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ETF Edge: Managing long-term risk amid a new Fed chair nominee, jobs data and market volatility
Youtube· 2026-02-03 22:24
Market Overview - The market is experiencing a shift with a new Fed chair nominee and a turn towards risk-off trading in certain sectors [1][2] - Interest rates have been stable recently, contributing to a resilient economy and strong corporate earnings [3][4] Fixed Income Performance - Emerging markets have been the best-performing area in fixed income year-to-date, indicating opportunities outside the US [6] - The yield curve is steepening, suggesting normalization in interest rates, with long-term rates higher than short-term rates [5] Investment Strategies - Investors are diversifying away from US-centric assets towards emerging markets, driven by attractive risk-return profiles [11] - Flows into option income ETFs have outpaced those into traditional dividend ETFs, reflecting a shift in income generation strategies [14] Bond Market Insights - Investment-grade credit, particularly in the triple B range, is recommended for its yield advantage with similar default risk [19] - Private credit is gaining attention, offering yields close to 7% with low duration, appealing to investors transitioning from money market funds [22] Economic Outlook - Credit fundamentals remain strong, with tight spreads indicating a robust economy [44] - The potential for volatility exists due to the new Fed chair and midterm elections, but the overall outlook for fixed income remains positive [38][41] Risks and Considerations - Attention is needed on private capital stocks, which may face stress, particularly in less liquid vehicles [27] - Investors should be cautious about extending duration too quickly and ensure a balanced portfolio to mitigate risks [50]
Behind the rapid rise of alternative ETF investments
CNBC Television· 2025-09-22 22:26
Alternative Investments Landscape - Alternative investments have seen explosive interest in recent years, prompting the creation of matching ETF offerings [1] - The growing role of alternatives is manifesting in exchange-traded funds [3] - Advisors and their clients are driving the narrative around the increasing demand for alternative investments [9][10] Drivers of Alternative Investment Growth - The rise of alternatives is driven by the behavior of stocks and bonds, particularly the shift to positive correlation between them [4] - Investors are seeking unique sources of risk and return beyond traditional stocks and bonds to build more resilient portfolios [5] - The need for alternative income sources is growing, especially as interest rates are expected to decline [11] Types of Alternative Investments - Gold has traditionally been a way to gain exposure, with strong demand for ETFs like GLD and GLDM [8] - New products offering alternatives include autocallable income ETFs and funds in the hedge fund-like space [8][9] - Bitcoin, accessible through spot Bitcoin ETFs, is considered an alternative for many investors [9] - Covered call strategies and private credit are viable methods to obtain income outside of traditional equities or bonds via the ETF wrapper [20] Income Generation Strategies - Equity income solutions can deliver double-digit yields through selling options, potentially reaching 10-15% [12] - Active managers can navigate low volatility premiums by identifying opportune times to capture heightened levels of volatility premiums [15][16] - Simplify offers strategies like levered gold with an income overlay (WIDE Gold) and a Bitcoin ETF with an active income overlay (Bitcoin ETF MAXI) to address the lack of income potential in some alternative assets [22] Investor Preferences and Trends - High income levels generated by a strategy capture investors' attention, especially at the retail level, even if they don't fully understand the underlying options or derivative components [26] - Sophisticated high-net-worth clients are increasingly interested in true diversifiers like trend-following strategies with low correlation to stocks and bonds [27] - The ETF wrapper has become a comfortable way for advisors and investors to gain exposure to diversification through managed futures, commodities, and Bitcoin [31] - Finding alternative ways to get income is expected to persist for the foreseeable future, with continued traction in products like JPM's JEPI [34][35]