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The IREN Rebound Is Starting
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-20 10:17
Group 1 - IREN Limited is currently in a unique market position, overshadowed by the visibility of Microsoft Corporation's recent headlines, yet lacking awareness of its own potential [1] - The investment strategy focuses on identifying high-potential opportunities with an asymmetric risk-reward profile, aiming for a minimum upside potential of 3-5 times the downside risk [1] - Emphasis is placed on leveraging market inefficiencies and contrarian insights to maximize long-term compounding while safeguarding against capital impairment [1] Group 2 - The investment horizon is set at 2-3 years, allowing the company to endure market volatility and prioritize patience, discipline, and intelligent capital allocation for superior returns [1]
Bitmine: Ethereum's Boldest Bet Is Here
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-19 14:07
BitMine Immersion Technologies’ ( BMNR ) investment thesis rests on an audacious tightrope of continuously raising equity with the sole intention of obtaining the hard-pressed yet ambitious goal of 5% of the EthereumHi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. ...
Palantir: The Pullback Wall Street Got Wrong
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-13 18:46
Hi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: Spotting high-potential winners before they break out, focusing on asymmetric opportunities (with at least upside potential of 3-5X outweighing the downside risk). By leveraging market inefficienci ...
This CEO says young investors trying to protect their cash is stopping them from getting rich — here's why
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 11:30
Core Viewpoint - Many young investors are avoiding the stock market, which a financial expert claims could be their "biggest mistake" as it hinders long-term wealth building [1][2]. Group 1: Young Investors' Behavior - A significant portion of young investors, specifically 29% of Gen Z and 24% of millennials, find the stock market intimidating, which is higher than any other generation [2]. - Young investors are retreating into cash investments or bonds, believing they are playing it safe, despite historical data showing that stocks have outperformed these options over time [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Performance - From 1957 to 2024, the S&P 500 has delivered an average annual return of 11.84%, including dividends, compared to just 5.71% for 10-year Treasury Bonds [2]. Group 3: Advantages of Young Investors - The primary advantage for young investors is time, allowing them to let their earnings compound and recover from short-term losses [3][4]. - Understanding the benefits of long-term compounding can help young investors make more informed decisions [4]. Group 4: Risk Management Strategies - While investing in the stock market carries inherent risks, there are various strategies available to manage these risks effectively [4].
If You Invested $10,000 in UOB 10 Years Ago, Here’s How Much You’d Have Today
The Smart Investor· 2025-10-21 03:30
Core Insights - The article illustrates the long-term investment potential of United Overseas Bank Limited (UOB), emphasizing the benefits of compounding through dividends and capital appreciation over a decade. Investment Performance - In 2015, UOB shares were priced at S$24.50, allowing an investment of S$10,000 to purchase 400 shares [2] - The share price experienced a significant drawdown of -31.4% to S$16.81 in early 2016, but later appreciated by 79.3% to S$30.14 by early 2018 [3] - From the 2018 peak, the share price declined by 41.7% to a COVID-low, followed by a rally of 95.5% to S$32.86 by early 2022, resulting in a 34.1% increase from the initial buy point [4] - The share price then fell 20.9% to S$25.99 in late 2022, before rebounding 48.8% to a recent high of S$38.67, with the current price at S$34.93 as of October 16, 2025 [5] - Overall, the capital gain from the initial investment is 42.6%, translating to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.6% [6] Dividend Income - UOB has consistently paid dividends over the past decade, totaling S$13.28 per share since 2015, including special dividends [7] - An investor holding 400 shares would have earned S$5,312 in passive dividend income [8] - The dividend yield in 2015 was 2.9%, increasing to 5.4% in the last twelve months, with a payout ratio rising from 36.3% to 50.6% [9] Total Shareholder Return - The total gain for a UOB investor over the past decade is S$9,484, bringing the total investment value to S$19,484, which is a 94.8% increase from the initial purchase price [10] - The CAGR of the investment over the last ten years is 7.0%, outperforming the Straits Times Index's CAGR of 6.3% [10] Financial Performance - UOB's net interest income (NII) grew from S$4.9 billion in 2015 to S$9.7 billion by June 2025, with a CAGR of 7.3% [11] - The bank's loan book expanded at a CAGR of 5.4% to S$342.9 billion, supporting its strong dividend policy [12] - UOB maintains a strong CET1 ratio of 15.3% in 1H2025, significantly above the regulatory standard, providing resilience against market fluctuations [13] Investment Philosophy - UOB exemplifies the advantages of long-term investing in quality dividend-paying stocks, highlighting the importance of patience and compounding for wealth accumulation [14] - The article concludes that a long-term mindset can lead to rewarding outcomes for investors, emphasizing the value of holding strong dividend-paying shares through market cycles [15]
CleanSpark: The Energy Giant Disguised As A Miner (NASDAQ:CLSK)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-14 16:38
Core Insights - CleanSpark has transitioned from being a Bitcoin miner to a leading digital infrastructure player in the U.S. [1] Company Overview - CleanSpark is now recognized as one of America's most successful digital infrastructure companies, moving beyond its initial focus on Bitcoin mining [1]. Leadership & Management - The company demonstrates a proven track record in scaling businesses, smart capital allocation, and insider ownership [1]. - CleanSpark has shown consistent revenue growth and provides credible guidance [1]. Market Positioning - The company benefits from a strong technology moat and first-mover advantage in the digital infrastructure space [1]. - CleanSpark is leveraging network effects that drive exponential growth and has achieved market penetration in high-growth industries [1]. Financial Health - CleanSpark exhibits sustainable revenue growth with efficient cash flow management [1]. - The company maintains a strong balance sheet and a long-term survival runway, avoiding excessive dilution and financial weakness [1]. Investment Strategy - The investment methodology focuses on identifying high-conviction opportunities with a balanced portfolio construction that includes core positions, growth bets, and speculative investments [1].
Fragile Crossroads For The S&P 500
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-26 15:15
Investment Strategy - The company focuses on identifying high-potential winners before they break out, emphasizing asymmetric opportunities with an upside potential of 2-3 times outweighing the downside risk [1] - The investment methodology includes leadership and management analysis, market disruption and competitive positioning, financial health and risk management, valuation and asymmetric risk/reward, and portfolio construction and risk control [1] Leadership & Management Analysis - Proven track record in scaling businesses is essential for investment decisions [1] - Smart capital allocation and insider ownership are key factors [1] - Consistent revenue growth and credible guidance are prioritized [1] Market Disruption & Competitive Positioning - A strong technology moat and first-mover advantage are critical for success [1] - Network effects that drive exponential growth are sought after [1] - Market penetration in high-growth industries is a focus area [1] Financial Health & Risk Management - Sustainable revenue growth with efficient cash flow is necessary for long-term viability [1] - A strong balance sheet and long-term survival runway are essential [1] - Avoiding excessive dilution and financial weakness is a priority [1] Valuation & Asymmetric Risk/Reward - Revenue multiples compared to peers and DCF modeling are used for valuation [1] - Institutional backing and market sentiment analysis are considered [1] - Ensuring downside protection while maximizing upside potential is a key strategy [1] Portfolio Construction & Risk Control - Core positions (50-70%) consist of high-confidence, stable plays [1] - Growth bets (20-40%) are allocated to high-risk, high-reward opportunities [1] - Speculative investments (5-10%) are made in moonshot disruptors with massive potential [1]
IREN's Bull Run Faces Its Next Test
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-25 14:28
Core Insights - IREN Limited (NASDAQ: IREN) has experienced an 80% surge, prompting investors to consider trimming or exiting their positions [1] Company Analysis - Leadership and Management: IREN demonstrates a proven track record in scaling businesses, smart capital allocation, and insider ownership, alongside consistent revenue growth and credible guidance [1] - Financial Health: The company shows sustainable revenue growth with efficient cash flow, a strong balance sheet, and a long-term survival runway while avoiding excessive dilution and financial weakness [1] Market Positioning - Competitive Advantage: IREN possesses a strong technology moat and first-mover advantage, with network effects that drive exponential growth and market penetration in high-growth industries [1] Investment Methodology - Asymmetric Opportunities: The investment strategy focuses on identifying high-potential winners with an upside potential of 2-3 times outweighing the downside risk, leveraging market inefficiencies and contrarian insights [1] - Portfolio Construction: The portfolio consists of core positions (50-70%), growth bets (20-40%), and speculative investments (5-10%) to balance risk and reward [1]
Celestica’s Run Isn’t Done Yet (NYSE:CLS)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-24 16:45
Core Insights - Celestica Inc. (NYSE: CLS) has experienced a significant rally, increasing by 64% since the last coverage, indicating strong market confidence in the company's performance [1] - Projected sales for Celestica are expected to rise from $5.6 billion in 2021 to $9.6 billion in 2024, with further growth anticipated to $11.55 billion in 2025, showcasing robust revenue growth [1] Leadership & Management Analysis - The company has a proven track record in scaling businesses, demonstrating effective capital allocation and insider ownership [1] - Consistent revenue growth and credible guidance are highlighted as key strengths of the management team [1] Market Disruption & Competitive Positioning - Celestica benefits from a strong technology moat and first-mover advantage, positioning it well in the market [1] - The company is leveraging network effects that drive exponential growth and has achieved market penetration in high-growth industries [1] Financial Health & Risk Management - The company exhibits sustainable revenue growth with efficient cash flow, supported by a strong balance sheet and a long-term survival runway [1] - Celestica avoids excessive dilution and maintains financial strength, which is crucial for its ongoing operations [1] Valuation & Asymmetric Risk/Reward - The analysis includes revenue multiples compared to peers and DCF modeling to assess valuation [1] - Institutional backing and market sentiment analysis are utilized to ensure downside protection while maximizing upside potential [1] Portfolio Construction & Risk Control - The investment strategy includes core positions (50-70%) in high-confidence, stable plays, growth bets (20-40%) in high-risk, high-reward opportunities, and speculative positions (5-10%) in moonshot disruptors [1]
Pfizer's Comeback Accelerates
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-11 19:08
Investment Strategy - The company focuses on spotting high-potential winners before they break out, emphasizing asymmetric opportunities with an upside potential of 2-3 times outweighing the downside risk [1] - The investment methodology includes identifying high-conviction opportunities through leadership and management analysis, market disruption and competitive positioning, financial health and risk management, valuation, and portfolio construction [1] Leadership & Management Analysis - Proven track record in scaling businesses is essential, along with smart capital allocation and insider ownership [1] - Consistent revenue growth and credible guidance are critical factors for evaluation [1] Market Disruption & Competitive Positioning - A strong technology moat and first-mover advantage are key competitive advantages [1] - Network effects that drive exponential growth and market penetration in high-growth industries are prioritized [1] Financial Health & Risk Management - Sustainable revenue growth with efficient cash flow is a focus area [1] - Maintaining a strong balance sheet and long-term survival runway is crucial, along with avoiding excessive dilution and financial weakness [1] Valuation & Asymmetric Risk/Reward - Revenue multiples compared to peers and DCF modeling are used for valuation [1] - Institutional backing and market sentiment analysis are considered to ensure downside protection with significant upside potential [1] Portfolio Construction & Risk Control - Core positions (50-70%) consist of high-confidence, stable plays, while growth bets (20-40%) are high-risk, high-reward opportunities [1] - Speculative investments (5-10%) are allocated to moonshot disruptors with massive potential [1]