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ADP Disappoints: -32K Private Sector Jobs Last Month
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 16:31
Group 1: Employment Data - The ADP monthly jobs report indicates a decline of -32K private-sector payrolls for November, falling short of expectations for +40K and the previous month's revised figure of +47K, marking the fourth negative month in the last six [1][2] - The four-month trailing average of private-sector payrolls is currently at -4K, the first negative average since the early months of the Covid pandemic in 2020 [2] - Small businesses (fewer than 50 employees) accounted for all job losses, with a significant drop of -120K jobs, representing a post-Covid low [2][3] Group 2: Job Loss Breakdown - Job losses were concentrated in small businesses, with -46K jobs lost among companies with fewer than 20 employees and -74K among firms with 20-49 employees [3] - Sectors such as Manufacturing lost -18K jobs, while Information Services and Professional/Business Services saw declines of -20K and -26K jobs, respectively [4] Group 3: Wage Trends - Job Stayers experienced an average wage increase of +4.4%, while Job Changers saw a higher average increase of +6.3%, indicating a tightening labor market [5] Group 4: Import and Export Prices - Import and export prices remained unchanged in September, with imports at 0.0% and exports also unchanged, reflecting a lack of significant price movement [6][7] - Year-over-year, imports increased by +0.3%, while exports rose by +3.8%, the highest in nearly three years, suggesting challenges in absorbing tariffs within the economy [8] Group 5: Market Reaction - Following the release of the ADP jobs data, pre-market futures showed muted reactions, with larger indexes shifting from positive to negative territory, indicating a potential market response to the economic reports [9][10]