold onto their shares as the ascent phase continues, with a peak formation expected in the next cycle phase [10].
Should You Chase Citi Trends After Q3 Earnings?
Benzinga· 2025-12-02 13:40
Core Viewpoint - Citi Trends reported Q3 results with total sales of $197.1 million, a gross margin of 38.9%, and a net loss of $6.9 million, indicating a mixed performance despite higher store traffic [1] Financial Performance - Total sales for Q3 reached $197.1 million, reflecting an increase in store traffic [1] - The company experienced a gross margin of 38.9% [1] - A net loss of $6.9 million was reported for the quarter [1] Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Citi Trends is currently in Phase 10 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, characterized by volatility and early peak-formation attempts [2][5] - The stock has progressed through the ascent leg of the Himalayan Formation following a Cakra breakout [2] - The Cakra formation occurred between January 2022 and Phase 8, leading to a significant rally of approximately 174% in Phase 9 [7] Peak Formation Insights - The peak-formation window for Citi Trends is anticipated to occur between late March and early May 2026 [8] - Until this peak-formation window arrives, the bullish ascent is expected to continue, albeit with volatility [9] Investor Outlook - For existing holders, it is advised to maintain positions while monitoring the peak-formation window in 2026, where risk may increase [11] - Prospective buyers should consider the stock for short-term tactical trades rather than long-term investments, due to current market conditions [12] - The overall structural outlook for Citi Trends remains bullish, but the opportunity for a sustainable long-term entry has not yet materialized [13]
Can Macy's Sustain Its Breakout As Q3 Earnings Loom?
Benzinga· 2025-12-01 11:07
Core Viewpoint - Macy's Inc. is approaching its Q3 earnings report on December 3, with the stock currently experiencing a bullish Cakra breakout within its Adhishthana cycle, indicating potential positive momentum ahead [1]. Group 1: Cakra Breakout and Phases - Under the Adhishthana Principles, Macy's has developed a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which is a long-term consolidation zone with bullish implications [2]. - Macy's entered Phase 4 in January 2022 and has since broken out decisively in Phase 9, resulting in a rally of approximately 38%, with a remarkable increase of over 116% in Phase 9 alone [3]. - Phase 9 for Macy's will continue until January 20, 2026, after which it will transition into Phase 10, where the likelihood of peak formation increases [5][6]. Group 2: Market Outlook and Investor Sentiment - With strong momentum in Phase 9 and the upcoming Q3 earnings, volatility is anticipated, but it is not expected to negatively impact the bullish structure [7]. - Investors holding Macy's stock have strong reasons to maintain their positions, as the breakout from the Cakra pattern supports a sustained bullish outlook, with any near-term dips likely being structural pauses rather than trend reversals [8]. - Macy's remains firmly within the ascent leg of the Himalayan Formation, with Phase 9 still having time to unfold before entering Phase 10, which may signal the first signs of an eventual peak [10].
Why Nutanix's 18% Decline Shouldn't Surprise Investors
Benzinga· 2025-11-28 15:37
Core Viewpoint - Nutanix's stock fell over 18% after reporting earnings that were below analyst expectations and providing a weak forward outlook, indicating a pre-existing structural decline that was anticipated [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analysis - Nutanix completed its Cakra formation and broke out in Phase 9, leading to a significant ascent, with a peak around $83.36 before entering a descent phase [2][4]. - The stock has since declined approximately 43% from its peak, which is considered normal for a descent leg in its current cycle [2]. - The current selling pressure aligns with the structural expectation that the stock will revisit the Cakra breakout level of around $31 [6]. Group 2: Future Projections - Nutanix is currently in Phase 12, with expectations that Phases 12 and 13 will focus on completing the descent, followed by a consolidation phase [7]. - Clarity regarding future performance will emerge when Phase 14 begins, which will determine the potential for a strong rally in Phase 18, referred to as Nirvana [7]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - In July, most institutional ratings on Nutanix were bullish, but a cautious analysis highlighted structural risks and advised restraint [10]. - The descent is not complete until the stock approaches the ~$31 region, suggesting that new long positions are premature at this stage [11].
Bill Holdings At A Crossroads: What's Next For The Stock?
Benzinga· 2025-11-10 11:28
Core Viewpoint - Bill Holdings (NYSE:BILL) is at a critical juncture in its trading phase, specifically Phase 7 of the Adhishthana Cakra formation, which will determine its future price movement [1][7]. Group 1: Chart Analysis - The Adhishthana Principles indicate that stocks typically form a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which usually has bullish implications [2]. - Bill Holdings entered Phase 4 in January 2023 and is currently in Phase 7, near the lower arc of the Cakra formation [3]. - The lower bound of the Cakra, between $35–40, is a key technical parameter, having provided support six times [6]. Group 2: Potential Outcomes - Two potential outcomes exist: a bullish reversal from the lower bound leading to a gradual rise through Phase 8, or a bearish breakdown below the lower bound, resulting in a significant decline known as the Move of Pralaya [5][9]. - The bullish scenario would allow the stock to move towards $75–80 before a potential breakout in Phase 9, which begins in June 2026 [6][10]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Institutional positioning remains overweight, indicating comfort with current valuations, but the decisive breakout is still months away [8]. - Current holders should monitor the lower arc closely, as a decisive break could lead to a bearish trend, while potential buyers may find a good risk-reward opportunity if the stock holds support [10].
NeoGenomics Stock In A Range-Bound Matrix, Weakness Likely Until 2026
Benzinga· 2025-09-17 11:58
Core Viewpoint - NeoGenomics (NEO) is currently in Phase 18 of its Adhishthana Cycle, indicating a prolonged period of consolidation with little sign of breakout until August 2026 [1][10]. Summary by Sections NEO's Cycle Overview - NEO has closely followed the Adhishthana Principles throughout its cycle, particularly between Phases 9 and 12, demonstrating a strong alignment with the model [2]. - Stocks in Phases 4 through 8 typically form a Cakra, which has bullish implications, leading to a breakout in Phase 9, marking the start of the Himalayan Formation [3]. Historical Performance - From May 2016 to September 2019, NEO traded within its Cakra, then broke out sharply in Phase 9, rising from $18 to $34 [5]. - The stock continued to rally in Phase 10, reaching a peak of $61, but subsequently began to decline, falling over 70% back to the breakout level near $18 [6]. Challenges Faced - The issues for NEO began upon entering the Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16), which are critical for determining the potential for achieving Nirvana in Phase 18 [7]. - For Nirvana to occur, the Guna Triads must exhibit Satoguna, indicating a sustainable bullish move, which NEO failed to demonstrate [8]. Current Status and Outlook - NEO remains in consolidation for over 850 days, with the current phase concluding in August 2026, suggesting continued stagnation [10]. - Investors are advised to be cautious, as the stock is unlikely to show significant movement in the near term, remaining "stuck in the Matrix" [11].
Is IDEX Stock Headed To $115 Amid Rising Downside Risk?
Benzinga· 2025-09-12 12:06
Core Viewpoint - IDEX Corporation has experienced a significant decline from approximately $244 to $165 since April 2024, indicating a potential deeper issue as it may be entering the descent leg of its Himalayan Formation, with a target range of $110–115 [1][8]. Summary by Sections IDEX and the Cakra Formation - IDEX's stock has followed the Adhishthana Principles, entering a Cakra formation in Phase 4 back in 2002, which lasted over 5,300 days [2]. - The true inflection point occurs in Phase 9, leading to a decisive breakout that initiates the Himalayan Formation, a three-part sequence [2]. Ascent and Peak - In Phase 9, IDEX saw a significant surge of nearly 61%, reaching around $246, marking the culmination of the Himalayan ascent [3]. - The peak formation is expected to occur within the 18th or 23rd interval, and if not achieved, it is anticipated to happen in subsequent phases [3]. Decline - Following the peak, IDEX has sharply declined, consistent with the initiation of the descent leg of the Himalayan Formation [7]. - The descent leg typically targets the breakout origin of the Cakra, which for IDEX is near $115, indicating a potential downside risk [8]. Investor Outlook - The structural peak for IDEX appears firmly established, suggesting that the descent leg may continue until the stock revisits its breakout origin [9]. - Investors are advised to wait for signs of stabilization closer to the $115 region before initiating positions, while existing holders should reassess their exposure based on this cyclical outlook [11].
Is Costco Stock Topping Out? Key Price Levels To Watch
Benzinga· 2025-07-18 11:43
Core Viewpoint - Costco is currently in Phase 11 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, suggesting a potential peak formation after a strong rally, with the stock declining approximately 11% from its all-time high of $1078.23 [1][6]. Weekly Chart Analysis - Costco confirmed a breakout from its Cakra formation in Phase 9, leading to a rally of approximately 23% [4]. - In Phase 10, the stock surged an additional 66%, indicating continued upward momentum without forming a peak [4]. - Phase 11 saw the stock reach an all-time high of $1078.23, but it has since failed to reclaim that level, suggesting a possible peak has been formed [6][5]. Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly chart, Costco is in Phase 12, having also broken out of its Cakra in Phase 9 and rallied through Phases 10 and 11 [9]. - Uniquely, the stock did not form a peak in either Phase 10 or 11, which is rare according to the Adhishthana framework [9]. - The last bar of Phase 11 is critical; if it confirms the peak at $1078.23, it would indicate a potential end to the rally [10]. Investor Outlook - Investors should monitor the $893.62 level, which is the Phase 10 high; breaking this level could confirm the beginning of a descent [11]. - If the stock breaches $1078.23, it would indicate that the rally continues, potentially entering a more powerful phase [12].