Summary of Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc. - **Industry**: Lithium and Materials - **Market Cap**: Rmb95,384 million - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Price Target**: HK$55.20 - **Current Price**: HK$55.10 (as of January 29, 2026) Key Financial Results - **Preliminary Full-Year 2025 Results**: - Net profit of Rmb369-553 million, compared to a loss of Rmb7.9 billion in 2024, but below consensus expectations of Rmb777 million [1] - **4Q25 Net Profit**: - Estimated at Rmb189-373 million, an increase from Rmb95 million in 3Q25 [2] - **Full-Year 2025 Recurring Profit**: - Rmb240-360 million, with an implied recurring net profit of Rmb170-290 million in 4Q25, up from Rmb69 million in 3Q25 [2] Market Dynamics - **Lithium Price Increases**: - Notable increase of 19% quarter-over-quarter in 4Q25, with expectations of a further 61% increase in 1Q26, positively impacting Tianqi's profitability [2] Legal and Regulatory Updates - **Supreme Court of Chile Ruling**: - Tianqi received a final judgment regarding a Partnership Agreement with SQM and Codelco, dismissing a claim of illegality. This ruling is not expected to materially impact Tianqi's current profits [3][4] Financial Projections - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - Projected EPS for 2025 is Rmb0.43, with estimates increasing to Rmb2.67 in 2026 and Rmb3.01 in 2027 [6] - **Revenue Projections**: - Expected revenue of Rmb11,087 million in 2025, increasing to Rmb21,117 million in 2026 and Rmb22,983 million in 2027 [6] Valuation Methodology - **Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Model**: - Assumes a Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of 11.5% and a terminal growth rate for free cash flow of 2% beyond the forecast period of 2025-2033 [9] Risks - **Upside Risks**: - Higher-than-expected lithium prices and output growth in upstream and midstream resources [11] - **Downside Risks**: - Lower-than-expected lithium prices and output growth in upstream and midstream resources [11] Analyst Insights - **Industry View**: - The lithium industry is viewed as attractive, with expectations of strong performance over the next 12-18 months [6][34] Additional Information - **52-Week Stock Price Range**: - HK$60.30 to HK$19.00 [6] - **Average Daily Trading Value**: - HK$180 million [6] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc., highlighting financial performance, market dynamics, legal updates, and future projections.

Group 1: Industry Events - The 2025 High-Performance Sodium Battery Industry Summit is scheduled for June 9, 2025, at the Shangri-La Hotel in Suzhou [2] - The 2025 High-Performance Solid-State Battery Technology and Application Summit will take place on June 10, 2025, at the same venue [3] Group 2: Company Developments - Guansheng Co. revealed its semi-solid lithium iron phosphate battery aimed at energy storage customers, demonstrating significant safety improvements and a cycle life of 12,000 times, surpassing traditional liquid batteries [3] - Two new energy companies, Changsha Runshi New Energy Co., Ltd. and Chongren Runshi New Energy Co., Ltd., have been established, both fully owned by CATL, focusing on power generation, transmission, and battery sales [4] Group 3: Market Analysis - CITIC Securities reported a slowdown in lithium price decline in Q1 2025, with prices dropping to 60,000 yuan/ton, leading to an expanded loss in the industry and expectations of price stabilization [6] - The forecast for lithium prices in the second half of 2025 has been adjusted to a range of 60,000 to 70,000 yuan/ton, with a focus on low-cost beneficiaries during the price rebound [7] Group 4: Equipment and Technology - Shanghai Yili New Energy applied for a patent for a lithium battery composite cathode based on multi-level particle size electrolytes [8] - Zhongke Electric signed a contract for a 200,000-ton lithium-ion battery anode material integrated base project in Oman, with a total investment of up to 8 billion yuan, planned to be built in two phases [9] Group 5: Strategic Partnerships - Ruipu Lanjun signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with Indonesia's Bakrie & Brothers Group to deliver over 3,000 electric buses and trucks by 2025, focusing on green transportation and local manufacturing [11]