Industry Overview - The U.S. Energy Department reported a lower-than-expected increase in natural gas supplies, with stockpiles rising by 110 billion cubic feet (Bcf) for the week ended May 9, compared to analysts' expectations of 111 Bcf [2] - Total natural gas stocks reached 2,255 Bcf, which is 375 Bcf (14.3%) below the 2024 level but 57 Bcf (2.6%) higher than the five-year average [3] - Natural gas futures fell about 12% during the week, ending at $3.343/MMBtu, the lowest in two weeks, due to mild weather leading to subdued demand [4] Company Focus - **Expand Energy (EXE)**: The largest natural gas producer in the U.S. after the Chesapeake-Southwestern merger, with significant assets in the Haynesville and Marcellus basins. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its 2025 earnings per share indicates a 458.2% year-over-year surge, with an 18.7% increase in estimates over the past 60 days [7][8] - **Coterra Energy (CTRA)**: An independent upstream operator with a focus on natural gas, owning approximately 183,000 net acres in the Marcellus Shale. The expected earnings per share growth rate for Coterra is 20.3% over three to five years, compared to the industry's 17.8% [9][10] - **Excelerate Energy (EE)**: Specializes in LNG infrastructure and services, representing 20% of the global Floating Storage Regasification Units (FSRUs) fleet. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its 2025 earnings per share indicates a 10.2% year-over-year growth [11][12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $1,989 million for Q1 2025, reflecting a 3% increase compared to Q1 2024, with adjusted EBITDA excluding the marketing business up 5% [17][22] - The adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025 was raised from a midpoint of $7,650 million to $7,700 million, indicating a projected 9% growth over 2024 [22][24] - The company received an S&P credit rating upgrade to BBB+ during the quarter, along with a positive outlook from Moody's [13][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Transmission and Gulf business improved by $23 million or 3%, setting an all-time record due to higher revenues from expansion projects [18][19] - The Northeast gathering and processing business improved by $10 million or 2%, primarily due to higher revenues from gathering and processing rates [20] - The West segment saw an increase of $26 million or 8%, driven by strong margins and pipeline volumes [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a 12% increase in Gulf gathering volumes and a 42% increase in NGL production [19] - The demand for natural gas pipeline capacity and volumetric demand is expected to grow, with the company well-positioned to benefit from this trend [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on the growing demand for natural gas, particularly in the power generation market, industrial reshoring, and LNG exports [25][26] - The company is pursuing high-return projects, including the Socrates project, which is expected to generate earnings consistent with a five times EBITDA build multiple [8][13] - The leadership transition is aimed at maintaining the company's strategic focus on natural gas while leveraging new opportunities in emerging markets [26][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about continued growth, citing a strong base business performance and a robust project pipeline [7][24] - The company anticipates accelerating growth rates throughout the remainder of 2025, with expectations for strong contributions from new projects [18][22] - Management highlighted the resilience of the business model against commodity price swings, particularly in the context of natural gas demand [24] Other Important Information - The company successfully placed two projects into service during the quarter, contributing to earnings growth [10][12] - The quarterly dividend was increased by 5.3% to $0.50 per share, reflecting a commitment to a well-covered dividend program [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you help us understand the size and returns for the new power projects? - Management expects the new projects to have attractive returns similar to the Socrates project, with full commercialization anticipated throughout the year [32][34] Question: What is the strategic rationale for the Cogentrix investment? - The investment is seen as a way to position the company in the changing Northeast power market, focusing on gas supply rather than entering the merchant power generation space [36][38] Question: What competitive advantages does Williams have in the market? - The company emphasizes collaboration across its organization and strong relationships with suppliers, which have been key to its success in delivering solutions [43][45] Question: How does the company view the gas market unfolding? - Management sees a strong call for gas, particularly in dry gas basins, and expects to see a rotation of rigs into gas areas as oil prices soften [50][52] Question: What is the outlook for capital spending and project backlog? - The company anticipates elevated CapEx due to a strong project backlog, with a focus on maintaining high return profiles [55][60] Question: Can you provide an update on the Transco Power Express project? - The project is a 950 million cubic feet per day expansion, primarily sourcing from Station 165, and is scalable without dependence on the Mountain Valley Pipeline expansion [92][94]

Core Viewpoint - Golar LNG Limited has announced the Final Investment Decision for a 20-year re-deployment charter of the FLNG Hilli and signed agreements for a 20-year charter for the MKII FLNG, both to be operated offshore Argentina, which is expected to significantly enhance the company's earnings backlog and commodity exposure [1][2][4]. Group 1: Charter Agreements - The two FLNG agreements are projected to contribute US$ 13.7 billion in earnings backlog over 20 years, before adjustments based on US-CPI and commodity-linked tariff upside [2]. - For every US$ 1/mmbtu increase above US$ 8/mmbtu, Golar will gain approximately US$ 100 million when both FLNGs are operational [2]. - SESA has the option to reduce the term of the agreement to 12 years for FLNG Hilli and 15 years for MKII FLNG, subject to a 3-year notice and payment of a fee [2]. Group 2: Commodity Linked Tariff - Golar will receive 25% of realized FOB prices above a threshold of US$ 8/mmbtu, with no cap on the upside for gas prices [3]. - A mechanism allows for partial reduction of charter hire if FOB prices fall below US$ 7.5/mmbtu, down to a floor of US$ 6/mmbtu, with a maximum accumulated discount capped at US$ 210 million [3]. - Any outstanding discounted charter hire amounts will be repaid through additional upside sharing if FOB prices exceed US$ 7.5/mmbtu [3]. Group 3: Project Support and Infrastructure - The project has received full support from the National and Provincial Governments in Argentina, including a 30-year LNG export authorization and qualification for the Incentive Regime for Large Investments [5]. - The FLNGs will be located offshore in the Gulf of San Matias, monetizing gas from the Vaca Muerta formation, which is the world's second-largest shale gas resource [6]. - SESA plans to construct a dedicated pipeline from Vaca Muerta to the Gulf of San Matias to ensure gas supply to the FLNGs, enhancing operational efficiencies [6]. Group 4: Company and Market Position - Golar LNG Limited is a leading maritime LNG infrastructure company, recognized for pioneering floating LNG projects and is the only proven provider of FLNG as a service [10]. - The partnership with leading Argentinian gas producers positions Golar to benefit from the vast resources of the Vaca Muerta formation, contributing to Argentina's LNG export capabilities [7].